Top 500 MLB Prospects Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues (Patreon)

Damn it feels good to unleash the Top 500 2026 Fantasy Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings on the Patreon. Actually, Top 570 to be exact, but who’s counting (I am). Analysis, Prime Projections, and 2026 Projections (where applicable) for every player. Top 40 free here on the Brick Wall. No more small talk. Here is the Top 500 MLB Prospects Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-A TOP 200 SNEAK PEEK OF THE 2026 TOP 1,000 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS (full Top 1,000 coming next week)
-TOP 500 2026 DYNASTY FANTASY BASEBALL PROSEPCTS RANKS
2026 DEEP POSITIONAL RANKS: Top 80 C–Top 91 1B–Top 97 2B–Top 101 3B–Top 161 SS–Top 288 OF–Top 335 SP
-TOP 161 2026 FIRST YEAR PLAYER DRAFT RANKS
2026 FYPD TARGET & STRATEGY GUIDE
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: END OF SEASON MAILBAG!
SPREADSHEETS
-Plus so much more coming like Position by Position Targets, Predicting Future Prospect Lists, Top 10 2027 FYPD Rankings, Spring Training Rundowns …

1) Konnor Griffin – PIT, SS/OF, 19.11 – I felt the Griffin explosion in my gut last off-season. The Baseball Gods were speaking to me, and I listened, predicting he would explode into elite prospect status in my Predicting the Top 50 2026 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings last off-season, ranking him 4th overall and writing, “Griffin will have the explosion that everyone who passed on him in first year player drafts feared he would have. The hit tool concerns will be overblown as he maintains an under 25% K% at Single-A, and the power/speed combo will shine with 16 homers and 48 steals in 102 games. He’ll basically be the 2026 version of the 2025 version of Sebastian Walcott. Off the charts tools and a better than expected hit tool.” … and then he went out and surpassed even those expectations, slashing .333/.415/.527 with 21 homers, 65 steals, and a 21.7/8.9 K%/BB% in 122 games. He finished the season at Double-A where he actually put up his best wRC+ of any level with a 175 wRC+ in 21 games. Remember when everyone was making excuses for the 19 year old Walcott at Double-A all year for his mediocre slash? Well, Griffin came in and just busted that whole thing up, showing a 19 year old can most certainly dominate the level. Not only did I forsee the rise in the off-season, but I got blow back after ranking him 1st overall on the Prospect Rankings in early June before he even got the call to High-A. I then made a final plea in my August Dynasty Rankings before he got the call to Double-A, shooting him up to 29th overall and writing, “This is my final plea to you. DO NOT TRADE GRIFFIN UNDER ANY SCENARIO. I don’t even think Roman Anthony can touch his upside. Just don’t trade him, please.” And then after what he did at Double-A, there is no more room for debate. He’s lightning fast, he crushes the ball with a 91.2 MPH EV and 49% Hard Hit%, and the hit tool was better than expected. This is not only the #1 prospect in baseball, but he’s already a nearly elite dynasty asset for me. – 2026 Projection: 28/9/35/.247/.318/.433/17 Prime Projection: 118/32/111/.279/.351/.523/44

2) Kevin McGonigle – DET, SS/2B, 21.8 – You know I’m not shy to take a victory lap when I hit on a player that everyone else (or almost everyone else) was low on, so I also have to take my lashes when I miss on a player that everyone else but me was super high on. Truth of the matter is, when you rank with a mind of your own, which I pride myself on and preach to others (and preach to you as dynasty owners too), you are going to end up looking like a genius on your unique hits, and a moron on your unique misses, when in reality, you are probably not a genius or a moron. You are just trying to block out the noise and give a raw, unfiltered opinion. My favorite rankings, and the ones I find most valuable, are the ones that aren’t mostly the same as the consensus/general perception, and are also backed up by solid reasoning and analysis, whether you agree or disagree with the ranking. So with that as the backdrop, Kevin McGonigle is who I consider my biggest miss in 2025. I had him ranked 54th overall, which I mean, is a pretty good ranking in general, and I called him a souped up Steven Kwan, which is really still an accurate “comp,” but the vast majority of other spots had him in the Top 25 range at least, or higher. I’m generally lower on hit tool first guys for fantasy (I was also lower on Angel Genoa and Starlyn Caba, both of whom took steps back in 2025), but when a hit tool first guy hits his ceiling, it looks exactly like what McGonigle just did. He slashed .305/.408/.583 with 19 homers, 10 steals, and a 11.6/14.9 K%/BB% in 99 games at High-A and Double-A. He’s not a big guy at 5’10”, but he can lift and pull, and he hits it very hard with legit plus raw power potential. He’s less a souped up Steven Kwan, and more in the mold of Mookie Betts and Jose Ramirez, if you want to dream on his tippy top ceiling. He wasn’t good on the bases this year (10 for 17), and he’s not a true burner, but he was much better last year (22 for 24), so I would would expect a bounce back in 2026 there. You won’t hear me doubting him ever again. Konnor Griffin is my top dog, but McGonigle is my #2 prospect in baseball, and he might have a real shot to break camp with the team. – 2026 Projection: 63/15/54/.268/.337/.434/13 Prime Projection: 111/24/91/.290/.370/.485/20

3) Samuel Basallo – BAL, C/1B, 21.7 – Basallo is going to follow the Junior Caminero track to a T. I can feel it. Caminero came up and was horrific in his first little taste in 2023 (which I told you not even to look at those numbers) and then was mediocre in his more extended taste in 2024 (which I advised, “if there is any buy window based on the small, mediocre MLB sample, I would be all over it.”), before having a monster explosion this season. Basallo is going through that exact same adjustment period, looking mediocre in his pro debut with a .559 OPS in 31 games, but just like Caminero, please completely ignore those numbers. His 75.5 MPH swing is near elite, and while not as elite as Caminero, it’s still damn good. He demolishes the baseball like Caminero with a 94.2 MPH EV, 57.4% Hard Hit%, and 23 homers in 76 games at Triple-A, and also like Caminero, it’s always come with solid strikeout rates while being extremely young for the level. Even with some chase and whiff in their game, these are the type of bats where it really doesn’t matter. And Basallo lifts and pulls more than Caminero. It’s inevitable that Basallo is going to start raking his face off in the majors in the very near future. Whether it comes at catcher or 1B or DH or a combination of all of them, I don’t know, but it doesn’t really matter. He’s going to be one of the top young power hitters in the game real soon. – 2026 Projection: 67/25/81/.249/.317/.446/3 Prime Projection: 92/34/111/.266/.339/.522/4

4) Jesus Made MIL, SS, 18.11 – Made was having a solid season at Single-A, especially when you took into account he was only 18 years old, but he wasn’t really blowing the doors off with a .267/.373/.388 triple-slash. For a moment there, I was like, maybe this isn’t quite the straight rocket ship we were promised … but then he got called up to High-A and he hit the after burners, slashing .343/.415/.500 with 2 homers, 5 steals, and a 17.9/10.6 K%/BB% in 27 games. I talk about this more in the Colt Emerson blurb, but there is no better sign than when a prospect gets called up to a higher level, and not only maintains their production, but actually takes it up a notch. That is the #1 sign of the rocket ship. Milwaukee obviously recognized this too, promoting him again to Double-A at the end of the season, and while he struggled in 5 regular season games (33.3% K% with a 86 wRC+), he made his mark in the playoffs, going the opposite way off the humongous billboard advertisement for Renova Roofing. “Mother Nature ruins everything. Renova Roofing can help.” They really got their money’s worth that night. How much do you think that goes for? Should I just put a huge Brick Wall up on that thing next year or something? hah … When it was all said and done, Made delivered on his unanimous off-season hype. The hit tool, approach, hard hit and speed (47 steals) were all there. He needs to lift and pull more to full tap into his raw power (only 6 homers in 115 games), but his profile can work without a ton of lift and pull, and it wasn’t in the danger zone or anything with a 43.7% GB% and 40.5% Pull%. There is zero doubt this is the elite prospect we were promised. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 101/25/81/.278/.360/.481/28

5) Walker Jenkins MIN, OF, 21.1 – I always find it interesting when there is a collective cooling on a prospect that seems to happen at the exact same time … and then I’m the only one left standing there, going, hey, where did everyone go? That is what happened with Jenkins in 2025. He sustained a high ankle sprain in the very beginning of the season, essentially missing the first two months, and all at the same time everyone decided he was irredeemably injury prone and dropped him in the rankings. But I held strong, because no way would I ever sell low on a potentially elite dynasty asset because he sprained his ankle. Then he returned as a 20 year old at Double-A and immediately performed well, but because he didn’t immediately have the power breakout we’ve been waiting for, everyone decided the power would never come and dropped him in the rankings. Again, I held strong, because there was no way I was betting against the power coming for the 6’3”, 210 pound sweet swinging lefty. And then the power came, jacking out 7 homers in his final 44 games. The final 23 of those games came at Triple-A where he put up a respectable 89.1 MPH EV and 43.8% Hard Hit%. I gave him the Kyle Tucker comp from the time he was drafted, and Tucker has a career 44.3% Hard Hit%. Jenkins is going to have enough power when you combine it with his excellent plate approach (18.7/14.5 K%/BB% at Double-A), base stealing ability (17 for 21 in 84 games), and ability to lift and pull (15 degree launch with a 16.7% Air Pull% at Triple-A). This is the type of high floor/high ceiling prospect that we love. At worst, he looks like a solid across the board contributor, and at best, he’s Kyle Tucker 2.0. – 2026 Projection: 29/7/31/.249/.322/.418/8 Prime Projection: 96/26/82/.271/.354/.478/20

6) Chase Burns – CIN, RHP, 23.2 – Chase Burns is my #1 pitching prospect in baseball (at least in leagues that use the 50 IP threshold, like most of my leagues do, and not service time, because based on service time I don’t think he’s prospect eligible anymore). I was high on him in First Year Player Drafts last off-season, ranking him 4th overall, because I saw the type of true ace upside that was worth sticking your neck out for, and then he went out and proved it. He sliced through the minor leagues with a 1.77 ERA and 36.8/5.4 K%/BB% in 66 IP, and then he almost did the same in the majors with a 3.47 xERA (4.57 ERA) and a 35.6/8.5 K%/BB% in 43.1 IP. The 98.7 MPH 4-seamer is near elite with a 25.2% whiff% and +4 Run Value and the slider is also near elite with a .229 xwOBA and 43.7% whiff%. He only went to the changeup 5.6% of the time, mostly vs. lefties, but it was a solid pitch with a 33.3% whiff% and 75.7 MPH EV against. The control was really good too. He’s an athletic 6’3”, 210 pounds. I don’t see how it can get anymore obvious than this. This is a true ace waiting to happen, even pitching in Cincinnati. – 2026 Projection: 10/3.42/1.15/190 in 150 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.03/0.98/245 in 190 IP

7) JJ Wetherholt STL, 2B/SS, 23.7 – Wetherholt was exactly who we thought he was. It’s exactly who he’s been since his freshman year of college. It’s exactly who he’s been since his pro debut in 2024. And now it’s exactly who he’s been through the upper minors, slashing .306/.421/.510 with 17 homers, 23 steals, and a 14.7/14.5 K%/BB% in 109 games split between Double-A and Triple-A. He crushes the ball with a 91.4 MPH EV and 49% Hard Hit%, he’s got speed, and the plate skills are near elite. He’s not a huge lift and pull guy, but he doesn’t have to be for this type of profile. The 12 degree launch and 13.6% Air Pull% aren’t too bad, and he can easily improve on those over time. The 24.3 whiff% at Triple-A wasn’t quite as good as the K%, so he might not truly be an elite contact guy, but the hit tool is clearly plus at least. He was projected to be a .280/20/20 type coming out of the draft, and that is now cemented with his excellent first full year of pro ball. He’s also expected to break camp with the big league club as their starting 2B or 3B. Proximity, safety, upside … he’s got it all. – 2026 Projection: 76/16/68/.262/.331/.425/19 Prime Projection: 103/21/82/.284/.369/.473/24

8) Max Clark – DET, OF, 21.4 – I’m not saying Clark is underrated, but doesn’t it feel like he gets so much less hype than he should? He was the 3rd overall pick in a stacked draft and has done nothing but rake in pro ball, but I don’t know, it just seems he doesn’t get people overly excited I guess. But you should be overly excited, because this year he proved it in the upper minors as a 20 year old, slashing .251/.360/.439 with 7 homers, 7 steals, and a 16.7/14.3 K%/BB% in 43 games. That was good for a 135 wRC+. He’s not Kevin McGonigle level of hit tool good, but that is still in the double plus range. He continues to grow into more raw power, and he started to get to a lot more of it by lifting and pulling a lot more when he got to Double-A. The power is good, not great right now, but the power is only going to get bigger and bigger as he ages. And while I wish he ran wild crazy, he was 19 for 21 on the bases, so he’s an excellent base stealer with at least plus speed. He has a great combination of floor and upside right now, with 15/25 and a solid BA/OBP being the floor, and 25/40 with a great BA being the upside. He’s an elite dynasty prospect. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 96/20/78/.278/.359/.451/30

9) Sebastian Walcott – TEX, SS, 20.1 – Sorry Sebastian, but the also 19-year-old Konnor showed up to the Double-A party late in the season and made your solid but unspectacular season look even more unspectacular. And then the 18-year-old Leodalis rolled up and just straight made it look easy. We were giving Walcott a ton of leeway before those two showed us how it was really done, and while that does put Walcott’s season in better perspective, it shouldn’t come close to completely taking away what he did. He put up a 111 wRC+ with 13 homers, 32 steals and a 19.6/12.7 K%/BB% in 124 games. Considering the hit tool risk was a legitimate concern, seeing that K/BB as a 19 year old at Double-A is insanely encouraging. And being 11% above league average at his age is still impressive. Sure the .255/.355/.386 triple slash doesn’t jump off the screen, and sure Konnor and Leo blew him out of the water, but we are still looking at a potential fantasy stud. We know the talent by now. He’s an elite athlete at 6’4” with a potentially elite power/speed combo. He’s not a finished product, and it would definitely be nice to see him destroy a level, which he’s never done yet, but it’s not stopping me from still calling him a truly elite prospect. Texas has already hinted that while they have promoted him aggressively, they aren’t planning on just handing him an MLB job next year. I can see him spending the entire season, or vast majority of it, in the minors unless he leaves them no choice with complete destruction. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 93/27/84/.268/.345/.478/24

10) Trey Yesavage – TOR, RHP, 22.8 – It’s a 3 man race between Burns, Yesavage, and McLean for the #1 pitching prospect in baseball. None of them should really be considered prospects anymore with all of them throwing over 40 IP (including the playoffs), so it’s an unfair fight, but they all proved their high end skills will transfer to the majors, and that gives them a leg up over everyone else. I thought I was about to be the high guy on Yesavage like I was in the End of Season Dynasty Rankings, but that was before the playoffs, and well, Yesevage absolutely dazzled the baseball world. He put up a 3.58 ERA with a 35.8/10.1 K%/BB% in 27.2 IP (3.21 ERA with a 25.8/11.3 K%/BB% in 14 IP in the regular season). It came with a stupid 40% whiff%, which is genuinely insane. It sat 35.4% in the regular season, and it was 37.7% at Triple-A. These are really nearly unheard of, off the charts numbers. Starters just don’t have whiff rates that high even if you are in the elite tier. Those are closer to all time whiff rates. He generates those whiff rates mainly with the elite splitter (58.4% whiff%), but the slider is really good too with a 39.8% whiff%. So why is he my #2 pitching prospect and not #1 pitching prospect? It’s because of the fastball and below average walk rates. I don’t think the 4-seamer is bad, but it’s not that bulletproof, elite 4-seamer we often see from the very best pitchers in the league. It doesn’t have that elite velocity (94.3 MPH), it got hit really hard with a .367 xwOBA and 94.2 MPH EV against including the playoffs, and it doesn’t miss an elite amount of bats with a decent 19.8% whiff%. The pitch was better at Triple-A and it has 19.5 vert with a unique release profile, so I think it has the potential to be a good pitch, but it’s not like Burns’ 98.7 MPH 4-seamer. Burns also has average to potentially plus walk rates, while Yesavage’s are firmly below average. I wouldn’t blame you for going Yesavage over Burns (Yesavage has the ballpark advantage), and it’s close for me, but I just can’t shake wanting that super elite fastball (and also that elite slider) from Burns. Yesevage is #2. – 2026 Projection: 12/3.48/1.19/202 in 165 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.13/1.10/250 in 185 IP

11) Nolan McLean – NYM, RHP, 24.8 – I talked about it in the Yesavage blurb, but it’s a 3 man race for the top “fake” pitching prospect in baseball between Burns, Yesavage and McLean. I say “fake,” because these guys have already demonstrated dominance in the majors, which means, there is nothing prospective about them. They are known entities. But using the under 50 IP threshold that most dynasty leagues use (based on my experience), they are still considered prospects. And the reason I have McLean 3rd in that group can honestly be boiled down to mostly one thing, which is that he doesn’t miss as many bats as Burns and Yesavage. I am a sucker for whiffs, and McLean’s whiff% was 28% at Triple-A and 28.4% in the majors, while Burns went 33.7% at Triple-A and 31.9% in the majors, and Yesavage went 37.7% at Triple-A and 35.4% in the majors (even higher at 40% in the playoffs). I also didn’t love that the famed sweeper, his best and most used pitch in the minors, got utterly shelled in the majors with a .448 xwOBA and 20.3% whiff%. That isn’t just bad, that is crazy horrific. I’m obviously nitpicking here, but I find it more interesting to give my reasons for why he’s 3rd overall and not 1st overall. I clearly still love him as he dominated the majors overall with a 2.06 ERA, 3.56 xERA and 30.3/8.5 K%/BB% in 48 IP. Sure the sweeper wasn’t good, but his 5 other pitches were awesome, putting up plus Run Values ranging from 1 to 4. The sinker was the best pitch with a negative 12 degree launch, which is nuts. The curve put up a 50% whiff%. The 4-seamer missed bats and the change and cutter were solid against lefties. If you wanted to put him 1st overall, I wouldn’t argue with you (I actually probably would argue with you a little as I love Burns so much), but you get the point. McLean is awesome. – 2026 Projection: 13/3.45/1.17/183 in 170 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.22/1.10/212 in 190 IP

12) Thomas White MIA, LHP, 21.6 – Thomas White is my #1 non debuted pitching prospect in baseball. It’s not a no brainer, and it’s close, but I just don’t think anybody can match his upside. He doesn’t have the safest floor as the control/command is well below average (13.6% BB%), and he definitely does still have a visible rawness when you watch him, but keep in mind this was a 20 year old kid in the upper minors for most of the year. Having some rawness and control/command issues are completely normal for this stage of his development, and just look at what he did when he’s not even close to a fully finished product yet. He put up a 2.31 ERA with a 38.6% K% in 89.2 IP at High-A, Double-A, and Triple-A. He’s a 6’5” lefty with a 3-quarters arm slot delivery, which you know I’m a sucker for, and he has 3 plus to double plus whiff machine pitches in his 95+ MPH fastball, sweeper and changeup. He also throws a good slider. He dominated both righties (.541 OPS against) and lefties (.467 OPS against). I don’t see any reason why more refinement wouldn’t be coming down the line, and likely much more refinement, and even as is he’s going to be a strikeout machine vs. any level of hitter. He might not be the safest guy or the most fully formed, but he’s the guy who I think has the best chance of sitting in that true elite of the elite tier when it’s all said and done. He’s my top non debuted dog. – 2026 Projection: 6/3.78/1.30/110 in 100 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.18/1.11/230 in 180 IP

13) Colt Emerson – SEA, SS, 20.8 – When a prospect gets promoted to the upper minors and not only maintains their high level of production, but actually improves on their weaknesses, it is just about the best sign they could give us. That is the sign of the rocket ship, and we are all looking for that rocket ship that just can’t stop raking no matter the level. That is exactly what Emerson did in 2025. He started to tap into that big raw power with 11 homers in 90 games at High-A, and while the 49.8% GB% was still high at the level, it came all the way down to 39.6% after he got promoted to Double-A (he was improving it towards the end of his stay at High-A too). He closed out the season slashing .293/.372/.470 with 5 homers, 8 steals, and a 19.7/9.0 K%/BB% in 40 games in the upper minors. The last 6 of those games were at Triple-A where he ripped 2 homers with a 174 wRC+ and 93.6 MPH EV. He’s still not a huge lift and pull guy, but it’s a big improvement from where he was earlier in his career, and he hits the ball hard enough to hit it out to all fields. The game power uptick combines with his already excellent plate skills and athleticism to make him at the very least a near elite dynasty prospect, and maybe we should take out the “near” part. Especially hitting in Seattle, I still wouldn’t expect monster power/speed numbers, but the high BA and high Runs/RBI should make up for it. – 2026 Projection: 39/8/31/.261/.320/.418/9 Prime Projection: 98/24/79/.284/.366/.471/18

14) Leodalis De VriesSAC, SS, 19.6 – San Diego made a colossal error trading this kid away for a relief pitcher, no matter how good that relief pitcher is. They better put Mason Miller back in the rotation just on the principle of not completely embarrassing themselves more than they already have. At least then it’s semi defensible that you thought you could turn Miller into an ace, and not just a guy who throws 65 innings in an already stacked bullpen. It was mind boggling at the time, and it got even worse when De Vries exploded at Double-A as an 18 year old after the deal, slashing .281/.359/.551 with 5 homers, 2 steals, and a 19.4/7.9 K%/BB% in 21 games. I’ve talked about it a bunch in these writeups, but when a prospect gets to a higher level and not only maintains their production, but takes it up a notch, that is the sign of a truly special talent. It’s absurd that he’s only 18 years old, because when you watch him, he looks like a seasoned vet at the dish already. The kid is just a great all around baseball player with strong plate skills, contact, hard hit, athleticism, and maybe his best skill, the ability to lift and pull like crazy with a 31.7% GB% and 46.9% Pull%. The lefty swing is fast, athletic, and dangerous. He’s definitely an elite dynasty prospect, but the reason I have him here and not Top 5, is that no tool or skill necessarily jumps off the screen. He hits it hard, but he doesn’t crush it (at least not yet). He’s not a good base stealer (11 for 19), and he’s not as good with the righty swing (.664 OPS vs. lefties). It’s just nitpicking when we are talking about the very best prospects in the game, but I like to give my reasoning for why I have him where I do. Expect this dude to be a complete hitter who makes in an impact in all categories. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 94/28/96/.274/.357/.496/14

15) Carter Jensen – KCR, C, 22.9 – The small sample MLB debut at the end of the season always makes the analysis of a prospect so interesting in the off-season. Because often the value of that player gets pretty set in stone by that point of the season with a large minor league sample under their belt, but once that MLB data starts flowing in, even in a small sample, it changes the entire complexion of the analysis, both in a positive and negative direction. It leaves risk of overreacting, there is no doubt about that, but just like I’m super aggressive when I see what recently drafted players do in pro ball that first year in a small sample, I also lean towards being aggressive when I see what a prospect can do in their first taste of the majors. We know that plenty of big time prospects show immediately that they can’t hit MLB pitching, and vice versa, we’ve seen non hyped to death prospects come in and just keep on raking their faces off. Randy Arozarena comes to mind as a prominent example in the recent past. I’m forgiving of the adjustment period when a prospect struggles in many cases, but when they come out on fire, I tend to buy it, at least partially, and I’m buying Jensen. He stepped into the majors and immediately showed everything will transfer with a 20.8% Barrel%, 95.4 MPH EV, .463 xwOBA, a .941 OPS and a 17.4/13.0 K%/BB% in 20 games. The only real aberration from what he was doing at Triple-A was the contact rates, but it’s still a great sign the K% didn’t jump right up to like 40%. We see that all the time. So while I’m not buying those contact rates, I am buying that the hit tool will be good enough to let the nearly elite power shine. He lifts and pulls a ton, and with KC moving in the fences, even better. He’s not great vs. lefties, giving him real platoon risk, and he’s going to have to split the C/DH job with Perez now, and likely Mitchell later, so along with continued hit tool risk, he’s not a flawless prospect. But I see a 30+ homer bat with catcher eligibility. That has mega fantasy value. He was also only 21/22 last year. This dude is a major target. – 2026 Projection: 66/24/73/.240/.319/.468/3 Prime Projection: 77/30/83/.263/.345/.510/6

16) Sal Stewart CIN, 1B/3B, 22.4 – As much love as Stewart is getting right now, it’s not nearly enough. I honestly don’t see how he’s not being valued like an elite or near elite dynasty prospect. He’s always displayed near elite plate skills with a plus hit tool his entire professional career from the time he was drafted at 18 years old as the 32nd overall pick. And then in his age 21 year old season he had that monster power breakout to combine with the plate skills. He hit 20 homers with a 93.1 MPH EV, 51.3% Hard Hit%, 14.2 degree launch, and a 15.6/9.3 K%/BB% in 118 games at Triple-A. That is a special hit/power combo, and then he closed the year out by dominating the majors with 5 homers, a 95.4 MPH EV, 17.9 degree launch, 52.5% Hard Hit%, and a 23.9% whiff% in 18 games. It was good for a .399 xwOBA. That is absurd for a 21 year old in his first taste of the majors. It’s fully backed up by what he did in the minors. Him going 217th overall in NFBC is way too low, and that is just for redraft. The two biggest knocks on his game are that he’s slow with a 25.8 ft/sec sprint, but he was a solid base stealer in the minors with 17 steals in 20 attempts this year, and we’ve seen slow guys steal a ton of bags (Soto, Naylor), so I think he should at least chip in with a handful, and maybe much more than that. He’s also not great on defense, and while the Eugenio Suarez signing squeezes everyone, I think it squeezes Bleday the most (and maybe Ke’Bryan Hayes the 2nd most). There is talk of him getting in better shape this off-season, so who knows, maybe both his defense and speed will tick up (it better not impact his power ha). This dude is a beast, especially in Great American Ballpark. – 2026 Projection: 76/25/82/.260/.328/.457/7 Prime Projection: 91/30/94/.277/.351/.502/9

17) Bryce Eldridge – SFG, 1B, 21.5 – If someone is going to Nick Kurtz the majors in 2026, it’s going to be Eldridge. I would say Basallo too, but Basallo is going to Junior Caminero the majors. I think people forget that Kurtz had a .558 OPS with a 36.5% K% in his first 85 PA in the majors. People were getting nervous. But that is all obviously a distant memory now, just as Eldridge’s rough MLB debut (.476 OPS with a 35.1% K%) will soon be a distant memory. And Eldridge’s only came in 37 PA as a 20 year old. Completely throw out that debut. Actually, don’t throw it out, because the underlying data is screaming the debut was a monster success. The .363 xwOBA is all star level, and the hard hit levels were off the charts. He put up a 25% Barrel%, 95.6 MPH EV and 68.8% Hard Hit%. That was no fluke because the numbers were just as beastly at Triple-A with a 95.7 MPH EV and 63.5% Hard Hit%. It’s easy to just go “he has big power,” but I think those type of elite of the elite numbers need to be reiterated. Those are insanely special power numbers from the 6’7” lefty beast. There is clearly hit tool risk, but the whiff rates weren’t even that bad. A 33.7% whiff% at AAA and 35.4% whiff% in the majors is not like insane danger zone considering how young he was and how hard he hits it. The dude smoked 25 homers in 102 games in the upper minors despite those miss rates. and like I showed above, the xwOBA in the majors was awesome despite the whiff rates. Even a small amount of improvement would be monstrous, and he might even be fine with no improvement. The only other quibbles to the profile are that he’s not a lift and pull machine, but he doesn’t have to be with that level of power, and he’s going to the 3rd worst park for lefty homers, but his power is ballpark proof. Eldridge is setting up to be one of the best power hitters in the game for a long time. – 2026 Projection: 68/25/81/.238/.311/.447/1 Prime Projection: 91/37/113/.264/.348/.533/1

18) Edward Florentino PIT, OF/1B, 19.5 – I don’t see Florentino getting ranked in the near elite prospect range on the mainstream Top 100’s right now. He was towards the back of those rankings at the end of the season, and even with a rise on the off-season rankings, I still see value to be had here. Florentino has a real chance of being the #1 fantasy prospect in baseball by this time next year. He’s a 6’4”, 200 pound beast with an athletic, powerful, and smooth lefty swing that is made to hit dingers. He jacked out 10 homers in 54 games at Single-A and 16 homers in 83 games overall. The underlying numbers back it up too with a 89 MPH EV, 26 degree launch, and 38.7% Hard Hit%. He did that as just an 18 year old, so those hard hit numbers are only going up, and the best part is that he looked like a seasoned vet with excellent plate skills, putting up a 16.3% whiff% and 22.5% Chase%. This has the makings of a truly special power bat. And wildest part of all is that he’s a really good baserunner, going 35 for 41 on the bases. He’s not a burner with poor to mediocre speed grades, so maybe the steals slow down as he climbs the ladder, but Pitt also played him in CF mostly, which tells me there is very real athleticism in here. I doubt he ends up in CF, but you don’t just throw a guy into CF for funsies. It means something that they had him out there. I’m all in. Treat him like the elite prospect he is. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 96/33/107/.268/.354/.509/16

19) Bubba Chandler PIT, RHP, 23.6 – Triple-A is hard. Like really hard. The Majors is easier. That was a running joke I had in the Dynasty Rundowns all season, but it wasn’t really a joke at all. So many pitchers struggled hard at Triple-A, and then looked much better in the majors. Maybe it was the ABS Challenge system (which is coming to the Majors in 2026), maybe it was the ballparks, maybe they were pissed they weren’t in the majors already, maybe they were working on stuff, or maybe it was a combination of many things, but too many pitchers looked so much better once they got to the majors to write it off, especially their walk rates. And Chandler most certainly got the Majors is easier bump once he got there, putting up a 4.02 ERA with a 25.0/3.2 K%/BB% in 31.1 IP. He had a 5.96 ERA with a 21.2/13.1 K%/BB% in his last 51.1 IP at Triple-A before getting the call. The turnaround is just wild. The 98.9 MPH fastball got hit hard with a 93.9 MPH EV, but it was a whiff machine with a 30.8% whiff%, and that is more important to see right now. The famed changeup also dominated with a .155 xwOBA and 39.6% whiff%. And his worst pitch of the three, the slider, actually had the best Run Value of them all (+5), on the back of weak contact (85.6 MPH EV against), although it didn’t miss many bats with a 22.5% whiff%. It was a very positive MLB debut, and the bloom that was coming off the rose at Triple-A was fully put back on in the majors. He’s an elite pitching prospect, and he still has an argument to be the top pitching prospect in the game, but I just can’t fully shake the mediocre Triple-A numbers fully. – 2026 Projection: 10/3.56/1.27/178 in 170 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.29/1.10/225 in 195 IP

20) Carson Benge – NYM, OF, 23.2 – Benge has really good numbers, both surface and underlying, but what really gets me so excited for him is watching him on offense. His swing is athletic, bouncy, powerful, smooth, vicious … it’s just a thing of beauty to watch. Watch him crush this homer out at Triple-A and tell me you don’t love it. Or how about this literal moonshot to center. Or how about this shoulder pain inducing shot off Andrew Painter. Dude looks like he unhinges his shoulder on some of these, and the last guy I said that about was Kristian Campbell … oof. I don’t want to bring this blurb down, but I mean, can’t deny it’s pinging something in me. Now that I mention it, he does seem like the lefty version of 2024 Campbell. Like Campbell, he didn’t lift and pull a ton with a 9 degree launch and 13.9% Air Pull% at Triple-A. Like Campbell, he’s more of a good athlete and solid base stealer than a true burner on the bases. And like Campbell, the hit tool is good, but a 18.4% K% and 20.1% whiff% isn’t off the charts or anything. On the more positive side, he crushed the ball with a 92.1 MPH EV and 53.5% Hard Hit%, which was actually much better than Campbell, and if 2024 Campbell showed up in 2025, this wouldn’t feel like such a negative comp. Campbell couldn’t keep up the breakout while Benge has a much stronger and legit track record to fall back on. And maybe the biggest differentiator, is that Benge is a plus on defense with the ability to play centerfield. It’s that ability that may just have him winning a starting OF job out of camp. I’m expecting a more above average across the board type than a true future elite dynasty asset, but that still makes for an excellent fantasy prospect, especially when you tack on proximity. – 2026 Projection: 72/15/66/.249/.313/.420/17 Prime Projection: 93/23/81/.273/.344/.462/21

21) Aidan Miller PHI, SS, 21.10 – When it seemed like the entire prospect world decided to cool on Miller at the same time due to the mediocre slash at Double-A, I was staying high and preaching patience, writing in the Mid-Season Dynasty Rankings, “The .234/.346/.367 triple-slash is underwhelming, but when you take into account he’s barely 21 at Double-A with 6 homers, 27 steals, and a 109 wRC+ in 58 games, it’s more impressive. I would stay patient here” … and then the explosion came shortly after that, slashing .357/.489/.601 with 6 homers, 22 steals, and a 17.0/17.6 K%/BB% in his final 38 games, 8 of which came at Triple-A where he put up a 185 wRC+. He has a quick and powerful righty hack that has middle of the order hitter written all over it, and he stole 59 bags on the season, which is insanely exciting for fantasy. Looks the part, pedigree, feel to hit, approach, power, speed, age to level, upper minors production, good glove, path to playing time … that is literally every box. Even this ranking might be too low. – 2026 Projection: Prime Projection: 91/23/82/.261/.343/.452/28

22) Josue De Paula – LAD, OF, 20.10 – 2026 is the season De Paula has to have the legitimate game power breakout. It’s his age 21 year old season, where so many Junior year college bats are able to make that adjustment and put up the big homer totals. If it doesn’t come for De Paula this year, I will start to get worried the odds of it ever coming will be low. I’m actually slightly disappointed it didn’t come this year with 12 homers, a 33% FB% and 40.7% Pull% in 102 games at mostly High-A. He got a 4 game cup of coffee at Double-A to close out the year, and while it’s obviously a super small sample, I’m not in love with the 83.3% GB%. So he just pounded the ball into the ground the first time he tasted advanced competition. Don’t take this blurb as me not liking De Paula, because I think I’m his biggest fan, “discovering” him when he was a legit unknown, not a word of hype DSL breakout and calling him a major buy before people caught on, so take it more as a proud father who is a bit disappointed. And I do still love him. He’s a 6’3” beast who genuinely crushes the ball with strong plate skills and base stealing ability. He put up a 142 wRC+ with a 20.2/19.0 K%/BB% and 32 steals in 98 games at High-A as a 19/20 year old. I’m most certainly in, but the reason he isn’t in the elite of the elite tier is the still lacking game power, poor defense, and the fact he hasn’t proven it against advanced competition yet. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 88/24/84/.266/.348/.460/16

23) Bryce Rainer – DET, SS, 20.9 – Don’t you dare start valuing Rainer any less than you would have if he didn’t end up hurting his shoulder diving back to first base, requiring surgery in June 2024. People were scared off of Zach Neto because of the shoulder surgery last off-season, and look how that turned out. Shit, people were turned off by Shohei effing Ohtani because of his off-season shoulder surgery too. Daulton Varsho straight up looked like he returned from surgery with a bionic shoulder. Corbin Carroll underwent shoulder surgery at a similar point in his career to Rainer, and look how he’s turned out. I can’t say with 100% certainty there won’t be complications, but I can say that shoulder surgeries have worked out more than enough to not even dock him a little bit. He already proved this is a potentially elite bat before the injury, slashing .288/.383/.448 with 5 homers, 9 steals, and a 22.1/13.4 K%/BB% in 35 games at Single-A. The most exciting part was the 92.1 MPH EV and 52.8% Hard Hit%. He most certainly looks the at 6’3” with a powerful lefty swing. The 28.6% whiff% was on the high side, and he didn’t lift and pull a ton, so he’s not a totally finished product, but the foundation has been laid for him to be a truly elite, hyped to death prospect by this time next year. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 91/28/94/.273/.352/.481/18

24) Payton Tolle – BOS, LHP, 23.5 – Tolle could have been in the discussion for the #1 pitching prospect in baseball if he popped as much as Burns/Yesavage/McLean popped in the majors, but his ride wasn’t as smooth with a 6.06 ERA, 4.58 xERA, and 25.7/10.8 K%/BB% in 16.1 IP. While it does take him out of the running for the top spot, that really has more to do with how great those other guys looked, because I’m actually more encouraged than discouraged by his debut. The most important thing for him to show was that his double plus to elite 96.7 MPH fastball would play against MLB hitters, and it did indeed prove that with an excellent 28.3% whiff% and 86.1 MPH EV against. The pitch got extremely unlucky and he threw it 64.1% of the time, which was the biggest culprit for the poor debut. The secondaries have always been the biggest question for him, and while they weren’t great in the debut, I’m encouraged that they all missed bats. The changeup put up a 50% whiff% (also a 50% whiff% at Triple-A), the slider put up a 30% whiff% with a strong .249 xwOBA, the cutter put up a 30% whiff% and the curve didn’t give up a single hit. It all resulted in a 30.1% whiff% overall, which I love to see. And of course he destroyed the minors with a 3.04 ERA and 36.5/6.3 K%/BB% in 91.2 IP spread across 3 levels (A+, AA, AAA). The walk rate spiked in the majors to 10.8%, which I don’t want to completely dismiss, but the larger sample in the minors rules the day for me long term. He might not be in the conversation for #1 overall, but this is still an elite pitching prospect for me. – 2026 Projection: 5/3.74/1.19/95 in 90 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.39/1.11/200 in 180 IP

25) Tatsuya ImaiHOU, RHP, 27.11 – Let’s start with the elephant in the room, which is that Imai didn’t sign as big of a contract as expected (3 years, $54-$63 million with 2 opt outs), but it’s not moving me off him as the #1 pick in FYPD’s. For one, I love the landing spot. Houston puts their pitchers in position to succeed and I trust them with Imai’s transition. I also don’t think the deal is that bad at all. He’s very likely to make over 20 million a year if he doesn’t opt out, and those opts outs have really huge upside on them. If he dominates, he can land an absolutely huge deal. Don’t underrate how valuable those opt outs are. I still think this deal shows that Imai is expected to be a very good pitcher, and everything else in his profile says we should expect him to be a very good pitcher too. He dominated the 2nd best baseball league in the world, he’s smack dab in the middle of his prime, he’s coming over right as he’s peaking, he has the stuff/pitch mix to back it all up, and he has both a high floor and a high ceiling. If this were a better First Year Player Draft Class, or if this was like last year’s class, he probably wouldn’t be 1st overall (I would 100% have Roch Cholowsky ranked over him from the 2026 draft class, for instance), but in this year’s class, I don’t even really think it’s that tough of a call. He put up a 1.92 ERA with a 27.8/7.0 K%/BB% in 163.2 IP in the NPB in 2025. For reference, Yamamoto put up a 1.21 ERA with a 26.6/4.4 K%/BB% in 164 IP the year before he came over, and then his first year in the majors he had a 3.00 ERA and 28.5/6.0 K%/BB% in 90 IP, meaning, there is no guarantee Imai’s strikeout rates are going to go down in the majors. They might go up, as Imai mentioned how contact oriented the hitters in Japan are, and he’s looking forward to the challenge of facing guys who actually swing for the fences. He completely owns the mound when he’s out there with a calm, loose, athletic, and easy righty delivery that he uses to fire a mid 90’s fastball, a plus “reverse” slider, and a plus splitter/changeup (he throws both). His stuff misses bats, induces weak contact, and keeps the ball in the park (48.3% GB%). His control and strikeout rates have been improving over the last 5 years, so like I mentioned, he’s coming over at the perfect time when he’s at his peak. We have seen more than enough aces come over from the NPB and either remain an ace in MLB (Yamamoto, Yu Darvish-who also saw his K rates rise in MLB), or at the least be an impact fantasy starter (Imanaga, Senga), that the transition doesn’t seem super risky. There is risk of course with a new baseball, country, etc … but everyone in First Year Player Drafts have risk, and Imai almost definitely has the least risk of anybody. He’s only 5’11”, but Yamamoto is 5’10”, so I don’t really care too much about that either. I don’t see how you could take Doyle or Anderson over him just evaluating the top pitchers on the board, and while you can argue for a high school bat, Imai’s ceiling as a #2 starter seems plenty high enough to not feel too tempted by the bats. He’s my top dog in FYPD’s and I’m not too torn about it. – 2026 Projection: 12/3.57/1.21/165 in 165 IP

26) Jonah Tong – NYM, RHP, 22.9 – Like Tolle, Tong would have been in the discussion for the #1 pitching prospect in baseball if not for the poor MLB debut with a 7.71 ERA, 4.97 xERA and 25.3/10.3 K%/BB% in 18.2 IP, but unlike Tolle, I am actually a little discouraged because of it. The thing we really need to see was that fastball/changeup combo playing against MLB hitters, and it just didn’t play with a negative 4 Run Value and solid but not great 22.3% whiff% on the 95.2 MPH fastball, and an even worse showing for the changeup with a .357 xwOBA and very disappointing 22.3% whiff%. I’ve actually been saying all of 2025 that his curve was getting underrated, and that did actually perform well with a .219 xwOBA and 80.4 MPH EV against, but the 26.3% whiff% wasn’t impressive there either. It’s a small sample, and I’m not saying I don’t like Tong anymore, but I’m saying there are enough red flags from the MLB debut that I’m not flying him up the rankings wild crazy anymore. You would have to be crazy to be completely out on him with his utter destruction of the minors with a 1.43 ERA and 40.5/10.6 K%/BB% in 113.2 IP at mostly Double-A. Keep in mind he was only 21/22 in 2025 while all of the pitchers with better debuts were older than him, which I 100% think matters. Don’t get too scared off by the MLB debut, but kinda get a teeny, tiny bit scared off. – 2026 Projection: 5/3.87/1.28/105 in 100 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.45/1.20/198 in 175 IP

27) Travis Bazzana – CLE, 2B, 23.7 – The consensus #1 pick in First Year Player Drafts, non Roki division, and the #1 pick in the MLB Draft, did not live up to that consensus #1 billing. And neither did Roki for that matter. Keep this in mind when you are making your own picks in your league. I’ve preached this since I started writing, but don’t be afraid to think with a mind of your own and make outlier picks. Even when baseball executives, real life prospect evaluators, and fantasy prospect evaluators are all in alignment, we all might be very wrong. Sure when you make a weird a pick your entire league will talk shit to you and call you a dummy, and if it doesn’t end up working out, you’ll never hear the end of it, but if you do hit, you will be treated like a conquering hero … hah, who am I kidding, no you won’t be. They will act like they don’t even remember giving you shit for it ha. But if you’ve achieved the important life level of not caring what other people think of you (it’s less not caring, you want people to like/respect you, it’s more not letting it impact your life decisions and behavior), then you will man up (person up?) and take Ethan Conrad 1st this year 😉 … or whichever guy is pinging your gut as the guy. But back to Bazzana, while he didn’t deserve to be the top dog, he still had a strong year. He put up a 137 wRC+ with 9 homers, 12 steals, and a 24.3/17.6 K%/BB% in 84 games split between Double-A and Triple-A. The lift/pull ability is there, he hits generally hard with a 89.3 MPH EV, the 24.3% whiff% at Triple-A is solid, the approach is excellent with a 13.2% Chase, and he runs. All of the ingredients we loved last off-season were there, just not to quite as high levels as we hoped to see. And the hit tool was most disappointing with a .245 BA and the high K rate. I’m not gonna lie, his still very high value might be more inflated by his name value and reputation than by the cold hard analysis of the numbers. The cold hard analysis says he’s just a solid to good prospect, and not really a standout one. Hard for me say that, because I do still like him a lot, and I still see a 20/20 guy, but maybe I’m also falling victim to the past hype. – 2026 Projection: 69/15/61/.228/.304/.392/17 Prime Projection: 84/20/72/.252/.331/.434/23

28) Marcelo Mayer – BOS, 3B, 23.4 – I get the sense that people are starting to get lulled to sleep by Mayer. They view him as a nice bat maybe, solid player, but I think people are massively underestimating how special of a bat this is. Dude is 6’3” with one of the sweetest lefty swings out there, and it’s not just sweet, it’s lightning fast with a 74.1 MPH bat speed. It results in him consistently crushing the ball with a 48.5% Hard Hit% at Triple-A and an even better 51.7% Hard Hit% in the majors. That mark was 29th best in baseball (over 500 pitch minimum). This isn’t just a nice, solid bat. This dude is a beast. Some hit tool issues popped up in the MLB debut with a .228 BA and 30.1/5.9 K%/BB%, but a 28.6% whiff% and 29.7% Chase% isn’t bad at all for a 22 year old’s first taste of the bigs. It’s actually more encouraging than discouraging. He’s not a lift and pull machine, but a 12 degree launch with a 17.9% Air Pull% at Triple-A is perfectly fine, especially with how hard he hits the ball. And while he doesn’t run a ton, the 27.5 ft/sec sprint was average, so he should at least chip in a handful. Everything is trending toward Mayer being a complete hitter who will hit in the middle of a strong Red Sox lineup for years to come. His glove was excellent at both 3B and 2B, so it’s highly likely he will have a starting job somewhere right out of the gate (looking locked in at 3B right now). I don’t love the wrist surgery, as wrist injuries are known killers, but I’m not letting it scare me off. If Mayer isn’t being treated like the truly special bat he is in your league, I would jump on that value. – 2026 Projection: 68/20/77/.252/.313/.433/8 Prime Projection: 94/27/94/.271/.344/.482/11

29) Ryan Waldschmidt – ARI, OF, 23.6 – Waldschmidt is the Luke Keaschall do over. If you missed out on Keaschall, Waldschimdt is your chance to rectify that mistake, and just like Keaschall, he’s never going to truly get the respect he deserves on prospect lists. It’s actually remarkable how similar the profile and career arcs are. Keaschall put up a 146 wRC+ in his pro debut in 2023, and then Waldschmidt put up a 142 wRC+ in his pro debut in 2024. Keaschall went full breakout the next year at High-A and Double-A, slashing .303/.420/.483 with 15 homers, 23 steals, and a 17.2/13.4 K%/BB% in 102 games, and of course, Waldchmidt nearly matched him identically in 2025, slashing .289/.419/.473 with 18 homers, 29 steals, and a 17.6/16.0 K%/BB% in 134 games (the last 66 games at Double-A). The lift and pull is also extremely similar, and Waldschmidt might have more raw power potential at 6’2” (Keaschall is 6’0”). They are actually about the same age, so I guess advantage goes to Keaschall for already being in the majors, but you get the point. Waldschmidt has an above average across the board profile, and he still doesn’t quite get the respect he deserves on prospect lists. – 2026 Projection: 24/6/21/.249/.318/.417/8 Prime Projection: 88/22/79/.271/.343/.453/23

30) Joshua Baez – STL, OF, 22.9 – Back in early July, when Baez was still getting lukewarm love, when people were still hesitant to really go all in, I saw the opportunity to strike, naming him one of my top Mid-Season Targets, writing, “This guy just has Lawrence Butler 2.0 written all over him. I know his hype has been rising, but I still think even a super savvy dynasty owner might be looking at him as a perfect sell high opportunity. Popped up “out of nowhere,” there is hit tool risk, they just might be thinking they are the one getting one over on you, but it’s going to be the other way around. Play possum on this one. Dummy up. Because what Baez is doing is exactly what Butler did. He’s an absolute specimen at 6’3”, 220 pounds, he crushes the ball, he has 34 steals in 39 attempts in 69 games total, and he now has a 25.8/16.4 K%/BB% in 31 games at Double-A. He’s proving his hit tool gains are real. And the insane, true elite talent is there. Pretend you’re the fool buying in too hard, and then don’t gloat when in a year or two their former owner realizes the mistake they make. You just got lucky ;)” … and then not only did he continue to keep it up, he took the hit tool up a notch with a 14.1%/10.6% K%/BB% in his final 40 games of the season at Double-A. The dude is a jacked 6’3” version of Kevin McGonigle out there ha, not quite, but you get the point. He finished the season going 20/54 in 117 games. Like we saw with Lawrence Butler in 2025, it’s hard to feel we are ever completely out of the woods with the hit tool risk on these types, but the massive improvement he showed, combined with his monster upside, is worthy of an extremely high ranking on a fantasy list especially. Since I wrote that Target blurb, his hype has already exploded, and if you took my advice back then, you almost surely already feel like you got one over on somebody. But he’s still on the underrated side now too, so it’s not too late. This is a Top 30 dynasty prospect, and that might still be underselling him. – 2026 Projection: 17/6/23/.228/.301/.418/7 Prime Projection: 79/25/84/.248/.327/.471/28

31) Justin Crawford – PHI, OF, 22.3 – Let’s not beat around the bush, we all know the issue, and it’s that Crawford has an extreme 59.4% GB%. So before we start getting into him hopefully lowering that significantly, the question is can a player succeed with such a high groundball rate? And the answer to that question is a clear yes. And I’m not even talking about Justin’s father, Carl, who is the so obvious comp here, but I’m talking about a possibly even better comp, and that is none other than Christian Yelich. Yelich put up a 63.2% GB% in his 2013 MLB debut and put up a 118 wRC+. He put up a 61% in 2014 (118 wRC+) and a 62.5% in 2015 (120 wRC+). The power uptick came when he dropped the GB% into the mid 50% range. So he was really good even before the drop, and after the drop, he was MVP great. Just this past season, Yelich had a lower launch than Crawford (2 degrees vs. 3 degrees) and Yelich still hit 29 homers. Obviously Yelich is a special talent, but that is the point, so is Crawford. They are both lefties of similar size with good contact rates and the ability to hit the ball very hard. Crawford had a 18.4% whiff% with a 45.3% Hard Hit% at Triple-A. He’s still a very projectable 6’2”, so it’s very possible that Hard Hit is sitting in the upper 40’s at peak, just like Yelich (career 48.4% Hard Hit%). Yelich had better chase so it’s not a perfect comp, but you get the point, a special talent like Crawford absolutely can make a super high groundball rate work. And if he can drop it another 5 to 10 percentage points, watch the hell out. On steals and contact alone Crawford will make a fantasy impact even if he’s not a great real life hitter, but he can most certainly be a great real life hitter too. I’m not getting scared off by the ground ball rates. I’m buying Crawford, and right now, he looks like he can break camp as Philadelphia’s starting CF. – 2026 Projection: 71/9/41/.257/.316/.387/28 Prime Projection: 93/17/72/.281/.344/.436/41

32) Jordan Lawlar – ARI, 3B, 23.9 – I can’t believe we are still ranking Lawlar as a prospect, but he really doesn’t have anyone to blame but himself. The reason he is still a “prospect” is because he’s been very injury prone, and when he does get his shot in the majors, he does absolutely nothing. Less than nothing actually, he’s a negative with a negative 0.7 WAR in 108 PA. He once again only played sporadically in 2025, which is not a recipe for success, but he’s only playing sporadically because he hit .182 with a 35.1% K% in 74 PA this year. I get being completely fatigued with him, and you can definitely question if he truly does have star upside. He destroyed Triple-A in a hitter’s haven, but the 88.8 MPH EV and 43.6% Hard Hit% don’t really jump off the screen. That is a good power for sure, and it should only rise, but it’s not beastly power yet. And it came with a 27.3% whiff%. The 71.7 MPH swing in the majors is only average, and he was bad at 3B. The thing that might be scaring me the most right now is how awful he was in the Dominican Winter League. He put up a .432 OPS  with a 18/0 K/BB in 46 PA. It’s only 46 PA, but man, it almost shouldn’t even be possible for a 23 year old stud to be that horrific. There are enough cracks in this profile to clearly move him out of the elite or even near elite prospect range, but I still think his fantasy upside needs to be respected. The fantasy friendly profile is fully there with lift and pull, good raw power, and elite speed/base stealing (29.7 ft/sec sprint). He was also finally starting to find his groove in the majors in September, slashing .333/.390/.528 with a 24.4/7.3 K%/BB% and 88 MPH EV in his last 41 PA. If Arizona just takes the leash off and let’s him go, I still see a seriously impactful fantasy contributor, but Arizona just doesn’t seem to believe in him after trading for Arenado with a contract that runs through 2027. OF and DH now seem to be his best path and he’s going to have to kick the door down. – 2026 Projection: 37/11/44/.236/.303/.419/17 Prime Projection: 82/20/74/.251/.332/.441/30

33) Emil Morales – LAD, SS, 19.6 – I love it when I’m evaluating the incoming international class and a prospect absolutely explodes off the screen. It happened with Lazaro Montes. It happened with Sebastian Walcott. And then it happened with Emil Morales. True athletic beasts that look undeniable even in a few swings on a Youtube video. All 3 immediately became the biggest targets for me in their international class, and all 3 exploded in pro ball. It’s just so fun hitting on one of these guys with such little information, and I can’t help it for them to become personal favorites. Montes and Walcott are obviously long past getting any value on them, but there is still value to be had on Morales, surprisingly. I went all in even more after he destroyed the DSL in 2024, ranking him 39th overall on the 2025 Top 500 Prospect Ranks last off-season when he wasn’t even getting Top 100 love, and he proved my love for him correct once again, closing out the season at Single-A as an 18 year old, slashing .339/.420/.548 with 5 homers, 5 steals, and a 23.1/11.9 K%/BB% in 30 games. That was good for a 160 wRC+. The hit tool was getting better and better as the year went on, he’s a true beast at 6’3” with lift/pull and hard hit, and he’s a legitimately good athlete. This is not just a lumbering slugger. This is a very special talent, who to my disbelief, still might not get a ton of Top 100 love. I don’t get it, but it’s better for you, because there is still time to get in before his value utterly explodes in 2026. I see a star every time I watch this kid, hit tool risk be damned. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 91/33/102/.261/.343/.515/12

34) Luis Pena – MIL, SS/2B, 19.4 – I’ve hammered home the point that there is no better sign for a prospect than when they get promoted to a higher level and not only maintain their production, but take it up notch. It’s the sign of the rocket ship. And Pena started off as that rocket ship at Single-A, blasting off beautifully into the atmosphere, but when he got to higher levels and tried to detach the Flux Capacitors or whatever, it was like watching one of those disasters of the Apollo blowing up right before our eyes. He crumbled at High-A with a 43 wRC+ and 24.8/5.5 K%/BB% in 25 games. While it’s not what we optimally want to see, struggling at higher levels before adjusting is the process most prospects have to go through. Just because you aren’t the rare straight rocket ship that we dream on, doesn’t mean it’s time to panic at all. Pena already established his near elite prospect credentials as an 18 year old at Single-A, slashing .308/.375/.469 with 6 homers, 41 steals, and a 13.3/9.1 K%/BB% in 71 games. He was a named Target last off-season, writing, “he has an explosive righty swing that can hit the ball hard, there is plenty of room to tack on mass, and he doesn’t have any major lift and pull problems, so there is definitely potential for him to develop some level of real power down the line.” … and then that power came with 9 homers in 96 games overall. Made overshadows him, and we are seeing more and more 18 years old at higher levels these days, but let’s remember how special it is for an 18 year old to perform the way he did in full season ball. He has a precocious feel to hit with speed and developing power. Don’t let the High-A struggles scare you off too much – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 91/20/72/.276/.337/.454/31

35) Josue Briceno DET, C/1B, 21.7 – You already know that I am the world’s foremost expert on Josue’s (I even held up my end of the bargain this season by writing up Josue Brito of the DSL after his first two homers, and then he went on to be tied for the 3rd most homers with 9). I was all over De Paula and Briceno when they were truly complete unknowns, not a whisper of hype, and I continued to be all in on them last off-season, even with Briceno’s lukewarm year at Single-A. Well, that is kind of misleading, because while he wasn’t great at Single-A, he was the MVP of the AFL with 10 homers in 25 games, and then he carried that over into High-A in 2025, slashing .296/.422/.602 with 15 homers and a 16.4/16.8 K%/BB% in 55 games. He wasn’t as good when he got the call to Double-A, but he was only 20, the 112 wRC+ was still good, and he was finding his groove with a .807 OPS in his last 31 games. This is a middle of the order beast at a chiseled 6’4” with a powerful lefty swing that is made to launch bombs. The plate skills have been very strong throughout his career, so there isn’t major hit tool risk either. The biggest quibble with his profile is that he wasn’t great vs. lefties with a .721 OPS, and there is uncertainty around his defensive home. He’s been good enough at catcher to not move him off, and I can foresee a possible Ben Rice like situation here with him getting enough run at catcher to keep eligibility, while playing mostly 1B/DH. He doesn’t have a clear path to playing time with Tork and Carp under team control until 2028, so I can see him taking over the role I laid out in 2029 and beyond assuming there are no trades/injuries which open up a spot sooner. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 84/31/90/.267/.348/.501/1

36) Eduardo Quintero – LAD, OF, 20.7 – Quintero continues to be one off the very best hitters at every single level he plays at. He put up a 177 wRC+ in the DSL in 2023, a 146 wRC+ in stateside rookie in 2024, and then a 158 wRC+ at Single-A in 2025. The cherry on top is that he closed the year out at High-A as a still 19 year old and put up a 135 wRC+ in 32 games. It may sound obvious and simple, but I love a guy who just keeps on raking no matter the competition put in front of him. He finished the season slashing .293/.415/.508 with 19 homers, 47 steals, and a 22.7/16.3 K%/BB% in 113 games. They wanted him to lift/pull more this year, and he did it. Again, making adjustments and not seeing the production drop off at all is another great sign, because baseball is a game of adjustments, and you need to be able to tinker like that your entire career basically. He has a good feel to hit, he has plus power potential, he has speed and he’s a good defensive CF. That is all the boxes except upper minors production, but that is likely coming soon too. As much love as Quintero gets, he’s probably still underhyped. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 91/23/78/.263/.342/.450/31

37) Zyhir Hope – LAD, OF, 21.2 – If an NFL Running Back played baseball, I imagine it would look a lot like Zyhir Hope. He’s got an NFL running back build at 5’10” with thunder thighs of pure steel, and he’s got the power/speed combo of a running back as well, crushing the ball with 13 homers and stealing 27 bags in 127 games at mostly High-A. He put up a 131 wRC+. Unfortunately, he also has the hit tool of a running back, hah, just playing, it’s not that bad, but there is definitely hit tool issues with a 26.3% K%. I’m very encouraged by his cup of coffee at Double-A to close out the season though. He put up a 20% K% in 20 PA, and while it’s too small of a sample to read into too much, it’s still a good sign. And he hit .266 on the season, so it’s not like the guy is completely incapable of hitting for average. The risk is he ends up a strong side of a platoon corner outfielder, but there is way too much upside in here to get overly scared off by the risk. He was just 20 years old last off-season, so there is time for him to refine the hit tool, and if anyone can help him, it’s the Dodgers. The Dodgers need some payoff from that Michael Busch trade (Busch for Hope and Ferris), and Hope is that payoff. The lefty Randy Arozarena is the comp. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 88/24/79/.250/.338/.455/26

38) Alfredo Duno – CIN, C, 20.3 – Duno vs. Rainiel is a really interesting debate to me as the top catcher prospect in the lower minors, and while it seems the vast majority (or maybe everybody but me, I’m not sure) has it as an easy call in Rodriguez’ direction, I can’t lie that I’m leaning Duno by a slightest of hairs. There are several reasons for that, but the two biggest are that Duno has a massive ballpark advantage (Cincy has the 2nd best ballpark for righty homers and St. Louis has the 5th worst) and Duno also has a path to playing time advantage. Essentially, I think this is Duno’s job when he’s ready and I think he is going to inherently get a longer leash with the bat and glove when he does get that chance. St. Louis is stacked at catcher up and down their organization. The other reasons I have it Duno are because he’s bigger (6’2” vs. 5’10”) and he hits it considerably harder (48.6% Hard Hit% vs. 39.2% at Single-A). Duno had a .423 xwOBA vs Rodriguez’ .368 xwOBA at Single-A. Those are vastly different xwOBA’s. You can say Rodriguez has the age to level edge, but Duno was really good at Single-A as an 18 year old too in 2024. The biggest edge to Rodriguez, and the one where this call could make me look dumb, is that he has the better contact rates. Duno had a 31% whiff% vs. Rodriguez’ 23% whiff%. But Rodriguez had a .249 BA at Single-A because he lifts and pulls an extreme amount, which is great in general, but in a terrible ballpark for righty homers, and with good but not great Hard Hit (there is little to no projection left on his frame, he’s already thick), it might not lead to the highest BA’s in the future either. I love both and it’s coin flip for me, but I have to give my raw unfiltered take on what I would do if I had this choice in my league, and my gut is just leaning Duno. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 71/31/87/.251/.340/.491/4

39) Rainiel Rodriguez – STL, C, 19.3 – Because I felt the need to kinda shit on Rodriguez a bit in the Duno blurb, let me start off this blurb with some excitement, because Rodriguez deserves it. He was the top catcher breakout in the DSL in 2024 with a monstrous 10 homers and 190 wRC+ in 41 games, and then he managed to one up even that at stateside rookie in 2025 with 7 homers and 237 wRC+ in 20 games. That kind of dominance at the rookie ball levels is some of the best we’ve really ever seen, so it was no surprise to also see him kill it at Single-A, slashing .249/.373/.498 with 13 homers, 3 steals, and a 17.4/14.0 K%/BB% in 60 games. I completely understand looking at this level of production as an 18 year old and saying this is one of the most special bats in the minors league, period, regardless of position. He’s a lift and pull god with a 20 degree launch and 29.4% Air Pull%, the plate skills are excellent, and he hits it hard, especially for his age, with a 104.3 MPH 90th% EV and 39.2% Hard Hit%. I love his bat. The things to quibble with are just that, minor quibbles. Sure the path to playing time isn’t clear, but a bat like this generally clears the way for itself no matter who is in it’s path. The ballpark isn’t great, and with his current level of lift/pull and hard hit, it could result in low batting averages, but he’s so young that it would be silly to just say this is always who he is going to be. He will likely hit the ball harder at peak and also refine his general approach. Just because I have Duno ranked higher by a hair doesn’t mean I don’t love Rodriguez. I think it says more about how much I love Duno. Both are awesome. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 76/27/83/.268/.354/.477/3

40) Caleb Bonemer – CHW, SS, 20.6 – You know I love it when a prospect gets to a higher level and takes it up a notch, and that is exactly what Bonemer did to close out the season, putting up a 192 wRC+ in 11 games at High-A. I loved him in FYPD’s last off-season, and I shot him up the rankings very quickly when he immediately came out hot in his first taste of pro ball at Single-A, so those last 11 games were the final cherry on top of his near elite prospect status. He finished the year slashing .281/.401/.473 with 12 homers, 29 steals, and a 21.2/15.8 K%/BB% in 107 games. He lifts and pulls a ton with a 34% GB% and 53.6% Pull%, so as the power rises naturally, the homers will most certainly be there. And at a big and physical 6’1”, I have no questions about the power. He’s not a burner, but he’s a good athlete and good base stealer. And finally, the plate skills were good with a good feel to hit and approach. The only thing going against him is that we need to trust Chicago to develop him, and while I’m not a slave to organization, it is a factor we unfortunately have to take into account. More to that point, his swing is not the smoothest thing out there. I can’t find the right word at the moment, but it’s a bit abrupt maybe (again, not the perfect word for it). I do think it’s possible the hit tool isn’t going to look as good against advanced competition, and we have to trust Chicago to make those little adjustments as he climbs the ladder. I’m not letting it scare me off, but it’s something in the back of my mind. He’s also almost certainly going to get moved off SS to 3B or OF. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 82/26/88/.258/.335/.467/18

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-A TOP 200 SNEAK PEEK OF THE 2026 TOP 1,000 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS (full Top 1,000 coming next week)
-TOP 500 2026 DYNASTY FANTASY BASEBALL PROSEPCTS RANKS
2026 DEEP POSITIONAL RANKS: Top 80 C–Top 91 1B–Top 97 2B–Top 101 3B–Top 161 SS–Top 288 OF–Top 335 SP
-TOP 161 2026 FIRST YEAR PLAYER DRAFT RANKS
2026 FYPD TARGET & STRATEGY GUIDE
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: END OF SEASON MAILBAG!
SPREADSHEETS
-Plus so much more coming like Position by Position Targets, Predicting Future Prospect Lists, Top 10 2027 FYPD Rankings, Spring Training Rundowns …

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

Top 100 Prospects Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues (Patreon)

There will always be a warm place in my heart for the OG Top 100 Baseball Prospects Rankings (I do a full Top 500+ Prospects Rankings in very early February). I remember the good old days when if a prospect didn’t crack a Top 100 Prospects Rankings, they were considered garbage. When a non Top 100 prospect used to break out on the MLB level, people’s heads would explode on how such a “non” prospect could slip through the cracks. And as a writer, if you were able to identify a non Top 100 prospect who was actually good, you were hailed as one of the true geniuses of your time. Times have changed obviously, and now we know there are so many legitimately really good prospects well beyond the Top 100. Even looking at my list right now, there are a ton of guys I would say “should” rank higher, and that’s on my own list. But I can’t rank everybody as a Top 50 prospect, so even prospects I really love will fall lower than even I want. That is where the blurb and projection add so much value beyond just the ranking. Also keep in mind every prospect with under 130 AB and under 50 IP are eligible for this list, which will push the rankings down a bit compared to lists that also use MLB service time. But enough small talk, let’s lay down some roots with the OG Top 100 Prospects Rankings before I drop the full Top 500 in a few weeks. Top 25 free here on the Brick Wall. Full analysis, Prime Projections, and 2026 Projections (if applicable) for every player. Here is the Top 100 Prospects Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues (Patreon):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-A TOP 200 SNEAK PEEK OF THE 2026 TOP 1,000 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP 100 2026 DYNASTY FANTASY BASEBALL PROSEPCTS RANKS (a Top 500 coming soon)
2026 DEEP POSITIONAL RANKS: Top 80 C–Top 91 1B–Top 97 2B–Top 101 3B–Top 161 SS
-TOP 161 2026 FIRST YEAR PLAYER DRAFT RANKS
2026 FYPD TARGET & STRATEGY GUIDE
END OF SEASON 2025 TOP 450 DYNASTY RANKS
END OF SEASON 2025 TOP 325 PROSPECTS RANKS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: END OF SEASON MAILBAG!
SPREADSHEETS
OFF-SEASON CONTENT: Dynasty Team Reports (Top 10 Prospects/Interesting MLB guys/Strategy of the Day), Deep Positional Rankings, Predicting Future Prospect Lists, Position by Position Targets, 2026 & Prime/Peak Projections, Top 1,000+ Dynasty Rankings, Top 500+ Prospects Rankings, Top 100+ FYPD Ranks + much more

Previous Dynasty Team Reports on Patreon (free ones listed in parenthesis)

Arizona DiamondbacksAtlanta BravesBaltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox (free)Chicago Cubs (free)Cincinnati Reds (free)Cleveland GuardiansColorado RockiesDetroit TigersHouston AstrosKansas City RoyalsLos Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers (free)Miami MarlinsMilwaukee BrewersMinnesota TwinsNew York Yankees (free)Pittsburgh Pirates (free)Sacramento AthleticsSeattle MarinersSt. Louis Cardinals (free)Tampa Bay RaysTexas RangersToronto Blue JaysWashington Nationals

1) Konnor Griffin – PIT, SS/OF, 19.11 – I felt the Griffin explosion in my gut last off-season. The Baseball Gods were speaking to me, and I listened, predicting he would explode into elite prospect status in my Predicting the Top 50 2026 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings last off-season, ranking him 4th overall and writing, “Griffin will have the explosion that everyone who passed on him in first year player drafts feared he would have. The hit tool concerns will be overblown as he maintains an under 25% K% at Single-A, and the power/speed combo will shine with 16 homers and 48 steals in 102 games. He’ll basically be the 2026 version of the 2025 version of Sebastian Walcott. Off the charts tools and a better than expected hit tool.” … and then he went out and surpassed even those expectations, slashing .333/.415/.527 with 21 homers, 65 steals, and a 21.7/8.9 K%/BB% in 122 games. He finished the season at Double-A where he actually put up his best wRC+ of any level with a 175 wRC+ in 21 games. Remember when everyone was making excuses for the 19 year old Walcott at Double-A all year for his mediocre slash? Well, Griffin came in and just busted that whole thing up, showing a 19 year old can most certainly dominate the level. Not only did I forsee the rise in the off-season, but I got blow back after ranking him 1st overall on the Prospect Rankings in early June before he even got the call to High-A. I then made a final plea in my August Dynasty Rankings before he got the call to Double-A, shooting him up to 29th overall and writing, “This is my final plea to you. DO NOT TRADE GRIFFIN UNDER ANY SCENARIO. I don’t even think Roman Anthony can touch his upside. Just don’t trade him, please.” And then after what he did at Double-A, there is no more room for debate. He’s lightning fast, he crushes the ball with a 91.2 MPH EV and 49% Hard Hit%, and the hit tool was better than expected. This is not only the #1 prospect in baseball, but he’s already a nearly elite dynasty asset for me. – 2026 Projection: 28/9/35/.247/.318/.433/17 Prime Projection: 118/32/111/.279/.351/.523/44

2) Kevin McGonigle – DET, SS/2B, 21.8 – You know I’m not shy to take a victory lap when I hit on a player that everyone else (or almost everyone else) was low on, so I also have to take my lashes when I miss on a player that everyone else but me was super high on. Truth of the matter is, when you rank with a mind of your own, which I pride myself on and preach to others (and preach to you as dynasty owners too), you are going to end up looking like a genius on your unique hits, and a moron on your unique misses, when in reality, you are probably not a genius or a moron. You are just trying to block out the noise and give a raw, unfiltered opinion. My favorite rankings, and the ones I find most valuable, are the ones that aren’t mostly the same as the consensus/general perception, and are also backed up by solid reasoning and analysis, whether you agree or disagree with the ranking. So with that as the backdrop, Kevin McGonigle is who I consider my biggest miss in 2025. I had him ranked 54th overall, which I mean, is a pretty good ranking in general, and I called him a souped up Steven Kwan, which is really still an accurate “comp,” but the vast majority of other spots had him in the Top 25 range at least, or higher. I’m generally lower on hit tool first guys for fantasy (I was also lower on Angel Genoa and Starlyn Caba, both of whom took steps back in 2025), but when a hit tool first guy hits his ceiling, it looks exactly like what McGonigle just did. He slashed .305/.408/.583 with 19 homers, 10 steals, and a 11.6/14.9 K%/BB% in 99 games at High-A and Double-A. He’s not a big guy at 5’10”, but he can lift and pull, and he hits it very hard with legit plus raw power potential. He’s less a souped up Steven Kwan, and more in the mold of Mookie Betts and Jose Ramirez, if you want to dream on his tippy top ceiling. He wasn’t good on the bases this year (10 for 17), and he’s not a true burner, but he was much better last year (22 for 24), so I would would expect a bounce back in 2026 there. You won’t hear me doubting him ever again. Konnor Griffin is my top dog, but McGonigle is my #2 prospect in baseball, and he might have a real shot to break camp with the team. – 2026 Projection: 63/15/54/.268/.337/.434/13 Prime Projection: 111/24/91/.290/.370/.485/20

3) Samuel Basallo – BAL, C/1B, 21.7 – Basallo is going to follow the Junior Caminero track to a T. I can feel it. Caminero came up and was horrific in his first little taste in 2023 (which I told you not even to look at those numbers) and then was mediocre in his more extended taste in 2024 (which I advised, “if there is any buy window based on the small, mediocre MLB sample, I would be all over it.”), before having a monster explosion this season. Basallo is going through that exact same adjustment period, looking mediocre in his pro debut with a .559 OPS in 31 games, but just like Caminero, please completely ignore those numbers. His 75.5 MPH swing is near elite, and while not as elite as Caminero, it’s still damn good. He demolishes the baseball like Caminero with a 94.2 MPH EV, 57.4% Hard Hit%, and 23 homers in 76 games at Triple-A, and also like Caminero, it’s always come with solid strikeout rates while being extremely young for the level. Even with some chase and whiff in their game, these are the type of bats where it really doesn’t matter. And Basallo lifts and pulls more than Caminero. It’s inevitable that Basallo is going to start raking his face off in the majors in the very near future. Whether it comes at catcher or 1B or DH or a combination of all of them, I don’t know, but it doesn’t really matter. He’s going to be one of the top young power hitters in the game real soon. – 2026 Projection: 67/25/81/.249/.317/.446/3 Prime Projection: 92/34/111/.266/.339/.522/4

4) Jesus Made MIL, SS, 18.11 – Made was having a solid season at Single-A, especially when you took into account he was only 18 years old, but he wasn’t really blowing the doors off with a .267/.373/.388 triple-slash. For a moment there, I was like, maybe this isn’t quite the straight rocket ship we were promised … but then he got called up to High-A and he hit the after burners, slashing .343/.415/.500 with 2 homers, 5 steals, and a 17.9/10.6 K%/BB% in 27 games. I talk about this more in the Colt Emerson blurb, but there is no better sign than when a prospect gets called up to a higher level, and not only maintains their production, but actually takes it up a notch. That is the #1 sign of the rocket ship. Milwaukee obviously recognized this too, promoting him again to Double-A at the end of the season, and while he struggled in 5 regular season games (33.3% K% with a 86 wRC+), he made his mark in the playoffs, going the opposite way off the humongous billboard advertisement for Renova Roofing. “Mother Nature ruins everything. Renova Roofing can help.” They really got their money’s worth that night. How much do you think that goes for? Should I just put a huge Brick Wall up on that thing next year or something? hah … When it was all said and done, Made delivered on his unanimous off-season hype. The hit tool, approach, hard hit and speed (47 steals) were all there. He needs to lift and pull more to full tap into his raw power (only 6 homers in 115 games), but his profile can work without a ton of lift and pull, and it wasn’t in the danger zone or anything with a 43.7% GB% and 40.5% Pull%. There is zero doubt this is the elite prospect we were promised. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 101/25/81/.278/.360/.481/28

5) Walker Jenkins MIN, OF, 21.1 – I always find it interesting when there is a collective cooling on a prospect that seems to happen at the exact same time … and then I’m the only one left standing there, going, hey, where did everyone go? That is what happened with Jenkins in 2025. He sustained a high ankle sprain in the very beginning of the season, essentially missing the first two months, and all at the same time everyone decided he was irredeemably injury prone and dropped him in the rankings. But I held strong, because no way would I ever sell low on a potentially elite dynasty asset because he sprained his ankle. Then he returned as a 20 year old at Double-A and immediately performed well, but because he didn’t immediately have the power breakout we’ve been waiting for, everyone decided the power would never come and dropped him in the rankings. Again, I held strong, because there was no way I was betting against the power coming for the 6’3”, 210 pound sweet swinging lefty. And then the power came, jacking out 7 homers in his final 44 games. The final 23 of those games came at Triple-A where he put up a respectable 89.1 MPH EV and 43.8% Hard Hit%. I gave him the Kyle Tucker comp from the time he was drafted, and Tucker has a career 44.3% Hard Hit%. Jenkins is going to have enough power when you combine it with his excellent plate approach (18.7/14.5 K%/BB% at Double-A), base stealing ability (17 for 21 in 84 games), and ability to lift and pull (15 degree launch with a 16.7% Air Pull% at Triple-A). This is the type of high floor/high ceiling prospect that we love. At worst, he looks like a solid across the board contributor, and at best, he’s Kyle Tucker 2.0. – 2026 Projection: 29/7/31/.249/.322/.418/8 Prime Projection: 96/26/82/.271/.354/.478/20

6) Chase Burns – CIN, RHP, 23.2 – Chase Burns is my #1 pitching prospect in baseball (at least in leagues that use the 50 IP threshold, like most of my leagues do, and not service time, because based on service time I don’t think he’s prospect eligible anymore). I was high on him in First Year Player Drafts last off-season, ranking him 4th overall, because I saw the type of true ace upside that was worth sticking your neck out for, and then he went out and proved it. He sliced through the minor leagues with a 1.77 ERA and 36.8/5.4 K%/BB% in 66 IP, and then he almost did the same in the majors with a 3.47 xERA (4.57 ERA) and a 35.6/8.5 K%/BB% in 43.1 IP. The 98.7 MPH 4-seamer is near elite with a 25.2% whiff% and +4 Run Value and the slider is also near elite with a .229 xwOBA and 43.7% whiff%. He only went to the changeup 5.6% of the time, mostly vs. lefties, but it was a solid pitch with a 33.3% whiff% and 75.7 MPH EV against. The control was really good too. He’s an athletic 6’3”, 210 pounds. I don’t see how it can get anymore obvious than this. This is a true ace waiting to happen, even pitching in Cincinnati. He ranked 50th overall on my Top 200 Sneak Peek of the Top 1,000 2026 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon). – 2026 Projection: 10/3.42/1.15/190 in 150 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.03/0.98/245 in 190 IP

7) JJ Wetherholt STL, 2B/SS, 23.7 – Wetherholt was exactly who we thought he was. It’s exactly who he’s been since his freshman year of college. It’s exactly who he’s been since his pro debut in 2024. And now it’s exactly who he’s been through the upper minors, slashing .306/.421/.510 with 17 homers, 23 steals, and a 14.7/14.5 K%/BB% in 109 games split between Double-A and Triple-A. He crushes the ball with a 91.4 MPH EV and 49% Hard Hit%, he’s got speed, and the plate skills are near elite. He’s not a huge lift and pull guy, but he doesn’t have to be for this type of profile. The 12 degree launch and 13.6% Air Pull% aren’t too bad, and he can easily improve on those over time. The 24.3 whiff% at Triple-A wasn’t quite as good as the K%, so he might not truly be an elite contact guy, but the hit tool is clearly plus at least. He was projected to be a .280/20/20 type coming out of the draft, and that is now cemented with his excellent first full year of pro ball. He’s also expected to break camp with the big league club as their starting 2B or 3B. Proximity, safety, upside … he’s got it all. – 2026 Projection: 76/16/68/.262/.331/.425/19 Prime Projection: 103/21/82/.284/.369/.473/24

8) Max Clark – DET, OF, 21.4 – I’m not saying Clark is underrated, but doesn’t it feel like he gets so much less hype than he should? He was the 3rd overall pick in a stacked draft and has done nothing but rake in pro ball, but I don’t know, it just seems he doesn’t get people overly excited I guess. But you should be overly excited, because this year he proved it in the upper minors as a 20 year old, slashing .251/.360/.439 with 7 homers, 7 steals, and a 16.7/14.3 K%/BB% in 43 games. That was good for a 135 wRC+. He’s not Kevin McGonigle level of hit tool good, but that is still in the double plus range. He continues to grow into more raw power, and he started to get to a lot more of it by lifting and pulling a lot more when he got to Double-A. The power is good, not great right now, but the power is only going to get bigger and bigger as he ages. And while I wish he ran wild crazy, he was 19 for 21 on the bases, so he’s an excellent base stealer with at least plus speed. He has a great combination of floor and upside right now, with 15/25 and a solid BA/OBP being the floor, and 25/40 with a great BA being the upside. He’s an elite dynasty prospect. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 96/20/78/.278/.359/.451/30

9) Sebastian Walcott – TEX, SS, 20.1 – Sorry Sebastian, but the also 19-year-old Konnor showed up to the Double-A party late in the season and made your solid but unspectacular season look even more unspectacular. And then the 18-year-old Leodalis rolled up and just straight made it look easy. We were giving Walcott a ton of leeway before those two showed us how it was really done, and while that does put Walcott’s season in better perspective, it shouldn’t come close to completely taking away what he did. He put up a 111 wRC+ with 13 homers, 32 steals and a 19.6/12.7 K%/BB% in 124 games. Considering the hit tool risk was a legitimate concern, seeing that K/BB as a 19 year old at Double-A is insanely encouraging. And being 11% above league average at his age is still impressive. Sure the .255/.355/.386 triple slash doesn’t jump off the screen, and sure Konnor and Leo blew him out of the water, but we are still looking at a potential fantasy stud. We know the talent by now. He’s an elite athlete at 6’4” with a potentially elite power/speed combo. He’s not a finished product, and it would definitely be nice to see him destroy a level, which he’s never done yet, but it’s not stopping me from still calling him a truly elite prospect. Texas has already hinted that while they have promoted him aggressively, they aren’t planning on just handing him an MLB job next year. I can see him spending the entire season, or vast majority of it, in the minors unless he leaves them no choice with complete destruction. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 93/27/84/.268/.345/.478/24

10) Trey Yesavage – TOR, RHP, 22.8 – It’s a 3 man race between Burns, Yesavage, and McLean for the #1 pitching prospect in baseball. None of them should really be considered prospects anymore with all of them throwing over 40 IP (including the playoffs), so it’s an unfair fight, but they all proved their high end skills will transfer to the majors, and that gives them a leg up over everyone else. I thought I was about to be the high guy on Yesavage like I was in the End of Season Dynasty Rankings, but that was before the playoffs, and well, Yesevage absolutely dazzled the baseball world. He put up a 3.58 ERA with a 35.8/10.1 K%/BB% in 27.2 IP (3.21 ERA with a 25.8/11.3 K%/BB% in 14 IP in the regular season). It came with a stupid 40% whiff%, which is genuinely insane. It sat 35.4% in the regular season, and it was 37.7% at Triple-A. These are really nearly unheard of, off the charts numbers. Starters just don’t have whiff rates that high even if you are in the elite tier. Those are closer to all time whiff rates. He generates those whiff rates mainly with the elite splitter (58.4% whiff%), but the slider is really good too with a 39.8% whiff%. So why is he my #2 pitching prospect and not #1 pitching prospect? It’s because of the fastball and below average walk rates. I don’t think the 4-seamer is bad, but it’s not that bulletproof, elite 4-seamer we often see from the very best pitchers in the league. It doesn’t have that elite velocity (94.3 MPH), it got hit really hard with a .367 xwOBA and 94.2 MPH EV against including the playoffs, and it doesn’t miss an elite amount of bats with a decent 19.8% whiff%. The pitch was better at Triple-A and it has 19.5 vert with a unique release profile, so I think it has the potential to be a good pitch, but it’s not like Burns’ 98.7 MPH 4-seamer. Burns also has average to potentially plus walk rates, while Yesavage’s are firmly below average. I wouldn’t blame you for going Yesavage over Burns (Yesavage has the ballpark advantage), and it’s close for me, but I just can’t shake wanting that super elite fastball (and also that elite slider) from Burns. Yesevage is #2. – 2026 Projection: 12/3.48/1.19/202 in 165 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.13/1.10/250 in 185 IP

11) Nolan McLean – NYM, RHP, 24.8 – I talked about it in the Yesavage blurb, but it’s a 3 man race for the top “fake” pitching prospect in baseball between Burns, Yesavage and McLean. I say “fake,” because these guys have already demonstrated dominance in the majors, which means, there is nothing prospective about them. They are known entities. But using the under 50 IP threshold that most dynasty leagues use (based on my experience), they are still considered prospects. And the reason I have McLean 3rd in that group can honestly be boiled down to mostly one thing, which is that he doesn’t miss as many bats as Burns and Yesavage. I am a sucker for whiffs, and McLean’s whiff% was 28% at Triple-A and 28.4% in the majors, while Burns went 33.7% at Triple-A and 31.9% in the majors, and Yesavage went 37.7% at Triple-A and 35.4% in the majors (even higher at 40% in the playoffs). I also didn’t love that the famed sweeper, his best and most used pitch in the minors, got utterly shelled in the majors with a .448 xwOBA and 20.3% whiff%. That isn’t just bad, that is crazy horrific. I’m obviously nitpicking here, but I find it more interesting to give my reasons for why he’s 3rd overall and not 1st overall. I clearly still love him as he dominated the majors overall with a 2.06 ERA, 3.56 xERA and 30.3/8.5 K%/BB% in 48 IP. Sure the sweeper wasn’t good, but his 5 other pitches were awesome, putting up plus Run Values ranging from 1 to 4. The sinker was the best pitch with a negative 12 degree launch, which is nuts. The curve put up a 50% whiff%. The 4-seamer missed bats and the change and cutter were solid against lefties. If you wanted to put him 1st overall, I wouldn’t argue with you (I actually probably would argue with you a little as I love Burns so much), but you get the point. McLean is awesome. – 2026 Projection: 13/3.45/1.17/183 in 170 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.22/1.10/212 in 190 IP

12) Thomas White MIA, LHP, 21.6 – Thomas White is my #1 non debuted pitching prospect in baseball. It’s not a no brainer, and it’s close, but I just don’t think anybody can match his upside. He doesn’t have the safest floor as the control/command is well below average (13.6% BB%), and he definitely does still have a visible rawness when you watch him, but keep in mind this was a 20 year old kid in the upper minors for most of the year. Having some rawness and control/command issues are completely normal for this stage of his development, and just look at what he did when he’s not even close to a fully finished product yet. He put up a 2.31 ERA with a 38.6% K% in 89.2 IP at High-A, Double-A, and Triple-A. He’s a 6’5” lefty with a 3-quarters arm slot delivery, which you know I’m a sucker for, and he has 3 plus to double plus whiff machine pitches in his 95+ MPH fastball, sweeper and changeup. He also throws a good slider. He dominated both righties (.541 OPS against) and lefties (.467 OPS against). I don’t see any reason why more refinement wouldn’t be coming down the line, and likely much more refinement, and even as is he’s going to be a strikeout machine vs. any level of hitter. He might not be the safest guy or the most fully formed, but he’s the guy who I think has the best chance of sitting in that true elite of the elite tier when it’s all said and done. He’s my top non debuted dog. – 2026 Projection: 6/3.78/1.30/110 in 100 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.18/1.11/230 in 180 IP

13) Colt Emerson – SEA, SS, 20.8 – When a prospect gets promoted to the upper minors and not only maintains their high level of production, but actually improves on their weaknesses, it is just about the best sign they could give us. That is the sign of the rocket ship, and we are all looking for that rocket ship that just can’t stop raking no matter the level. That is exactly what Emerson did in 2025. He started to tap into that big raw power with 11 homers in 90 games at High-A, and while the 49.8% GB% was still high at the level, it came all the way down to 39.6% after he got promoted to Double-A (he was improving it towards the end of his stay at High-A too). He closed out the season slashing .293/.372/.470 with 5 homers, 8 steals, and a 19.7/9.0 K%/BB% in 40 games in the upper minors. The last 6 of those games were at Triple-A where he ripped 2 homers with a 174 wRC+ and 93.6 MPH EV. He’s still not a huge lift and pull guy, but it’s a big improvement from where he was earlier in his career, and he hits the ball hard enough to hit it out to all fields. The game power uptick combines with his already excellent plate skills and athleticism to make him at the very least a near elite dynasty prospect, and maybe we should take out the “near” part. Especially hitting in Seattle, I still wouldn’t expect monster power/speed numbers, but the high BA and high Runs/RBI should make up for it. – 2026 Projection: 39/8/31/.261/.320/.418/9 Prime Projection: 98/24/79/.284/.366/.471/18

14) Leodalis De VriesSAC, SS, 19.6 – San Diego made a colossal error trading this kid away for a relief pitcher, no matter how good that relief pitcher is. They better put Mason Miller back in the rotation just on the principle of not completely embarrassing themselves more than they already have. At least then it’s semi defensible that you thought you could turn Miller into an ace, and not just a guy who throws 65 innings in an already stacked bullpen. It was mind boggling at the time, and it got even worse when De Vries exploded at Double-A as an 18 year old after the deal, slashing .281/.359/.551 with 5 homers, 2 steals, and a 19.4/7.9 K%/BB% in 21 games. I’ve talked about it a bunch in these writeups, but when a prospect gets to a higher level and not only maintains their production, but takes it up a notch, that is the sign of a truly special talent. It’s absurd that he’s only 18 years old, because when you watch him, he looks like a seasoned vet at the dish already. The kid is just a great all around baseball player with strong plate skills, contact, hard hit, athleticism, and maybe his best skill, the ability to lift and pull like crazy with a 31.7% GB% and 46.9% Pull%. The lefty swing is fast, athletic, and dangerous. He’s definitely an elite dynasty prospect, but the reason I have him here and not Top 5, is that no tool or skill necessarily jumps off the screen. He hits it hard, but he doesn’t crush it (at least not yet). He’s not a good base stealer (11 for 19), and he’s not as good with the righty swing (.664 OPS vs. lefties). It’s just nitpicking when we are talking about the very best prospects in the game, but I like to give my reasoning for why I have him where I do. Expect this dude to be a complete hitter who makes in an impact in all categories. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 94/28/96/.274/.357/.496/14

15) Carter Jensen – KCR, C, 22.9 – The small sample MLB debut at the end of the season always makes the analysis of a prospect so interesting in the off-season. Because often the value of that player gets pretty set in stone by that point of the season with a large minor league sample under their belt, but once that MLB data starts flowing in, even in a small sample, it changes the entire complexion of the analysis, both in a positive and negative direction. It leaves risk of overreacting, there is no doubt about that, but just like I’m super aggressive when I see what recently drafted players do in pro ball that first year in a small sample, I also lean towards being aggressive when I see what a prospect can do in their first taste of the majors. We know that plenty of big time prospects show immediately that they can’t hit MLB pitching, and vice versa, we’ve seen non hyped to death prospects come in and just keep on raking their faces off. Randy Arozarena comes to mind as a prominent example in the recent past. I’m forgiving of the adjustment period when a prospect struggles in many cases, but when they come out on fire, I tend to buy it, at least partially, and I’m buying Jensen. He stepped into the majors and immediately showed everything will transfer with a 20.8% Barrel%, 95.4 MPH EV, .463 xwOBA, a .941 OPS and a 17.4/13.0 K%/BB% in 20 games. The only real aberration from what he was doing at Triple-A was the contact rates, but it’s still a great sign the K% didn’t jump right up to like 40%. We see that all the time. So while I’m not buying those contact rates, I am buying that the hit tool will be good enough to let the nearly elite power shine. He lifts and pulls a ton, and with KC moving in the fences, even better. He’s not great vs. lefties, giving him real platoon risk, and he’s going to have to split the C/DH job with Perez now, and likely Mitchell later, so along with continued hit tool risk, he’s not a flawless prospect. But I see a 30+ homer bat with catcher eligibility. That has mega fantasy value. He was also only 21/22 last year. This dude is a major target as he’s still not getting the true respect he deserves. – 2026 Projection: 66/24/73/.240/.319/.468/3 Prime Projection: 77/30/83/.263/.345/.510/6

16) Sal Stewart – CIN, 1B/3B, 22.4 – As much love as Stewart is getting right now, it’s not nearly enough. I honestly don’t see how he’s not being valued like an elite of near elite dynasty prospect. He’s always displayed near elite plate skills with a plus hit tool his entire professional career from the time he was drafted at 18 years old as the 32nd overall pick. And then in his age 21 year old season he had that monster power breakout to combine with the plate skills. He hit 20 homers with a 93.1 MPH EV, 51.3% Hard Hit%, 14.2 degree launch, and a 15.6/9.3 K%/BB% in 118 games at Triple-A. That is a special hit/power combo, and then he closed the year out by dominating the majors with 5 homers, a 95.4 MPH EV, 17.9 degree launch, 52.5% Hard Hit%, and a 23.9% whiff% in 18 games. It was good for a .399 xwOBA. That is absurd for a 21 year old in his first taste of the majors. It’s fully backed up by what he did in the minors. Him going 217th overall in NFBC is way too low, and that is just for redraft. The two biggest knocks on his game are that he’s slow with a 25.8 ft/sec sprint, but he was a solid base stealer in the minors with 17 steals in 20 attempts this year, and we’ve seen slow guys steal a ton of bags (Soto, Naylor), so I think he should at least chip in with a handful, and maybe much more than that. He’s also not great on defense, but Cincinnati has plenty of room at 1B/DH, so I don’t see that as a problem for fantasy. Jensen and Stewart are in the same bucket. These dudes are elite or near elite, and I just don’t see them truly getting that respect. – 2026 Projection: 76/25/82/.260/.328/.457/7 Prime Projection: 91/30/94/.277/.351/.502/9

17) Bryce Eldridge – SFG, 1B, 21.5 – If someone is going to Nick Kurtz the majors in 2026, it’s going to be Eldridge. I would say Basallo too, but Basallo is going to Junior Caminero the majors. I think people forget that Kurtz had a .558 OPS with a 36.5% K% in his first 85 PA in the majors. People were getting nervous. But that is all obviously a distant memory now, just as Eldridge’s rough MLB debut (.476 OPS with a 35.1% K%) will soon be a distant memory. And Eldridge’s only came in 37 PA as a 20 year old. Completely throw out that debut. Actually, don’t throw it out, because the underlying data is screaming the debut was a monster success. The .363 xwOBA is all star level, and the hard hit levels were off the charts. He put up a 25% Barrel%, 95.6 MPH EV and 68.8% Hard Hit%. That was no fluke because the numbers were just as beastly at Triple-A with a 95.7 MPH EV and 63.5% Hard Hit%. It’s easy to just go “he has big power,” but I think those type of elite of the elite numbers need to be reiterated. Those are insanely special power numbers from the 6’7” lefty beast. There is clearly hit tool risk, but the whiff rates weren’t even that bad. A 33.7% whiff% at AAA and 35.4% whiff% in the majors is not like insane danger zone considering how young he was and how hard he hits it. The dude smoked 25 homers in 102 games in the upper minors despite those miss rates. and like I showed above, the xwOBA in the majors was awesome despite the whiff rates. Even a small amount of improvement would be monstrous, and he might even be fine with no improvement. The only other quibbles to the profile are that he’s not a lift and pull machine, but he doesn’t have to be with that level of power, and he’s going to the 3rd worst park for lefty homers, but his power is ballpark proof. Eldridge is setting up to be one of the best power hitters in the game for a long time. – 2026 Projection: 68/25/81/.238/.311/.447/1 Prime Projection: 91/37/113/.264/.348/.533/1

18) Edward Florentino PIT, OF/1B, 19.5 – I don’t see Florentino getting ranked anywhere close to elite prospect range on the mainstream Top 100’s right now. In fact, he’s towards the back of those Top 100’s (although I think that is going to change when they do their off-season rankings), so depending on how deep your league mates like to dig, there could actually be really good value on Florentino this off-season. I know there are many leagues out there that almost exclusively use those mainstream lists to value prospects, and even in leagues that use the underground sources like myself, I still think there is value to be had. Florentino has a real chance of being the #1 fantasy prospect in baseball by this time next year. He’s a 6’4”, 200 pound beast with an athletic, powerful, and smooth lefty swing that is made to hit dingers. He jacked out 10 homers in 54 games at Single-A and 16 homers in 83 games overall. The underlying numbers back it up too with a 89 MPH EV, 26 degree launch, and 38.7% Hard Hit%. He did that as just an 18 year old, so those hard hit numbers are only going up, and the best part is that he looked like a seasoned vet with excellent plate skills, putting up a 16.3% whiff% and 22.5% Chase%. This has the makings of a truly special power bat. And wildest part of all is that he’s a really good baserunner, going 35 for 41 on the bases. He’s not a burner with poor to mediocre speed grades, so maybe the steals slow down as he climbs the ladder, but Pitt also played him in CF mostly, which tells me there is very real athleticism in here. I doubt he ends up in CF, but you don’t just throw a guy into CF for funsies. It means something that they had him out there. Don’t be lulled to sleep by the low mainstream rankings. Treat him like the elite prospect he is. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 96/33/107/.268/.354/.509/16

19) Bubba Chandler – PIT, RHP, 23.6 – Triple-A is hard. Like really hard. The Majors is easier. That was a running joke I had in the Dynasty Rundowns all season, but it wasn’t really a joke at all. So many pitchers struggled hard at Triple-A, and then looked much better in the majors. Maybe it was the ABS Challenge system (which is coming to the Majors in 2026), maybe it was the ballparks, maybe they were pissed they weren’t in the majors already, maybe they were working on stuff, or maybe it was a combination of many things, but too many pitchers looked so much better once they got to the majors to write it off, especially their walk rates. And Chandler most certainly got the Majors is easier bump once he got there, putting up a 4.02 ERA with a 25.0/3.2 K%/BB% in 31.1 IP. He had a 5.96 ERA with a 21.2/13.1 K%/BB% in his last 51.1 IP at Triple-A before getting the call. The turnaround is just wild. The 98.9 MPH fastball got hit hard with a 93.9 MPH EV, but it was a whiff machine with a 30.8% whiff%, and that is more important to see right now. The famed changeup also dominated with a .155 xwOBA and 39.6% whiff%. And his worst pitch of the three, the slider, actually had the best Run Value of them all (+5), on the back of weak contact (85.6 MPH EV against), although it didn’t miss many bats with a 22.5% whiff%. It was a very positive MLB debut, and the bloom that was coming off the rose at Triple-A was fully put back on in the majors. He’s an elite pitching prospect, and he still has an argument to be the top pitching prospect in the game, but I just can’t fully shake the mediocre Triple-A numbers fully. – 2026 Projection: 10/3.56/1.27/178 in 170 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.29/1.10/225 in 195 IP

20) Carson Benge – NYM, OF, 23.2 – Benge has really good numbers, both surface and underlying, but what really gets me so excited for him is watching him on offense. His swing is athletic, bouncy, powerful, smooth, vicious … it’s just a thing of beauty to watch. Watch him crush this homer out at Triple-A and tell me you don’t love it. Or how about this literal moonshot to center. Or how about this shoulder pain inducing shot off Andrew Painter. Dude looks like he unhinges his shoulder on some of these, and the last guy I said that about was Kristian Campbell … oof. I don’t want to bring this blurb down, but I mean, can’t deny it’s pinging something in me. Now that I mention it, he does seem like the lefty version of 2024 Campbell. Like Campbell, he didn’t lift and pull a ton with a 9 degree launch and 13.9% Air Pull% at Triple-A. Like Campbell, he’s more of a good athlete and solid base stealer than a true burner on the bases. And like Campbell, the hit tool is good, but a 18.4% K% and 20.1% whiff% isn’t off the charts or anything. On the more positive side, he crushed the ball with a 92.1 MPH EV and 53.5% Hard Hit%, which was actually much better than Campbell, and if 2024 Campbell showed up in 2025, this wouldn’t feel like such a negative comp. Campbell couldn’t keep up the breakout while Benge has a much stronger and legit track record to fall back on. And maybe the biggest differentiator, is that Benge is a plus on defense with the ability to play centerfield. It’s that ability that may just have him winning the starting CF job out of camp. I’m expecting a more above average across the board type than a true future elite dynasty asset, but that still makes for an excellent fantasy prospect, especially when you tack on proximity. – 2026 Projection: 72/15/66/.249/.313/.420/17 Prime Projection: 93/23/81/.273/.344/.462/21

21) Aidan Miller PHI, SS, 21.10 – When it seemed like the entire prospect world decided to cool on Miller at the same time due to the mediocre slash at Double-A, I was staying high and preaching patience, writing in the Mid-Season Dynasty Rankings, “The .234/.346/.367 triple-slash is underwhelming, but when you take into account he’s barely 21 at Double-A with 6 homers, 27 steals, and a 109 wRC+ in 58 games, it’s more impressive. I would stay patient here” … and then the explosion came shortly after that, slashing .357/.489/.601 with 6 homers, 22 steals, and a 17.0/17.6 K%/BB% in his final 38 games, 8 of which came at Triple-A where he put up a 185 wRC+. He has a quick and powerful righty hack that has middle of the order hitter written all over it, and he stole 59 bags on the season, which is insanely exciting for fantasy. Looks the part, pedigree, feel to hit, approach, power, speed, age to level, upper minors production, good glove, path to playing time … that is literally every box. Even this ranking might be too low. – 2026 Projection: Prime Projection: 91/23/82/.261/.343/.452/28

22) Josue De Paula – LAD, OF, 20.10 – 2026 is the season De Paula has to have the legitimate game power breakout. It’s his age 21 year old season, where so many Junior year college bats are able to make that adjustment and put up the big homer totals. If it doesn’t come for De Paula this year, I will start to get worried the odds of it ever coming will be low. I’m actually slightly disappointed it didn’t come this year with 12 homers, a 33% FB% and 40.7% Pull% in 102 games at mostly High-A. He got a 4 game cup of coffee at Double-A to close out the year, and while it’s obviously a super small sample, I’m not in love with the 83.3% GB%. So he just pounded the ball into the ground the first time he tasted advanced competition. Don’t take this blurb as me not liking De Paula, because I think I’m his biggest fan, “discovering” him when he was a legit unknown, not a word of hype DSL breakout and calling him a major buy before people caught on, so take it more as a proud father who is a bit disappointed. And I do still love him. He’s a 6’3” beast who genuinely crushes the ball with strong plate skills and base stealing ability. He put up a 142 wRC+ with a 20.2/19.0 K%/BB% and 32 steals in 98 games at High-A as a 19/20 year old. I’m most certainly in, but the reason he isn’t in the elite of the elite tier is the still lacking game power, poor defense, and the fact he hasn’t proven it against advanced competition yet. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 88/24/84/.266/.348/.460/16

23) Bryce Rainer – DET, SS, 20.9 – Don’t you dare start valuing Rainer any less than you would have if he didn’t end up hurting his shoulder diving back to first base, requiring surgery in June 2024. People were scared off of Zach Neto because of the shoulder surgery last off-season, and look how that turned out. Shit, people were turned off by Shohei effing Ohtani because of his off-season shoulder surgery too. Daulton Varsho straight up looked like he returned from surgery with a bionic shoulder. Corbin Carroll underwent shoulder surgery at a similar point in his career to Rainer, and look how he’s turned out. I can’t say with 100% certainty there won’t be complications, but I can say that shoulder surgeries have worked out more than enough to not even dock him a little bit. He already proved this is a potentially elite bat before the injury, slashing .288/.383/.448 with 5 homers, 9 steals, and a 22.1/13.4 K%/BB% in 35 games at Single-A. The most exciting part was the 92.1 MPH EV and 52.8% Hard Hit%. He most certainly looks the at 6’3” with a powerful lefty swing. The 28.6% whiff% was on the high side, and he didn’t lift and pull a ton, so he’s not a totally finished product, but the foundation has been laid for him to be a truly elite, hyped to death prospect by this time next year. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 91/28/94/.273/.352/.481/18

24) Payton Tolle – BOS, LHP, 23.5 – Tolle could have been in the discussion for the #1 pitching prospect in baseball if he popped as much as Burns/Yesavage/McLean popped in the majors, but his ride wasn’t as smooth with a 6.06 ERA, 4.58 xERA, and 25.7/10.8 K%/BB% in 16.1 IP. While it does take him out of the running for the top spot, that really has more to do with how great those other guys looked, because I’m actually more encouraged than discouraged by his debut. The most important thing for him to show was that his double plus to elite 96.7 MPH fastball would play against MLB hitters, and it did indeed prove that with an excellent 28.3% whiff% and 86.1 MPH EV against. The pitch got extremely unlucky and he threw it 64.1% of the time, which was the biggest culprit for the poor debut. The secondaries have always been the biggest question for him, and while they weren’t great in the debut, I’m encouraged that they all missed bats. The changeup put up a 50% whiff% (also a 50% whiff% at Triple-A), the slider put up a 30% whiff% with a strong .249 xwOBA, the cutter put up a 30% whiff% and the curve didn’t give up a single hit. It all resulted in a 30.1% whiff% overall, which I love to see. And of course he destroyed the minors with a 3.04 ERA and 36.5/6.3 K%/BB% in 91.2 IP spread across 3 levels (A+, AA, AAA). The walk rate spiked in the majors to 10.8%, which I don’t want to completely dismiss, but the larger sample in the minors rules the day for me long term. He might not be in the conversation for #1 overall, but this is still an elite pitching prospect for me. – 2026 Projection: 5/3.74/1.19/95 in 90 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.39/1.11/200 in 180 IP

25) Tatsuya ImaiHOU, RHP, 27.11 – Let’s start with the elephant in the room, which is that Imai didn’t sign as big of a contract as expected (3 years, $54-$63 million with 2 opt outs), but it’s not moving me off him as the #1 pick in FYPD’s. For one, I love the landing spot. Houston puts their pitchers in position to succeed and I trust them with Imai’s transition. I also don’t think the deal is that bad at all. He’s very likely to make over 20 million a year if he doesn’t opt out, and those opts outs have really huge upside on them. If he dominates, he can land an absolutely huge deal. Don’t underrate how valuable those opt outs are. I still think this deal shows that Imai is expected to be a very good pitcher, and everything else in his profile says we should expect him to be a very good pitcher too. He dominated the 2nd best baseball league in the world, he’s smack dab in the middle of his prime, he’s coming over right as he’s peaking, he has the stuff/pitch mix to back it all up, and he has both a high floor and a high ceiling. If this were a better First Year Player Draft Class, or if this was like last year’s class, he probably wouldn’t be 1st overall (I would 100% have Roch Cholowsky ranked over him from the 2026 draft class, for instance), but in this year’s class, I don’t even really think it’s that tough of a call. He put up a 1.92 ERA with a 27.8/7.0 K%/BB% in 163.2 IP in the NPB in 2025. For reference, Yamamoto put up a 1.21 ERA with a 26.6/4.4 K%/BB% in 164 IP the year before he came over, and then his first year in the majors he had a 3.00 ERA and 28.5/6.0 K%/BB% in 90 IP, meaning, there is no guarantee Imai’s strikeout rates are going to go down in the majors. They might go up, as Imai mentioned how contact oriented the hitters in Japan are, and he’s looking forward to the challenge of facing guys who actually swing for the fences. He completely owns the mound when he’s out there with a calm, loose, athletic, and easy righty delivery that he uses to fire a mid 90’s fastball, a plus “reverse” slider, and a plus splitter/changeup (he throws both). His stuff misses bats, induces weak contact, and keeps the ball in the park (48.3% GB%). His control and strikeout rates have been improving over the last 5 years, so like I mentioned, he’s coming over at the perfect time when he’s at his peak. We have seen more than enough aces come over from the NPB and either remain an ace in MLB (Yamamoto, Yu Darvish-who also saw his K rates rise in MLB), or at the least be an impact fantasy starter (Imanaga, Senga), that the transition doesn’t seem super risky. There is risk of course with a new baseball, country, etc … but everyone in First Year Player Drafts have risk, and Imai almost definitely has the least risk of anybody. He’s only 5’11”, but Yamamoto is 5’10”, so I don’t really care too much about that either. I don’t see how you could take Doyle or Anderson over him just evaluating the top pitchers on the board, and while you can argue for a high school bat, Imai’s ceiling as a #2 starter seems plenty high enough to not feel too tempted by the bats. He’s my top dog on the Top 161 2026 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings (Patreon). – 2026 Projection: 12/3.57/1.21/165 in 165 IP

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A Top 132 Sneak Peek of the 2026 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon)

Sneak Peek Season is upon us as I continue to build out my Top 1,000 2026 Dynasty Baseball Rankings over on the Patreon. Top 32 free here on the Brick Wall with analysis, 2026 projections, and prime projections for every player. The Patreon is cooking with these Sneak Peeks, Deep Dynasty Positional Rankings, Team Reports, and so much more coming. But first, here is A Top 132 Sneak Peek of the 2026 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
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1) Shohei Ohtani LAD, RHP/DH, 31.9 – Shoulder surgery? No problem. Ohtani came back and put up career highs in homers (55), Barrel% (23.5%) and xwOBA (.439). Internal brace surgery? No problem. Ohtani returned to the mound and put up career highs in BB% (4.3%), xERA (2.45), velocity (98.4 MPH) and nearly K% (33.0%). You can cut this man open. You can slice and dice him. And like Ben Stiller from Dodgeball, he is just going to keep coming at you angrier and stronger. Nobody makes Othani bleed his own blood. Okay, maybe not like Ben Stiller from Dodgeball at all, because the small market good guys actually won in the end in Dodgeball, unlike real life, where the behemoth Dodgers crushed the spirits of the “good guys”, the Toronto Blue Jays, in one of the most epic Game 7 World Series comebacks of all time. This is real life, and most of the time, the bad guys win. I refused to let the injuries shake my faith in Othani one bit last off-season, still placing him 1st overall and writing, “It’s his 2nd major elbow surgery in 5 years, but I’m not betting against a super human talent like Ohtani, and the same goes for the shoulder surgery. I just can’t bring myself to bet against the true GOAT.” Father Time will now be the last boss for him to defeat, and while we all know Father Time is undefeated, I just might think Ohtani can take him ;). I don’t know the age Ohtani has to be to move me off him from this top spot, but I do know 31/32 isn’t going to be it. He once again is my #1 player in dynasty. – 2026 Projection: 130/50/115/.286/.391/.630/23 // 12/3.07/1.05/191 in 150 IP

Shadow1) Shohei Ohtani LAD, DH only/Weekly Leagues, 31.9 – This is first time I’ve had Shadow Ohtani shadowing the real Ohtani. I feel like the world is folding in on itself. This is where I would rank Ohtani in weekly lineup leagues or as a hitter only. He’s just too good. I don’t care that he’s 31 years old. He’s going to give Father Time the first loss of his career. – 2026 Projection: 130/50/115/.286/.391/.630/23

2) Juan Soto – NYM, OF, 27.6 – Where the fuck did 38 steals come from? That was tied for the 4th most in baseball. More than Elly De La Cruz stole. More than Trea Turner stole. Just as many as Bobby Witt stole. And it wasn’t just that he decided to run more. He was also extremely successful, getting caught only 4 times. He was caught 4 times in just 11 attempts in 2024. He got caught 5 times in 17 attempts in 2023. He got caught 7 times in 16 attempts in 2021. And the craziest part is, he actually got slower this year. Like, a lot slower with a 25.8 ft/sec sprint (26.8 in 2024). And oh yea, he also hit a career high 43 homers with his usual truly elite offensive performance (.441 xwOBA was 2nd to only Aaron Judge). It would be so damn silly if he just went back to stealing 10 bags next year. We can’t expect 38 again, or maybe even 30, but I’m not sure how 20+ isn’t the expectation, and adding stolen bases to his profile easily makes him the #2 dynasty asset behind Ohtani. – 2026 Projection: 118/38/109/.282/.412/.535/21

3) Bobby Witt Jr. – KCR, SS, 26.10 – Witt hit only 23 homers in 157 games, and while I want to completely hand wave it away as just a down power season, I don’t think we can completely dismiss it. Kauffman Stadium is one of the very worst ballparks for homers, and I definitely think it is playing a big role in subduing Witt’s homer totals. But even looking at his expected homer totals in other ballparks, they all look like they hovered/averaged out to the mid 20’s area. His 12.5% Barrel% is good, but it’s not like off the charts good. His 34.9% Pull% is below average and pretty damn low for a power hitter. He hit 32 and 30 homers the two previous years, so I’m not saying at all that this is now his true talent level, but I feel like the hope was for Witt to explode into like a 30-40+ home run perennial type bat, and the numbers just aren’t saying that is who he is. The only other quibble is that the plate approach is still below average with a 7.1% BB% and 30.7% Chase%. The hope was that he would have improved on that by now too. I only bring up the negatives because they are more interesting to me. We all know Witt is an elite dynasty asset, and I have him ranked 3rd overall for a reason. He smokes the ball with a 93.3 MPH EV and a 48.5% Hard Hit%, both of which are career highs. He lifts it with a 15.2 degree launch, he makes tons of contact with a 18.2% K%, and he’s one of the fastest men in baseball with a 30.2 ft/sec sprint. I love him. He’s an untouchable if I own him. But I do think it’s worth mentioning the kinks in the armor. – 2026 Projection: 109/31/101/.306/.367/.518/36

4) Corbin Carroll – ARI, OF, 25.7 – If you thought the 5’10” Carroll was already topped out power wise. If you still had that scary moment in your head from 2023 where he held his shoulder in agonizing pain after a swing. If you thought we’ve already seen peak Carroll. Think again, because he just leveled up in 2025 to a whole new stratosphere. His power exploded with a 92.1 MPH EV, 14.5% Barrel%, 115.8 MPH Max EV, a 16.7 degree launch, 49.9% Hard Hit%, and a 22.9% Air Pull%. All of those were career highs by far, and they led to a career high 31 homers with a career high .383 xwOBA. He was already an elite dynasty asset, and now he’s leveled up to an elite real life hitter too. He combined the newfound power with his already elite speed (29.8 ft/sec sprint), leading to the first 30/30 season of his career. He has a real case to be 2nd overall, and his value is equal to Soto and Witt. – 2026 Projection: 112/29/91/.266/.350/.519/36

5) Ronald Acuna Jr. – ATL, OF, 28.4 – This wasn’t like the last time. The last time Acuna came back from a torn ACL he looked rough with only 15 homers and a .764 OPS in 119 games. This time he went right back to being elite with 21 homers, a .935 OPS, and a .407 xwOBA that was 8th best in baseball in 95 games. But just because I love to scare you a little, I can’t help but notice some similarities to Mike Trout’s career arc. Acuna has played in more than 119 games in a season just twice in his career. Just like Trout’s decline, Acuna’s whiff% is starting to creep up there as well with a 30.3% whiff% that was a career worst. And just like Trout, it sure seems like there could be stolen base decline, only stealing 9 bags with a barely above average 27.9 ft/sec sprint. If the back nine of Acuna’s career is injury filled with big power and declining steals and BA, don’t kill the messenger. But it’s too early to actually put that on him. And as you see with my extremely high ranking of him, I’m not running scared at that possibility. He proved he is healthy and back to being an elite hitter coming off the knee surgery. He should steal more bags with a full healthy off-season. That demands him being back into the elite of the elite dynasty tier. – 2026 Projection: 115/34/98/.279/.393/.520/25

6) Elly De La Cruz – CIN, SS, 24.3 – Elly’s evaluation is kinda all over the place. I try my best to present coherent thoughts/analysis/arguments when writing these blurbs, but Elly’s 2025 is making that as hard as possible. You can say one of the major positives of his season was the major improvement to his K% (25.9% vs. 31.3% in 2024), but his still risky whiff% wasn’t nearly as improved (31.7% vs. 33.4%), and his BA tanked in the 2nd half with a .221 BA and 28.9% K% in his final 52 games. So it’s hard to just say there is now no hit tool risk with him. His 22 homers and 37 steals are awesome, but both numbers were worse than what he did in 2024 (25/67). The 7.6 degree launch and 9.8% Air Pull% both regressed from 2024 too. He finished 23rd overall on the Razzball Player Rater, which is great, but again, his 2nd half slide really puts a damper on that (.854 OPS pre break vs. .666 post break). It’s really easy to start getting lost in the weeds here, so I feel the best thing to do is pull out as far as possible to not lose the forest through the trees. And the forest is telling us this is an insanely talented young kid who might not be perfectly refined quite yet, and might not be completely without risk, but is still on that path to put up some truly special seasons. He was just 23 years old last year. I’m not letting the poor 2nd half and things to nitpick throw me. This is an elite dynasty asset whose best years are ahead of him. – 2026 Projection: 107/27/89/.262/.338/.473/40

7) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 33.11 – Judge is the best hitter in baseball and it’s really not even close. His .476 xwOBA led all of baseball by a mile (Soto’s .441 was 2nd), and his .463 wOBA led all of baseball by 2 miles (Nick Kurtz’ .419 was 2nd). He doesn’t run a ton, but he runs enough to more than chip in there too (12 steals). The only question when it comes to dynasty is his age. He’s going to be 34 years old for most of 2026. I said that Ohtani is about to hand Father Time his first loss, and Father Time could be fighting a battle on 2 fronts with Aaron Judge coming for him too. It sure doesn’t look like Judge is falling off that cliff anytime soon. Maybe a smarter dynasty owner than me would pull the trigger on a trade when his value is still through the roof, but I know that I wouldn’t be able to do it if my team was still competing. Age be damned, he deserves a super high ranking. – 2026 Projection: 131/54/120/.313/.432/.666/10

8) Fernando Tatis Jr. – SDP, OF, 27.3 – Statcast expected stats are a tremendously valuable tool. I started using it in my analysis the second it hit the scene in 2015, and it has led to so many huge hits for me every single year since then (most notably Rice this season). But it’s not perfect. It has flaws. And the #1 one flaw seems to be that it underrates lifting and pulling. Tatis once again underperformed his expected stats with a .381 xwOBA vs. .353 wOBA. He had a .387 xwOBA vs. .359 wOBA in 2024 and a .364 xwOBA vs. .332 wOBA in 2023. He has a career .382 xwOBA vs. a career .368 wOBA. The discrepancy is very clearly due to the 9.4 degree launch and 12% Air Pull%. Not to come at Statcast, because I love Statcast, but why they wouldn’t change the formula a bit is beyond me. So while expected stats paint a rosier picture than reality, reality is still extremely rosy. Tatis went .268/25/32 and finished 27th overall on the Razzball Player Rater. He crushes the ball with a 93.3 MPH EV, he’s fast with a 28.6 ft/sec sprint, and he actually had the best K/BB of his career with a 18.7/12.9 K%/BB%, both of which were career bests. His 24.4% Chase% and 27% whiff% were both career bests as well. Unless he starts lifting and pulling a lot more, which is certainly possible, we can’t really expect those big mid 30’s, .900+ OPS seasons, but he’s still excellent as is. – 2026 Projection: 103/29/84/.277/.365/.490/29

9) Julio Rodriguez – SEA, OF, 25.3 – The 2nd half bandit struck again. Julio put up a .731 OPS in the 1st half vs. a .900 OPS in the 2nd half. It’s wild how consistent he is. In 2024, he had a .690 1st half OPS vs. .818 2nd half OPS. In 2023 he had a .721 1st half OPS vs. .941 2nd half OPS. In 2022 he had a .814 1st half OPS vs. .937 2nd half OPS. Can nobody figure out how to get him to hit as well in the 1st half as he does in the 2nd half? Is it too much like messing with voodoo. Like if you try to change a good thing to make it better, you are actually going to make it worse. Instead of his 1st half’s matching his 2nd half’s, it will be the other way around. I guess it’s better off this way if you play in playoff leagues anyway. And no matter how he gets there, it always ends up in a great fantasy season with 32 homers, 30 steals and a career best 21.4% K%. He still chases a ton with a 35.9% Chase%, which is probably a big part of the volatility, but when you swing a 76.4 MPH bat, you can make that work. He hasn’t really improved at all or refined his game from his rookie year, and while you can’t rule out improvement as he’s still really young, I think we gotta value him as is. Sweat out the poor 1st half and then enjoy the monster 2nd half. – 2026 Projection: 104/30/93/.275/.334/.482/31

10) Gunnar Henderson – BAL, SS, 24.9 – Gunnar hit only 17 homers in 154 games. Monster power hitters really don’t have seasons like that. Like ever. Power can fluctuate year to year for sure, but dipping to only 17 is not normal. And it’s not like it was the result of some extended cold stretch. He never hit more than 4 in a month and he hit only 1 in September. The barely above average 8.5% Barrel% is also not saying this was some massively unlucky aberration. And we already know he’s not a big lift and pull guy with a 9.5 degree launch and 15.3% Air Pull%. I’m not saying this is now who he is at all, but I think it does say the 37 homers he hit in 2024 isn’t who he is either. He’s probably more of a 25+ guy who will hit 30+ when things go right, similar to Tatis and Julio. You can also blame the intercoastal strain that put him on the IL to start the season. It just felt like he started the year behind the 8 ball and could never catch up. His 12.3% HR/FB% was way off from his career norms (18.8%), so you have to assume some positive regression, and he crushes the ball with a 92.1 MPH EV, a 49.2% Hard Hit%, and a 75.4 MPH swing, so there is just no way a power bounce back isn’t coming. And the big silver lining to his down year was that he stole 30 bags. A power bounce back to 25+ will put him right in line with a Tatis and Julio like projected stat line. – 2026 Projection: 101/28/86/.278/.359/.481/25

11) Nick Kurtz OAK, 1B, 23.1 – Kurtz stepped right into the majors and immediately performed like one of the best power hitters of all time with 36 homers and a 1.002 OPS in 117 games. He was actually even better in his brief minor league career with a 1.152 OPS in 33 games, and he was even better than that in his college career with a 1.234 OPS in 164 games, so it’s not like what he did in the majors came out of nowhere. It follows the narrative of him simply being one of the best hitters of his generation. The 77.2 MPH swing, 18.4% Barrel%, and 97.7 MPH FB/LD EV are all in the elite of the elite. There is no question that he’s going to be a beastly power hitter for a long time, but there is a question if he’s really going to be an all time great. For one, he played in a minor league stadium that was massively juicing up homer totals (he hit 22 at home vs. 12 on the road). He’ll be playing there again in 2026 and 2027, so I’m not even sure we can use that as a negative, but it’s something to keep in mind for 2028 and beyond. The two biggest red flags are that he struggled vs. lefties (.197 BA with a .685 OPS), and that he showed danger zone level of swing and miss with a 35.5% whiff% and 30.9% K%. He had a 31.2% K% in his final 48 games, and a .221 BA with a 35.1% K% in his final 23 games, so you certainly can’t say it was improving by the end of the year either. If he has a sophomore slump where the BA tanks, it won’t be coming out of nowhere. The signs were there. But in dynasty especially, it would be far too risk averse to get scared off by that. This was just his first full year of pro ball, so I’m expecting contact improvement, and he’s the type of hitter who can hit for high BA’s even with an elevated K%, like he’s been doing his whole career. My bet is that he is one of the best power hitters of his generation, and the floor is high too as he’s going to hit a ton of dingers no matter what. – 2026 Projection: 97/38/111/.267/.361/.528/3

12) Junior CamineroTBR, 3B, 22.9 – Caminero vs. Kurtz is a going to be a super fun debate to have all off-season, and I really don’t think you can go wrong with either. Caminero has the same question that Kurtz has about having the huge season in a minor league park, which is very suspicious, but Caminero actually hit 22 homers at home vs. 23 homers on the road (albeit with a much worse OPS). Tropicana Field is also a good ballpark for righty homers, so I don’t really think it’s that much of a concern that Caminero is going back to the Trop in 2026. And like Kurtz, Caminero also has elite of the elite bat speed (78.6 MPH) and FB/LD EV (97.7 MPH). Caminero’s biggest edge over Kurtz is his contact rates (19.1% K% and 24.7% whiff%), but Kurtz beats him on Chase% (32.2% vs. 22.2%) and BB% (6.3% vs. 12.9%), so that mitigates that edge majorly. And while Caminero doesn’t lift as much (10.7 degree launch vs. 15.3 degree launch), he pulls more (21.5% Air Pull% vs. 15.8% Air Pull%). It is really a back and forth battle for the best young power hitter in the game that could be decided either way. Kurtz’ superior plate approach gives him a ceiling as a generational real life hitter than I don’t think Caminero quite reaches, and Caminero’s superior contact rate gives him a much safer floor. Because I lean upside over floor, I’m giving Kurtz the edge, but it’s truly dead even for me. – 2026 Projection: 92/35/107/.276/.330/.519/8

13) Roman Anthony – BOS, OF, 21.11 – I nitpicked a few things about Anthony last off-season that I thought could impact his ultimate fantasy value. For one, I questioned how many bases he was going to steal, and I was correct with him stealing only 4 in 71 games in the majors (3 in 58 games in the minors). I also questioned how much he was going to lift and pull, and again, I was correct as he put up a 6.9 degree launch with a 13.8% Air Pull%. He hit 8 homers in 71 games. And finally I questioned the contact rates, and there too I ended up being correct with him putting up a 27.7% K% and 29.8% whiff%. I was right about the things to nitpick, and maybe they still come into play in future years, but the bat was just so insanely elite I don’t think it matters anymore. He had an elite of the elite 75.1 MPH swing with a 94.5 MPH EV and 60.3% Hard Hit%. That puts him in the land of Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, and Yordan Alvarez. While the homer totals weren’t high, 6 of them came in his final 21 games. The .382 xwOBA is already in the near elite range. A bat like that is launch proof, and even if he doesn’t run a ton, anything he does add there is just gravy. His best comp looking at the elite dynasty assets could be Juan Soto, albeit with worse contact rates. – 2026 Projection: 102/25/81/.272/.379/.486/10 Prime Projection: 120/35/105/.285/.406/.530/15

14) Kyle TuckerUFA, OF, 29.3 – The Quiet Killer finally had a season that wasn’t all that quiet. The spotlight was put on him with the trade to the Cubbies, and it looked like he was going to have one of those massive contract years in the 1st half with a .291 BA, 17 homers, 20 steals, and a .933 OPS in his first 82 games, but it all came crumbling down after that. He literally might have had a 100 million dollar slump with a .692 OPS, 5 homers, and 5 steals in his final 54 games. It seems the likely culprit was the hairline fracture he suffered in his right hand in June. They originally missed the fracture in the imaging, so he played through it, but it clearly had a major impact on his production. We can’t hold the slump against him, and hopefully MLB teams don’t hold it against him in contract negotiations, but I’m almost sure they will. Either way, Tucker is one of the most consistent players in our game, a perennial 30/30 candidate, and at 29 years of age, there should be several more elite seasons in him. I don’t think his landing spot should impact his value majorly, but he’s more of a lift and pull guy than a hard hit beast, so I would certainly prefer a good ballpark. It could swing his value a bit on the margins. – 2026 Projection: 94/30/89/.276/.380/.501/25

15) Garrett Crochet – BOS, LHP, 26.10 – There is a clear 3-headed monster in the true top tier of dynasty pitchers, and all 3 have great arguments to be the #1 overall dynasty pitcher in the game, but only one of them can take the crown, and I’m anointing a new King this off-season. Garrett Crochet is my #1 dynasty pitcher in the game. It feels to weird to say because he’s likely the worst pitcher of the 3 on skills alone. Worse being relative as he’s still insanely elite with a 2.59 ERA and 31.3/5.7 K%/BB% in 205.1 IP. He was the #1 overall pitcher on the Razzball Player Rater. His 255 strikeouts led all of baseball. He pitched the 2nd most innings in baseball behind only Logan Webb. He won the 2nd most games behind only Max Fried and tied with Carlos Rodon. And his 25.7% K-BB% was 2nd to Tarik Skubal. Even if he’s very, very, very slightly worse than Skubal and Skenes on skills alone, he has Skenes beat on Win potential (and probably Skubal too), and he has Skubal beat on age (I talk more about age in the Skenes blurb). I could pick any of the 3 out of hat and be fine with that order, but Crochet seems to be in that perfect Goldilocks zone of young, elite, and on a good team. Skubal and Skenes can’t fully check all 3 of those boxes like Crochet can. – 2026 Projection: 17/2.88/1.05/246 in 195 IP

16) Paul SkenesPIT, RHP, 23.10 – Playing for Pitt kills Skenes’ in wins. Pitt scored 583 Runs which was last in baseball, and the only other team even close to them was Colorado at 597 (absolutely wild that it’s even possible for Colorado to be that bad playing in Coors). The guy put up a 1.97 ERA with a 29.5/5.7 K%/BB% in 187.2 IP and won only 10 games. Konnor Griffin is coming, and Pitt has nowhere to go but up, but it’s a major thorn in his fantasy value. On almost any other team, he would be the undisputed top dog, and in Quality Start leagues, he would be my top dog, but in Wins leagues, it has to be taken into account. Crochet and Skenes are close enough in age, and Crochet is elite enough himself, where I do give the edge to Crochet. But I just can’t seem to bring myself to say that I would trade a 23 year old Skenes for a 29 year old Skubal in dynasty, even though Skubal is the better win now fantasy pitcher. Skenes nestles inbetween Crochet and Skubal at #2. – 2026 Projection: 12/2.55/0.99/238 in 195 IP

17) Tarik SkubalDET, LHP, 29.5 – Skubal is the best pitcher in baseball. He’s better than Crochet and Skenes. His 27.8 K-BB% led all of baseball amongst qualified starters. His 32.2% K% led all of baseball. His 0.89 WHIP led all of baseball. His 4.4% BB% trailed only Zack Littell. His 2.21 ERA trailed only Paul Skenes. He trailed Garrett Crochet by only 1 spot on the player rater, and that was in a year where Crochet won 5 more games than him, and we know wins are fickle. He’s in his last year of team control for Detroit, so wherever he ends up landing, it’s almost certain to be a good team. Wins shouldn’t be a problem. There is a great argument that at a not old 29, and considering age shouldn’t be factored in as much for pitchers due to the injury volatility, that he should be the #1 dynasty pitcher in the game. I wouldn’t argue with anyone that puts him first. I was honestly tearing the hair out of my head trying to figure out the right order. – 2026 Projection: 15/2.51/0.94/242 in 195 IP

18) Zach Neto – LAA, SS, 25.2 – I feel like nobody wants to admit that Neto is a near elite dynasty asset. Actually, I feel like nobody really wanted to bet on this kid like I have since before he was drafted. I ranked him 3rd overall in his FYPD class, far above consensus, and then I’ve kept being the high man on him since. And I guess I’ll keep being the high man on him after his power explosion in 2025. He came back from shoulder surgery, and the medical community has obviously perfected this surgery of late, because everyone seems to come back with a super charged shoulder. His EV jumped 2.5 MPH to 91.5 MPH, his Hard Hit jumped 7.8 points to 46.6%, and his Barrel% jumped 7.6 points to 14%. It led to a career high 26 homers in just 128 games. He also never lifted and pulled more with a 17.5 degree launch and 24% Air Pull%. This is an easy 30 homer bat. He also stole 26 bags, and while he got caught 9 times, he was improving as the season went along with 13 steals in 15 attempts in his final 62 games. He’s going to keep on running, making him a reasonable bet for a perennial 30/30 bat. The 26.9/6.0 K%/BB% isn’t great, but neither the 30.1% Chase% or 29.1% whiff% is in the true danger zone, and he’s displayed a good feel to hit throughout this entire career. I’m not too worried about the hit tool tanking him. I know you don’t want to admit it, but this is what a near elite dynasty asset looks like. – 2026 Projection: 91/30/86/.255/.323/.478/30

19) Wyatt Langford – TEX, OF, 24.5 – Langford actually did have the blow up we were all expecting in 2025, it just didn’t fully show up in the surface stats. And even his surface stats were pretty good when it was all said and done. His 14% Barrel%, 91.4 MPH EV, and 48.4% Hard Hit% were all up majorly from 2024, and all of them are now in truly special power territory. That is exactly what we wanted to see. Combined with his already strong lift and pull (17.5 degree launch and 24.2% Air Pull%), he’s setting up to be an easy 30+ homer bat for years to come. Along with the power, he kept on running, ending up with a 22/22 season in 134 games. That is what he did when he was on the unlucky side (.353 xwOBA vs. .337 wOBA). The contact rates took a step back, but a 26.3% whiff% is absolutely zero to be concerned about. Not only did he avoid the sophomore slump, but he took a step forward in his surface stats, and 2 steps forward in his underlying numbers. It was a tremendously successful season, and if people are starting to cool on him, even slightly, I would be all over it. I’m not budging on him. – 2026 Projection: 88/28/91/.263/.349/.470/22

20) Jackson ChourioMIL, OF, 22.1 – Chourio didn’t take the steps forward we wanted to see. He basically had a repeat of his rookie year. He went .275/21/22 in 2024 and then went .270/21/21 in 2025. The .319 xwOBA is just barely above average. He lifted and pulled a bit more, but he still doesn’t lift and pull a ton. He hits the ball hard, but a 42.3% Hard Hit% is not off the charts. He runs, but he’s not a particularly great base stealer (caught 7 times). And the worst part of the year is that his Chase% spiked to 36.9%, which is entering the danger zone if not already there. I’ve seen the seeds of doubt start to creep into people’s minds. If Chourio felt inevitable after 2024, I would say he doesn’t feel quite as inevitable after 2025. But once you add the context that those were his 20 year old and 21 year old seasons, I don’t know how you can’t still be all in on this kid. If 20/20 is the floor, 25/25, or 30/30 still feels inevitable in his peak seasons. Julio Rodriguez and Bobby Witt Jr never improved their high chase rates either, and they are doing just fine. Granted Julio hit the ball a lot hard and Witt lifted it a lot more, so they aren’t perfect comps. There is no guarantee massive improvement is coming. We’ve seen plenty of young kids like Chourio have success right off the bat, and then just never really improve. I hate to say it, but Michael Harris seems to be a pretty close comp to Chourio age, production and skillset wise. If he doesn’t show the steps forward we want to see in 2026, I think we are going to see the beginning of that dynasty value slip, but I’m betting on that improvement coming. – 2026 Projection: 94/25/85/.282/.332/.479/25

21) Pete Crow-Armstrong – CHC, OF, 24.0 – Can we just enjoy the season Pete Crow had before we start bashing him for this 2nd half and Chase. I feel like the angry 1950’s dad at the dinner table yelling at his kids while the family is crumbling around him. You’re going to sit there and be quiet, enjoy this food, and thank your mother for her hard work. Don’t make me bust out the whooping stick. Pete Crow was almost definitely my biggest hit of 2025 (I’ve been the high guy since he was drafted), ranking him 64th overall, and writing in part, “Pete Crow Armstrong’s power has been underrated from the time he was drafted. And in 2024, especially the 2nd half of 2024, we started to see the first buds of a breakout that could absolutely explode in 2025. For starters, he put up a 88.9/94.0 MPH AVG/FB EV on the season, which shows that power potential I saw 4 years ago wasn’t a mirage. And when it comes with a 17.2 degree launch, an elite 30.0 ft/sec sprint speed, and elite CF defense, you have the makings of an extremely exciting fantasy player. Put some respect on this man’s name. His name is Pete Crow Armstrong, not Pete Crow Armweak.” … and then the true explosion came in 2025 with him upping his Hard Hit% 4.8 points to 41.6%, upping his Max EV 6 MPH to 113.2 MPH, upping his Barrel% 5.6 points to 13%, and upping his bat speed 2.1 MPH to 72.7 MPH. It resulted in 31 homers, and he combines the power explosion with elite speed (29.5 ft/sec sprint with 35 steals) and elite CF defense. This was the insanely fun fantasy player I foresaw, but of course things can never be easy, and Pete Crow had go out and end the season with a massive slump. He put up a .525 OPS in his final 50 games. He definitely got unlucky with a not too bad 25.9% K% and a .222 BABIP, but it for sure more than hints at the risk still present in this profile. And that risk is the way too high 41.7% Chase%. High chase adds a lot of volatility, and that isn’t just high chase, that is full danger zone high chase. If you want to be scared off, that is fair, and I completely get it, but if you’ve read my work at all over the years, you know I’m not running scared. His glove is going to keep him on the field, and even with a low BA, that power/speed combo is going to make a major impact. I’m also betting on the plate approach improving as he matures. Pete Crow has already paid off majorly if you’ve taken my advice over his career, and I’ll be happy to keep buying if people are scared off by the 2nd half. – 2026 Projection: 86/28/88/.252/.308/.469/33

22) Konnor Griffin – PIT, SS/OF, 19.11 – I felt the Griffin explosion in my gut last off-season. The Baseball Gods were speaking to me, and I listened, predicting he would explode into elite prospect status in my Predicting the Top 50 2026 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings last off-season, ranking him 4th overall and writing, “Griffin will have the explosion that everyone who passed on him in first year player drafts feared he would have. The hit tool concerns will be overblown as he maintains an under 25% K% at Single-A, and the power/speed combo will shine with 16 homers and 48 steals in 102 games. He’ll basically be the 2026 version of the 2025 version of Sebastian Walcott. Off the charts tools and a better than expected hit tool.” … and then he went out and surpassed even those expectations, slashing .333/.415/.527 with 21 homers, 65 steals, and a 21.7/8.9 K%/BB% in 122 games. He finished the season at Double-A where he actually put up his best wRC+ of any level with a 175 wRC+ in 21 games. Remember when everyone was making excuses for the 19 year old Walcott at Double-A all year for his mediocre slash? Well, Griffin came in and just busted that whole thing up, showing a 19 year old can most certainly dominate the level. Not only did I forsee the rise in the off-season, but I got blow back after ranking him 1st overall on the Prospect Rankings in early June before he even got the call to High-A. I then made a final plea in my August Dynasty Rankings before he got the call to Double-A, shooting him up to 29th overall and writing, “This is my final plea to you. DO NOT TRADE GRIFFIN UNDER ANY SCENARIO. I don’t even think Roman Anthony can touch his upside. Just don’t trade him, please.” And then after what he did at Double-A, there is no more room for debate. He’s lightning fast, he crushes the ball with a 91.2 MPH EV and 49% Hard Hit%, and the hit tool was better than expected. This is not only the #1 prospect in baseball, but he’s already a nearly elite dynasty asset for me. – 2026 Projection: 28/9/35/.247/.318/.433/17 Prime Projection: 118/32/111/.279/.351/.523/44

23) Jose Ramirez – CLE, 3B, 33.7 – Mr. Consistency churned out another ho hum elite dynasty season with 30 homers and 44 steals. Those stolen bases were actually a career high. He’s played in less than 152 games just once since 2016 (not including the Covid shortened year). He’s going to be 33 years old, which after 30 years old, 33 years old is the next biggest marker for when dynasty value drops. You are now officially in your mid 30’s. I don’t foresee the cliff coming next year, but if we are going to find a comp for a reasonable career arc, Jose Altuve is a pretty good comp. Both are small guys without big bat speed and without big hard hit. Altuve put up a 164 wRC+ in his age 32 year old season and then a 154 wRC+ in his age 33 year old season, but the decline hit after that with a 127 wRC+ at age 34 and a 113 wRC+ at age 35. Ramirez hits the ball harder than Altuve and he runs more than Altuve, so his decline could be even smoother than Altuve’s, and Altuve has still been really good in those decline years, but I think it’s fair to start factoring in some decline at 34 years old. That gives him one more undisputed year of eliteness (yes, I know that isn’t a word), and probably more than a few after that of really damn good. – 2026 Projection: 106/32/90/.281/.355/.505/35

24) Cal Raleigh – SEA, C, 29.4 – Raleigh’s insane 2025 was very obviously a career year. I don’t think anybody is now expecting him to be a perennial 60 homer bat, or even 50 homer bat. The 28 year old career year is textbook, well almost textbook, as he does have one thing that says we shouldn’t discount a real leveling up here. And that is that he’s a catcher. Catcher’s are known for delayed offensive breakouts because of how much time they spend on their defense. And Raleigh did show real improvement in his underlying numbers too. The 26.7% K% and 13.8% BB% were both career bests, so it looks like there was some maturation of the plate skills. His 49.6% Hard Hit% is a career best, and while it’s not up majorly from 2024, it is up majorly from where it was in 2022-2023. His lift and pull was also up with career bests in launch (25.2 degrees) and Air Pull% (38.4%). Only Isaac Paredes had an Air Pull% even close to that (Paredes beat him out by 0.1 at 38.5, but the next highest was Tork at 31.8%). And the cherry on top is that he ran a ton for a catcher with 14 steals in 18 attempts. He was just having fun out there. So while it’s almost certain that 2025 will be the best year of his career, it does look like he’s leveled up from a 30+ homer bat to a 40+ homer bat. Catchers take a beating behind the plate, so who knows how long he will be able to hold that level, but I’m betting on a few more monster power seasons at least. – 2026 Projection: 90/42/110/.244/.346/.541/10

25) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – TOR, 1B, 27.0 – Vlad sparks a really interesting floor vs. upside debate when it comes to very early round picks. I understand the strategy of taking high floor guys with your early picks, and then going for the upside shots later on. It makes sense. And Guerrero has as high of a floor as anybody with elite contact rates (13.8% K%) and elite Hard Hit (50.7%). It resulted in a very strong season with a .292 BA and 23 homers in 156 games, which was good for 53rd overall. That is also clearly on the low end of his ability as he smashed 8 homers in 18 games in the postseason. He’s a true talent 30 homer bat with a very high BA, which is awesome, but unless he starts lifting and pulling more, that just isn’t the level of production that other elite dynasty assets can give you. I really want all category contributors with my very top picks, and because Vlad isn’t going to help much in steals, he’s already capped there. So if you aren’t going to contribute in all categories, you need to be an absolute beast in others, and taking out his 2019 season where played in 2 miniature ballparks, he’s never hit more than 32 homers. He’s average about 27-28 homers over the last 4 years. His xwOBA says he’s been unlucky, but as I laid out in the Tatis blurb, xwOBA most certainly underrates lifting and pulling, and Vlad doesn’t lift and pull with a 7.8 degree launch and 14% Air Pull%. He’s underperformed his xwOBA in his career. If he starts lifting and pulling more, he can definitely have that explosion, and if you are in leagues that devalue steals (points/6+ category leagues), then for sure he would be ranked higher in those leagues, but in 5×5, I think this is a pretty fair ranking. He’s just more BA dependent than optimal. – 2026 Projection: 96/31/105/.303/.390/.507/5

26) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 28.9 – Alvarez is the easiest buy low call in the history of buy low calls. In fact, it’s so easy of a buy low call, that he’s probably not a buy low at all, because nobody in their right mind will sell low. He hurt his hand in early May, which was originally misdiagnosed, but eventually it was diagnosed as a fracture, and it forced him to miss 3 months. He was off to a slow start before the injury, but it was purely due to poor luck as the underlying numbers were in his usual elite range, and then when he returned from the injury, he hit 3 homers with a 1.031 OPS in 19 games before hurting his ankle and ending his season. He finished the year with a .797 OPS, but it came with an elite .402 xwOBA, 94.7 MPH EV, and 16.6/14.1 K%/BB%. I mean, who is going to sell low on that? Maybe you can argue he’s injury prone and there is injury risk in the future due to his bad knees, but even that seems far too risk averse in his age 28 year old season. Maybe I can see that argument to sell a few years from now. So buy low if you can, but I doubt you can. – 2026 Projection: 91/33/96/.291/.380/.560/3

27) James WoodWSH, OF, 23.6 – This year for Halloween I dressed up as James Wood’s 2nd half. Haunted houses, witches, vampires  … they have nothing on how scary James Wood’s second half was. He put up a 40.3% K% with a .215/.293/.379 triple-slash in his final 67 games. I want to say it was just a cold streak and to trust his career .259 BA in 1,025 career PA, but I can’t help but get Oniel Cruz stuck in my head when thinking about Wood. The profiles are very similar as extremely tall men (6’7”), who have elite bat speed (76 MPH swing), and elite Hard Hit (16.3% Barrel%/94.3 MPH EV/56.3% Hard Hit%). But as we saw with Cruz this year, and as we saw with Wood’s 2nd half, the risk is that the hit tool tanks them. That is just the game when you are willing to take on some extra risk for that extra upside. They all aren’t going to be Aaron Judge. And it’s going to add some volatility year to year, and even within seasons. But you really can’t be scared off by it completely. Everyone has slumps and everyone has bad years, and when these types have slumps/bad years, it’s the BA is going to look ugly. It’s why he’s still a Top 30 dynasty asset for me even with that extra risk. He put up a .348 xwOBA in 2024 and then a .368 xwOBA in 2025. He improved his lift and pull, and while the lift and pull still isn’t great with a 6.3 degree launch and 11.3% Air Pull%, it doesn’t have to be that great when you smash the ball as hard as he does. And he improved vs. lefties, putting up a .823 OPS vs. them, which is a big deal. He’s not as good of a base stealer as optimal with 15 steals in 22 attempts, so that along with the hit tool risk is why he can’t be considered close to like a Top 10 dynasty asset, but I’m still all in on this kid. And while this isn’t Cruz’ blurb, you should stay patient with him too. Just a little bit of luck with a little bit of improvement will result in a lot of fantasy goodness. – 2026 Projection: 84/33/96/.252/.345/.482/15

28) Francisco Lindor – NYM, SS, 32.4 – Trying to predict which players are going to defeat Father Time, or at least give them a great fight, is a nearly impossible task. We can prefer certain archetypes over others, like being wary of speed first types, but really, we can’t perfectly predict whose bodies will hold up and whose will start to decline. I say that because I’ve been sitting here thinking long and hard about how much I want to bet on Lindor deep into his 30’s, and I’m not sure there is something to really hold onto that makes me want to bet big on it. He’s not a big bat speed guy (below average 71 MPH swing), he’s not a burner (slightly below average 27.4 ft/sec sprint), and he’s not a Barrel machine with a 8.8% Barrel%. The contact rates, approach and hard hit are all good, but they aren’t in the elite area where there is a huge amount of leeway for decline. It seems to me he fits more into the potentially gentle decline category, rather than the guy who keeps on being truly elite deep into his 30’s. But as I started this blurb, it feels foolish to think I can actually predict how a player will decline. Too much goes into it. And of course, that is just looking ahead. Lindor is only going to be 32 years old next year and there is no reason he shouldn’t have his 4th straight basically 30/30 season in 2026. But I think at 32 we have to start thinking about what the decline will look like, and I’m not sure I want to bet on him still being elite in his mid 30’s. He should still be good though. – 2026 Projection: 110/31/90/.269/.342/.473/30

29) Pete AlonsoBAL, 1B, 31.5 – Alonso is one of the true rocks of our game. He’s never played in less than 152 games (he’s played in all 162 the last 2 years) and he’s never hit less than 34 homers (38 homers in 2025). Underlying numbers wise, he actually had a career year in 2025 with a career high .399 xwOBA and career high by far 93.5 MPH EV. His only weakness was that he was a BA risk, and even that is now gone with a .272 BA and .288 xBA. The 75.3 MPH swing is near elite. He landed a 5 year, $155 million deal with Baltimore, and really no matter where he landed, he will once again be one of the best power hitters in the game. Simple as that. – 2026 Projection: 92/40/120/.263/.348/.519/3

30) Jazz ChisholmNYY, 2B/3B, 28.2 – It’s all about Games Played for Jazz. I mean, it’s all about Games Played for everybody I guess, but Jazz is one of the more injury prone hitters in the game. You know I lean towards taking on more risk than average, so I’ve been high on Jazz for the last two seasons, and that has paid off in a major way with him following up his 24/40 season in 2024 with his first 30/30 season (31/31) in 2025. Here is how I closed out his Top 1,000 Blurb last off-season, “Staying healthy one season is good, but he needs to go back to back healthy seasons for me to take “injury risk” off his resume, or at least have it downplayed. If not for injury risk, Jazz has an argument for Top 15 status, so this ranking (27th overall) does factor in a bit of risk.” … and the good news is that he mostly stayed healthy in 2025, playing in the 2nd most games of his career at 130, but 130 is not quite a full season. He missed a little over a month with an oblique injury and he got banged up here and there throughout the season with various injuries. Despite going 30/30, he still finished 52nd overall on the Razzball Player Rater. A low BA is another risk that contributed to that with a .242 BA, a 27.9% K% and a 32.2% whiff%. I feel like I’ve straddled the line perfectly the last few years between his upside and his risk, and I’m going to continue to straddle that line. I can’t quite call him an elite dynasty asset despite the elite power/speed combo, but he remains in the tier right under that. – 2026 Projection: 78/28/82/.246/.330/.468/33

31) Ketel Marte – ARI, 2B, 32.6 – Marte wasn’t quite as good in 2025 as he was in 2024 (36 homers with a .932 OPS in 136 games vs. 28 homers with a .893 OPS in 126 games), and he wasn’t able to fully sustain the elite Hard Hit explosion (94 MPH EV with a 53.8% Hard Hit% vs. 90.8 MPH EV and 47% Hard Hit%), but he still solidified himself as one of the best hitters in the game. He made up for the reduced hard hit by lifting and pulling more than he ever has (14.8 degree launch with a 23.5% Air Pull%), and it actually resulted in an even better Barrel% (13.5%) and xwOBA (.400) than 2024. Combine those quality of contact metrics with an elite 14.9/11.5 K%/BB% and near elite bat speed (74.6 MPH), and you get one of the safest studs in the game at a position that has been causing dynasty manager fits for the last few years (2B). The only thing he doesn’t do is run with 4 steals, and he’s getting up there in age at 32. Marte is the safer choice over Jazz as the top 2B in dynasty, but Jazz has the upside and youth edge. – 2026 Projection: 95/31/82/.281/.371/.520/7

32) Kyle SchwarberPHI, OF, 33.1 – You know the Baseball Gods smile down on you when you have a career year in your contract year. Soto was the chosen son last off-season, and this off-season, the torch has been passed to Schwarber. I don’t know what Kyle Tucker did mid-season to have the Baseball Gods smite him, but it must have been bad. Schwarber demolished a career high 56 homers with the career highs in EV (94.3 MPH), Barrel% (20.8% Barrel%), Launch (20.1 degrees), Air Pull% (31.1%) and Hard Hit% (59.6%) to back it up. His .414 xwOBA was 5th best in baseball behind Judge, Soto, Ohtani, and George Springer. Judge, Soto, and Ohtani are in a tier or their own above everyone else. The only other two hitters over the last few years with the ability to get in their tier has been Yordan and Acuna. That is just a reminder to treat Acuna and Yordan with the utmost respect this off-season. But back to Schwarber, we know his game well. He’s a low BA, high OBP slugger whose only risk is that the BA dips into the low .200’s, or even below the Mendoza line as he’s done twice in his career. He resigned with Philly for 5 years, $150 million, so Philly is surely betting on him hitting tons of homers deep into his 30’s, as am I. – 2026 Projection: 104/46/111/.238/.361/.520/7

Previous Dynasty Team Reports on Patreon (free ones listed in parenthesis)

Arizona DiamondbacksAtlanta BravesBaltimore OriolesChicago Cubs (free)Cincinnati Reds (free)Colorado RockiesDetroit TigersHouston AstrosKansas City RoyalsMiami MarlinsMilwaukee BrewersMinnesota TwinsNew York Yankees (free)Pittsburgh Pirates (free)Sacramento AthleticsSeattle MarinersSt. Louis Cardinals (free)Tampa Bay RaysTexas RangersToronto Blue JaysWashington Nationals

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Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
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Pittsburgh Pirates 2026 Dynasty Baseball Team Report (Top 10 Prospects/Interesting MLB guys/Strategy Talk)

The 2026 off-season festivities have officially kicked off on the Brick Wall with the first Dynasty Team Report of the year. Like during the regular season, I will release a freebie here on Imaginary Brick Wall on some Mondays with the vast majority of the content over on the Patreon. Off-season content will include these Dynasty Team Reports, along with Deep Positional Rankings, Strategy articles, Target articles, 2026 Projections, Prime/Peak Projections, predicting future prospect lists, AFL/Winter League Updates, the Top 100+ FYPD rankings, Top 500+ Prospects Rankings, and Top 1,000+ Dynasty Rankings. Here is the Pittsburgh Pirates 2026 Dynasty Baseball Team Report (Top 10 Prospects/Interesting MLB guys/Strategy Talk):

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Dynasty Baseball Thought/Strategy of the Day (which may or may not be related to the team I’m covering that day)

There is nothing worse than identifying targets/sleepers early in the off-season, only to watch their value skyrocket by the time your draft comes around. You just sit and pray everyday that some popular analyst doesn’t decide to name them one of their sleepers, because if they do, forget about it, all value is lost in the blink of an eye. I’ve been playing fantasy since the late 1900’s, back when you could die of dysentery while traveling by covered wagon on the Oregon Trail (okay, not the real Oregon Trail, but that awesome The Oregon Trail video game we all used to play back then), when Yahoo brought it to the internet, and I would dread every Yahoo article that would pop up right on the league homepage, because if they named a guy who I liked a sleeper, I knew it was done. Even now as a writer, that feeling is almost tenfold, because I’m only human who can get petty sometimes, “hey, that’s my target!!!” Lay off Nick, Eno, Geoff, Grey, Chris, Eric, Ross etc … hah … I’m only half joking of course. I love all of those guys. That is where meditation comes in really handy, but that is a conversation for another day 😉 … so all of that to say, I wanted to kick off the Dynasty Team Reports with some targets who I think will remain targets all off-season. Real sleepers. Pitt is starting to become standouts in pitcher development, and while their reputation has been rising, it’s not even close to the level of Tampa or LA or Seattle. So these guys aren’t going to get the org bump that so many do. They also have a very deep rotation, which will make people hesitant about going all in on their bottom of the rotation guys because some of their roles are going to be up in the air, probably through the end of March. And none of these guys ever got huge prospect hype, so the name value is in check. So with that as the backdrop, let’s dive into the Pirates Team Report …

Pitchers

Johan Oviedo – PIT, RHP, 28.1 – I don’t foresee a bunch of analysts jumping on the Oviedo bandwagon this off-season, or at least not enough to really inflate his value out of the true “sleeper” area by the time drafts come around. He returned from Tommy John surgery after missing the entire 2024 season, and unlike so many other Tommy John returnees, not only didn’t he look diminished, he came back a new man. He added 5 inches of induced vertical break to his fastball, and it turned into a dominant pitch with an elite 31.3% whiff%. It sits 95.5 MPH and it also comes with an elite 7.4 feet of extension from his 6’6”, 275 pound frame. The dude is a beast. He combines that with two good breakers in his slider (86.7 MPH EV against with a 27.6% whiff%) and curve (38.1% whiff%), while also mixing in a sinker and changeup. He was actually better vs. lefties (.560 OPS) than righties (.724 OPS) this year, so he doesn’t have major split issues either. It all led to a 3.57 ERA with a 24.7/13.5 K%/BB% in 40.1 IP. The control is below average, the K/BB doesn’t look great, and all of the ERA estimators (SIERA, xFIP) don’t love him either, but that is what makes him a true, last couple rounds of the draft sleeper. These days, everyone is looking at the same stuff, so if you want a real sleeper, you are going to have to find different avenues, and Oviedo is that avenue. I love him as a let him come to you at the end of the draft type target. – 2026 Projection: 9/3.77/1.28/164 in 160 IP

Braxton Ashcraft PIT, RHP, 26.6 – Ashcraft has been a target of mine for a few years now, so if you’ve read my work, you might already have him, but if you don’t, this off-season could be your last chance to get in at a decent price. He made his MLB debut and he proved his skills will most certainly transfer with a 2.71 ERA and 24.3/8.2 K%/BB% in 69.2 IP. He throws gas with a 97 MPH 4-seamer and a 96.6 MPH sinker that keeps the ball on the ground with a negative 9 degree launch. The slider is his most used pitch and it induces weak contact with a 83 MPH EV against and misses bats with a 32.4% whiff%. The curve is a bat missing weapon too with a 36.6% whiff% and a .214 xwOBA, The slider, curve and sinker were all plus Run Value Pitches. He also had no split issues with a .675 OPS vs. lefties. And the control has been plus to double plus for most of his career. If he were on the Mariners, we would be looking at him as the next in line of their big, fire balling, plus control righties, but with Pitt, he barely gets a whisper of hype. He pitched in a variety of roles in 2025, many of them short outings, so while there is some role risk, that is another reason his price should stay low all off-season. With injuries and ineffectiveness, I would be surprised if he didn’t rack up plenty of innings as a full time starter in 2026. Ashcraft and Oviedo are not going to be the darlings of the off-season hype machine fantasy world. These are guys you can truly get on the cheap. They ranked 360th and 362nd overall on the End of Season 2025 Top 450 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon). – 2026 Projection: 9/3.58/1.21/150 in 150 IP

Mike Burrows – PIT, RHP, 26.5 – I don’t like Burrows quite as much as I do Oviedo and Ashcraft, but he has something neither of them do, which is a dominant changeup. His change was straight elite with a +9 Run Value, 83.6 MPH EV against, and a 43.1% whiff%. It was tied for the 6th most valuable changeup in baseball, and he did it in only 96.6 IP. Having a pitch that good should not be ignored. It’s really the only thing he does well, but he has big velocity with a 95.5 MPH fastball, and his slider isn’t too bad either with a +1 Run Value. It all led to a solid 3.94 ERA and 24.1/7.7 K%/BB% in 96 IP. Pitt is becoming one of the better pitching development teams in baseball, and while none of these guys are spring chickens, we know pitching development is all over the place. Late 20 breakouts are not that rare, and all 3 of these guys have the ingredients to take steps forward. Their rotation is deep, and it’s going to be a battle for spots, but we know that these things work themselves out. All 3 of their values should be super low too, which is where the real value comes in. I’m going to be grabbing a ton of Oviedo/Ashcraft/Burrows super late in drafts/auctions. They aren’t getting nearly the hype they deserve, and my guess is that they won’t get that hype all off-season. – 2026 Projection: 8/3.88/1.27/142 in 145 IP

Hitters

Oneil CruzPIT, OF, 27.6 – Cruz might have had the most disappointing 20/38 season of all time. If you told me he was going to go 20/38 before the season started, I would have said he’s going to be a huge hit, but we all know that isn’t how it played out. The BA completely tanked, sitting directly on the Mendoza line at .200, but even more worrisome is that it was getting worse as the season went along, much worse with a .184 BA in his final 104 games. And it was even more brutal vs. lefties with a .102 BA. He was sitting a ton by the end of the season, because he’s not a good defensive player either. We are in a real pickle here, because a guy who can’t hit lefties, has major BA risk, and isn’t great on defense doesn’t sound like a good bet, but at the same time, he can legitimately go 30/40, and that isn’t even a stretch to say. The 17.9% Barrel%, 95.8 MPH EV, 78.8 MPH swing, and 56.6% Hard Hit% are all off the charts. Well, they’re on the charts, but extremely high up on the charts. The 29.2 ft/sec sprint is double plus too. And the underlying numbers say he got unlucky. The .229 xBA and the .330 xwOBA were both much better than the surface stats. He has a career .233 BA. If he hits .240 next year, he has the type of talent that can win leagues, especially with how far I’m expecting him to fall this off-season. If you own him already, there is nothing to do but hold. Selling low would be silly. And while I can’t say I’m targeting him hard, I will 100% grab him if his price falls too low. This is still a Top 100 dynasty asset for me. – 2026 Projection: 76/22/74/.228/.309/.427/33

Bullpen

Dennis Santana – PIT, Closer, 30.0 – Banking on fringy closers to remain closers throughout the entire off-season is a bet that can often come back to bite you. Even with Pitt, who don’t spend big, they can still sign some lower priced vets to come in and compete. So while I can’t be certain that Santana will hold this role all off-season, he looks like the heavy favorite. He took over for Bednar after the deadline and dominated with a 1.27 ERA, 26.9/7.7 K%/BB%, and 10 saves in his final 21.1 IP. The stuff isn’t truly monstrous like many of the other top closers in the game, but it’s big enough with a 94.7 MPH fastball, and the slider is the true moneymaker with a .248 xwOBA and 35.7% whiff%. The cutter is a good pitch too. It’s not close to true elite closer status with true elite bat missing ability, which is why there is risk Pitt can bring in other arms, so he’s just a low end closer option right now. – 2026 Projection: 4/3.61/1.19/60/24 saves in 65 IP

Pittsburgh Pirates 2026 Top 10 Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Prospects Rankings

1) Konnor Griffin – PIT, SS/OF, 19.11 – I felt the Griffin explosion in my gut last off-season. The Baseball Gods were speaking to me, and I listened, predicting he would explode into elite prospect status in my Predicting the Top 50 2026 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings last off-season, ranking him 4th overall and writing, “Griffin will have the explosion that everyone who passed on him in first year player drafts feared he would have. The hit tool concerns will be overblown as he maintains an under 25% K% at Single-A, and the power/speed combo will shine with 16 homers and 48 steals in 102 games. He’ll basically be the 2026 version of the 2025 version of Sebastian Walcott. Off the charts tools and a better than expected hit tool.” … and then he went out and surpassed even those expectations, slashing .333/.415/.527 with 21 homers, 65 steals, and a 21.7/8.9 K%/BB% in 122 games. He finished the season at Double-A where he actually put up his best wRC+ of any level with a 175 wRC+ in 21 games. Remember when everyone was making excuses for the 19 year old Walcott at Double-A all year for his mediocre slash? Well, Griffin came in and just busted that whole thing up, showing a 19 year old can most certainly dominate the level. Not only did I forsee the rise in the off-season, but I got blow back after ranking him 1st overall on the Prospect Rankings in early June before he even got the call to High-A. I then made a final plea in my August Dynasty Rankings before he got the call to Double-A, shooting him up to 29th overall and writing, “This is my final plea to you. DO NOT TRADE GRIFFIN UNDER ANY SCENARIO. I don’t even think Roman Anthony can touch his upside. Just don’t trade him, please.” And then after what he did at Double-A, there is no more room for debate. He’s lightning fast, he crushes the ball with a 91.2 MPH EV and 49% Hard Hit%, and the hit tool was better than expected. This is not only the #1 prospect in baseball, but he’s already a nearly elite dynasty asset for me. He ranked 1st overall on the End of Season 2025 Top 325 Dynasty Prospects Rankings (Patreon), and he ranked 23rd overall on the End of Season 2025 Top 450 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon). – 2026 Projection: 28/9/35/.247/.318/.433/17 Prime Projection: 118/32/111/.279/.351/.523/44

2) Edward Florentino – PIT, OF/1B, 19.5 – I don’t see Florentino getting ranked anywhere close to elite prospect range on the mainstream Top 100’s right now. In fact, he’s towards the back of those Top 100’s, so depending on how deep your league mates like to dig, there could actually be really good value on Florentino this off-season. I know there are many leagues out there that almost exclusively use those mainstream lists to value prospects, and even in leagues that use the underground sources like myself, I still think there is value to be had. This is straight up an elite dynasty prospect, and I don’t think many people are ready to really go all in like that on him, but I am. This is a 6’4”, 200 pound beast with an athletic, powerful, and smooth lefty swing that is made to hit dingers. He jacked out 10 homers in 54 games at Single-A and 16 homers in 83 games overall. The underlying numbers back it up too with a 89 MPH EV, 26 degree launch, and 38.7% Hard Hit%. He did that as just an 18 year old, so those hard hit numbers are only going up, and the best part is that he looked like a seasoned vet with excellent plate skills, putting up a 16.3% whiff% and 22.5% Chase%. This has the makings of a truly special power bat. And wildest part of all is that he’s a really good baserunner, going 35 for 41 on the bases. He’s not a burner with poor to mediocre speed grades, so maybe the steals slow down as he climbs the ladder, but Pitt also played him in CF mostly, which tells me there is very real athleticism in here. I doubt he ends up in CF, but you don’t just throw a guy into CF for funsies. It means something that they had him out there. Don’t be lulled to sleep by the low mainstream rankings, this dude is elite and deserves to be treated like it. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 96/33/107/.268/.354/.509/16

3) Bubba Chandler PIT, RHP, 23.6 – Triple-A is fucking hard. Like really fucking hard. The Majors is easier. That was a running joke I had in the Dynasty Rundowns all season, but it wasn’t really a joke at all. So many pitchers struggled hard at Triple-A, and then looked much better in the majors. Maybe it was the ABS Challenge system (which is coming to the Majors in 2026), maybe it was the ballparks, maybe they were pissed they weren’t in the majors already, maybe they were working on stuff, or maybe it was a combination of many things, but too many pitchers looked so much better once they got to the majors to write it off, especially their walk rates. And Chandler most certainly got the Majors is easier bump once he got there, putting up a 4.02 ERA with a 25.0/3.2 K%/BB% in 31.1 IP. He had a 5.96 ERA with a 21.2/13.1 K%/BB% in his last 51.1 IP at Triple-A before getting the call. The turnaround is just wild. The 98.9 MPH fastball got hit hard with a 93.9 MPH EV, but it was a whiff machine with a 30.8% whiff%, and that is more important to see right now. The famed changeup also dominated with a .155 xwOBA and 39.6% whiff%. And his worst pitch of the three, the slider, actually had the best Run Value of them all (+5), on the back of weak contact (85.6 MPH EV against), although it didn’t miss many bats with a 22.5% whiff%. It was a very positive MLB debut, and the bloom that was coming off the rose at Triple-A was fully put back on in the majors. He’s an elite pitching prospect, and possibly the #1 pitching prospect in baseball, although he has some competition for that crown, most notably from Chase Burns, Thomas White and Nolan McLean. – 2026 Projection: 10/3.56/1.27/178 in 170 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.29/1.10/225 in 195 IP

4) Seth Hernandez – PIT, RHP, 19.9 – Selected 6th overall in the 2025 MLB Draft, Hernandez has the highest pure upside of any arm in the class. He’s a great athlete with prototypical size at 6’4”, 195 pounds, and the stuff is filthy with a mid to upper 90’s fastball and a double plus changeup. The breakers (slider, curve) aren’t quite as impressive, and can be inconsistent, but they definitely have the potential to get to plus at peak. And his control/command is really strong for a high school starter with this level of stuff, generally throwing all of his pitches around the plate. I would be lying if I didn’t mention that I see at least some shades of Brock Porter, who had a very similar profile as a 19 year old starter with upper 90’s heat, an elite change, and inconsistent breakers. That also underscores how risky high school righties have traditionally been in the draft. Noble Meyer and Dylan Lesko can attest to that. Even Jackson Jobe and Andrew Painter, who have risen to elite prospect status, needed Tommy John and have had their struggles of late. But Hunter Greene exists too. There is an argument to let someone else draft Hernandez, and then buy low on him after he gets Tommy John surgery. But the top of the rotation upside is undeniable, and that upside is worth the risk. He ranked 8th overall on my Updated Top 60 2026 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings (Patreon). – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 14/3.45/1.13/200 in 180 IP

5) Hunter Barco PIT, LHP, 25.4 – Most people have Barco pegged as a back end arm, and I mean, they very well might end up correct. It’s probably the smart bet to make, but I think there is more in there than that, and because he doesn’t really get very much love in the prospect world (both mainstream and underground), that puts him into the pitching prospect aisle I love to shop in. For one, he has that funky lefty delivery that I am an absolute sucker for, and that deception helps his entire arsenal play up. He only had a 3 inning cup of coffee at the end of the year, but in those 3 innings he proved the stuff will translate to the majors with a 33.3% whiff% on the 94 MPH sinker, a 42.9% whiff% on the splitter, and a 33.3% whiff% on the slider. That gives him weapons to get both lefties and righties out. And we all know the low velo, plus changeup lefty was all the rage this year. Barco has that profile, and maybe even a supercharged version of it. He didn’t give up a single earned run in 25.2 IP at Double-A to start the year, and then he held his own in the Triple-A is fucking hard league with a 3.79 ERA and 25.4/13.0 K%/BB% in 73.2 IP. I mean, it’s arguably better than what Chandler did at the level. Just saying. The biggest problem is that he might be 7th on the depth chart right now, but in dynasty, it’s less of a problem. Barco is one of my favorite low cost, close to the majors pitching prospects. – 2026 Projection: 4/3.98/1.29/78 in 80 IP Prime Projection: 11/3.69/1.22/167 in 160 IP

6) Termarr Johnson – PIT, 2B, 21.10 – Johnson hasn’t had the rise we hoped for when he was the 4th overall pick in the 2022 MLB Draft, but it’s been far from a disaster, and that Pitt 2B job is still sitting wide open for him. Based off where they drafted him, I have to think he is going to get every chance to lock down that long term job, and not even taking draft slot into account, I still think he’s the best man for the job. The biggest issue is that the supposedly elite hit tool hasn’t even been close to elite in pro ball, but it finally started to show some signs of improvement in the 2nd half of this season. He hit .325 with a 18.3/13.3 K%/BB% in his final 42 games at Double-A as a barely turned 21 year old. That is what we were expecting from the get go, but better late than never. We obviously can’t just say he’s an elite hit tool guy again, but it gives a lot more confidence that he can fulfill the solid across the board projection I’ve been giving him for the past few years. The 119 wRC+ is also pretty damn good for his age. He hit only 9 homers with a 46.7% GB% in 119 games, and he’s also not a great base stealer, going 20 for 32, so this isn’t the upside we were hoping for at all, and I don’t think he’s a Top 100 prospect anymore, but I still believe he will be a fantasy relevant player, possibly for many years to come. – 2026 Projection: 38/6/29/.242/.306/.387/8 Prime Projection: 79/16/72/.265/.338/.423/18

7) Esmerlyn Valdez – PIT, 1B/OF, 22.6 – Pitt’s offense is atrocious. They scored the least amount of runs in the league, and while they have some good bats in the farm system, it’s not like they are stacked there either. Point being, a prospect like Valdez is in the perfect organization to bet on for fantasy. They need some big bats, and I don’t see why Pitt wouldn’t give Valdez a major chance to be one of those big bats. He obliterated High-A with 20 homers and a 176 wRC+ in 72 games as a 21 year old, and while he got off to a slow start at Double-A, he finished strong with 6 homers and a 145 wRC+ in his final 42 games. The dude can flat out mash with a powerful righty swing at 6’2” and plenty of lift and pull. There is hit tool risk with a 24.6% K%, and he doesn’t have much defensive value, but like I said, beggars can’t be choosers. Pitt needs some big bats, and I think Valdez is going to get his shot at some point, if not in 2026, then in 2027 and beyond. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 70/26/81/.243/.318/.462/4

8) Wyatt Sanford – PIT, SS, 20.4 – Sanford is the type of prospect who just slowly rises up prospect rankings with a high floor profile. He’s got a good middle infield glove, he’s got a solid feel to hit, he’s got speed and he’s got some projectability at 6’1”. This is going to be a MLB ballplayer, the only question is how good, and that will likely be dictated by how much stronger he can get. He held his own at Single-A with a 104 wRC+, 4 homers, 21 steals, and a 20.1/9.8 K%/BB% in 44 games. The 85.3 MPH EV and 30.3% Hard Hit% aren’t great, but he was only 19 years old, and like I said, there is definitely room for him to tack on more mass. Those numbers are only going up. He’s not the flashiest of prospects, but he’s probably on the underrated side right now with a high floor and not bad upside at all. I like him. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 76/14/67/.262/.323/.417/26

9) Rafael Flores – PIT, C/1B, 25.5 – Pitt targeted Flores in the David Bednar deal for a reason, and that reason is that they are desperate for close to the majors power bats, and Flores most certainly fits that bill at 6’4”, 232 pounds. He mashed 22 homers in 133 games in the upper minors. The reason I don’t have him ranked higher though, is because I was a little disappointed with the hard hit numbers once he got to Triple-A, putting up a 87.9 MPH EV and 36.4% Hard Hit% in 46 games. He’s also already 25 years old and has major hit tool risk with a 34% whiff% at Triple-A and a 41.2% K% in his small cup of coffee in the majors in 17 PA (albeit while crushing the ball with a 94.8 MPH in 8 batted balls). It’s also questionable if he can stick at catcher, making defense another area of risk. Pitt is sure to get his bat in the lineup somewhere (1B/DH/C) to see if he can be the big power bat they need, so he’s not a bad flier at all. If he stinks, you can drop him quickly, but maybe that power shows up. – 2026 Projection: 24/9/31/.226/.297/.415/2 Prime Projection: 45/16/57/.241/.318/.438/5

10) Antwone Kelly – PIT, RHP, 22.6 – As I’ve been harping on for most of this Team Report, Pitt has become a pitching development factory, and Kelly is yet another big hit for them in 2025. His velocity took a big jump this year, now sitting upper 90’s and hitting over 100 MPH, and it resulted in a 3.02 ERA with a 27.2/7.7 K%/BB% in 107.1 IP split between High-A and Double-A. He wasn’t quite as good at Double-A (23.5/8.2 K%/BB% in 48 IP), but he was reaching a career high IP, and he still put up a 3.00 ERA at the level. He’s not tall at 5’10”, but he doesn’t look small out there all all. He’s thick in the right spots, and the delivery is both explosive and pretty athletic. The secondaries aren’t as good as the fastball, but he throws a variety of them (slider, change, cutter, sinker), and hopefully there is more improvement coming down the line as he was only 21 years old this year. I’ll take a foundation of upper 90’s heat and strong upper minors production all day. He also has the fallback of being a possible future closer candidate. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 10/3.82/1.26/156 in 155 IP

11) Tony Blacno Jr. – PIT, 1B/DH, 20.10 – I remember when Blanco was a fun international prospect sleeper as a giant of a man at 6’7”, 243 pounds, but like many giant men find, getting the bat on the ball is just really hard to do at that height. And Blanco certainly struggles with that with a 35.1% K% in 30 games this season, but he doesn’t struggle hitting bombs with 7 homers and a 135 wRC+ at Single-A. It came with a 93.1 MPH EV and 53.8% Hard Hit%. He’s basically been a DH only with a few games 1B mixed in, so it’s all bat and nothing but the bat, but the dude will hit bombs at any level clearly. – ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 62/25/73/.220/.311/.478/0

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By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

End of Season 2025 Top 300+ Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings (Patreon)

I’m sticking with non debuted eligibility for the final prospects rankings of the season. I know it’s fun to see where all the new callups would slot in, but that is what the End of Season Dynasty Rankings are for, coming in a few weeks. And lets give some more time to build that MLB sample to really dive into it. And of course, over the off-season, any player with less than 50 IP and 130 AB will get added back into the off-season prospect rankings. But for now, it’s all about the non debuted, fresh faced kids. Previous Rankings are in parenthesis. Top 25 free here on the Brick Wall. Here is the Top 300+ End of Season 2026 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings:

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1) (1) (1) (21) (35) Konnor Griffin – PIT, SS/OF, 19.4 – The 19 year old Griffin got called up to Double-A to finally give us something to compare Walcott to (Griffin is actually over 1 month younger), and as expected, Griffin is showing Walcott how it’s actually done, slashing .318/.385/.545 with 3 homers, 5 steals, and a 21.2/7.7 K%/BB% in 11 games. No age to level qualifiers needed. Straight dominance. This is what a truly elite prospect looks like

2) (7) (15) (40) (54) Kevin McGonigle – DET, SS/2B, 21.0 – Here is what I wrote about McGonigle in the Dynasty Rundowns last week, “McGonigle is an elite prospect. Arguably the best prospect in baseball. There really isn’t anything else to discuss on that front, but there does still seem to be some mystery around what his profile is actually going to look like on the MLB level. I called him a souped up Steven Kwan this off-season, and while that comp still holds, the power he’s showing at Double-A could end up making even that look really light. He crushed his 7th homer in August with a clutch, Top of the 11th 2 run shot last night. That gives him 8 homers in 32 games at Double-A and 15 homers in 74 games on the season. He lifts and pulls, he hits it hard, and the 10.9/17.4 K%/BB% at Double-A is insanely elite. I don’t see how he’s not an easy 20+ guy. The ballpark isn’t great, and at 5’10” he’s never going to be Vlad Guerrero raw power wise, but shit, Jacob Wilson is on a 20+ pace over a full season. Can McGonigle go 25+? Can he Mookie Betts us with 30+? At this point, I’m definitely leaning more toward the Betts side than the Kwan side. He might not steal 30+ bags either, but I think 20 is in play there as well on the high end. You know I’ve been a bit of a party pooper on McGonigle in his pro career, but there is really nothing left to doubt. He rose to 68th overall on the August Top 444 Dynasty Rankings, and he’ll be Top 50 at least on the End of Season Dynasty Rankings coming in couple of weeks.”

3) (6) (12) (17) (17) JJ Wetherholt STL, 2B, 22.11 – When we saw JJ have considerably better strikeout rates in his debut than Bazzana, that should have been the indicator right there that JJ was the pick over Bazzana. I had them back to back, and I still like Bazzana, but JJ is proving that he is the superior prospect. He crushes the ball with a 50% Hard Hit%, the plate skills are elite with a 14.9/14.4 K%/BB%, and he runs with 21 steals. He’s an impact all category contributor

4) (9) (14) (22) (19) Max Clark – DET, OF, 20.8 – Is it just me or does it still feel like Clark gets so much less hype than he deserves. Maybe it’s McGonigle overshadowing him. I don’t know. But he’s a 20 year old at Double-A with 5 homers, 7 steals, a 129 wRC+ and a 15.8/13.3 K%/BB% in 34 games. I’m not saying he’s getting underrated. He gets ranked highly. I’m just saying I feel like almost every other elite prospect gets talked about and hyped so much more than him

5) (10) (9) (8) (32) Jesus Made MIL, SS, 18.4 – Called up to High-A and is putting the final exclamation point on his elite prospect season with a 176 wRC+ in 22 games. He still needs to work on getting to more of his raw power with only 6 homers in 105 games, but there is little doubt that is going to come as he’s still barely 18 years old. He fully lived up to the hype

6) (3) (2) (4) (15) Sebastian Walcott – TEX, SS, 19.6 – Turns out it is possible for a 19 year old to rip up Double-A (see Konnor Griffin), but that doesn’t mean what Walcott is doing still isn’t impressive. He’s an above average hitter at Double-A with a 104 wRC+, the 20.5/12.4 K%/BB% is strong, and the talent is elite. He’s still an awesome prospect, but we are seeing the difference between a bulletproof elite prospect (Griffin), and one that isn’t quite bulletproof.

7) (84) (105) (148) (144) Carson Benge – NYM, OF, 22.6 – This feels high, I know, but tell me where Benge doesn’t deserve this ranking? What doesn’t he do? What box hasn’t he checked? He got called up to Triple-A and has a 95 MPH EV with a 8 degree launch, 26.3% Air Pull%, 2 steals, and a 17.9/10.7 K%/BB% in 7 games. Obviously a small sample, but I feel it’s pretty representative of what you are getting. He obliterated High-A (169 wRC+) and Double-A (183 wRC+). The swing is vicious. He crushes the ball. The plate skills are strong. He has speed. He can lift and pull a bit. This is an impact all category contributor. Every time I try to lower him down the rankings, I say, why? He deserves this.

8) (4) (8) (5) (9) Walker Jenkins MIN, OF, 20.6 – I know he doesn’t hit the ball super hard right now, but he’s still just 20 years old, and at 6’3”, 210 pounds, I would be pretty damn surprised if that Hard Hit rate wasn’t plenty good enough by the time he’s in his prime. And when that Hard Hit does get there, everything else will be waiting for it with near elite plate skills, stolen base ability, and good batted ball angles. I comped him to Kyle Tucker at the time of the draft, and I still see that comp

9) (15) (25) (37) (24) Bryce Eldridge – SFG, 1B, 20.9 – 95.1 MPH EV with 16 homers in 54 games at Triple-A, but it comes with a 31.6% K%. You know exactly what you are getting here. The 33.6% whiff% actually isn’t really that horrific considering his age though. If someone is going to Nick Kurtz the majors in 2026, it will be Eldridge

10) (5) (3) (7) (18) Josue De Paula – LAD, OF, 20.3 – It seems like that little injury robbed us of seeing De Paula at Double-A, although the season’s not over yet, so maybe he gets a cup of coffee there. He’s been a bit cold since returning from injury, but there is not much more he can do at High-A to change his value in either direction

11) (8) (4) (41) (252) Luis Pena – MIL, SS/3B/SS, 18.10 – Unlike Made, Pena’s numbers did take a big step back at the higher level with a 51 wRC+ in 20 games, and while a .175 BABIP is a huge reason for that, the K% spiked to 23% at well. This last little surge popped Made back ahead

12) (22) (177) (UR) (408) Edward Florentino – PIT, OF, 18.7 – It was obvious that Florentino was a near elite prospect last month for me, raising him all the way up to 22nd overall, and he just continued to lock that in with 10 homers, 29 steals, a 23.6/13.8 K%/BB% and a 150 wRC+ in 51 games at Single-A. They are still running him out there in center and he’s still stealing a ton of bags (35 for 40 on the season). He’s as exciting as it comes

13) (17) (17) (23) (104) Bryce Rainer – DET, SS, 20.2 – I’ve been taking about it for most of the season, but shoulder surgery doesn’t seem to be that big of a deal for hitters anymore. Neto, Ohtani and Varsho all returned this season ripping dingers, arguably stronger than they’ve ever looked before. So I’m not fading Rainer at all due to the shoulder surgery. I closed out Rainer’s Top 1,000 blurb by writing, “Riley Greene might actually be the perfect comp here, and Detroit has done a great job developing Greene. Detroit got their SS version of Greene” … and he basically performed right to that comp. He’s a buy low off the surgery if you can

14) (31) (46) (54) (45) Thomas White MIA, LHP, 20.10 – Chandler, Tong, and Tolle got called up. Painter’s been stinking. Susana got hurt again. So that leaves White as the top non debuted pitching prospect in baseball, and he very well might end up better than all of them anyway. Just watch this filth he laid down in his modern no hitter on Saturday (5 IP, 0 hits, 0 ER, 10/4 K/BB%). He has a 1.59 ERA with a 39.3/12.6 K%/BB% in 45.1 IP at Double-A. He has 3 plus to double plus pitches. Ace

15) (86) (113) (133) (153) Sal Stewart – CIN, 2B/3B, 21.8 – I feel like I’ve always liked Stewart, always gave him a respectable ranking, and even named him a target at least once, but I was slow to go all in on his monster 2025, and it’s time to correct that. He’s going straight bonkos at Triple-A with a 163 wRC+, 10 homers, 4 steals, and a 15.8/11.5 K%/BB% in 38 games. The 93.1 MPH EV, 51.3% Hard Hit% and 14 degree launch backs that up. He’s going to hit in Cincinnati, and he did just that in his debut, going 1 for 3. This kid is a stud

16) (13) (22) (50) (71) Josue Briceno DET, C/1B, 20.11 – Double-A slowed him down a tad with a 105 wRC+ and 26.2% K% in 34 games, but I’m not too worried about it. He’s the upper middle class man’s Samuel Basallo

17) (11) (7) (3) (8) Leodalis De VriesOAK, SS, 18.10 – Traded to Oakland/Sacramento/Las Vegas and apparently the rules of owning De Vries is that you must insanely promote him way too fast for his own good, as he got sent to Double-A. As expected, he’s struggling with a 56 wRC+ in 11 games

18) (23) (162) (UR) (UR) Joshua Baez – STL, OF, 22.2 – He’s hitting .293 with a 13.0/12.0 K%/BB% in 22 games at Double-A in August. To say he’s locking in the hit tool gains is an understatement. He’s turned into the 6’3”, 220 pound version of McGonigle 😉 … not quite, but damn is the continued improvement of his hit tool awesome to see. I already rose him up majorly last month, and he’s cementing that status

19) (25) (28) (34) (29) Justin Crawford – PHI, OF, 21.7 – His profile couldn’t be closer to his dad’s, Carl Crawford, than if he tried. Actually, I’m sure he did try. He’s a straight clone. Like his dad, the big homer totals might never come, but if you remember, his dad was a fantasy beast, and I’m betting on Justin becoming one too, high groundball rates and all

20) (37) (18) (49) (31) Aidan Miller PHI, SS, 21.2 – I feel like I’ve been mostly holding strong on Miller all season, preaching patience, and that patience is paying off with him putting up a 1.083 OPS in August. He’s been 20/21 at Double-A all year with a 127 wRC+ and 50 steals in 102 games. The righty swing is vicious. This dude is a beast, and probably a tad underrated right now

21) (12) (13) (16) (16) Travis Bazzana – CLE, 2B, 23.0 – Bazzana’s first full year of pro ball didn’t blow the doors off, but I’m still buying, and the fantasy friendly skillset is still there. He recently got the call to Triple-A and has a 89.1 MPH EV, 44.1% Hard Hit%, 12% Chase% and 25.8% Whiff% in 16 games. Not bad. He runs and he can lift and pull. I still see an impact fantasy player

22) (64) (51) (64) (143) Ryan Waldschmidt – ARI, OF, 22.10 – The explosion at Double-A came with 6 homers in his last 16 games. He’s Luke Keaschall 2.0. Simple as that. He should probably rank over Bazzana honestly, but If I took Bazzana #1 overall in FYPD’s last year, do I really have the guts to swap him with Waldschmidt? I don’t know if I could do it

23) (39) (20) (66) (181) Caleb Bonemer CHW, SS, 19.10 – Called up to High-A and has 2 homers with a 4/4 K/BB in 5 games. That is the final cherry on top of his explosive season. He ripped up Single-A all year in similar fashion. The plate skills are strong, he hits it hard, he lifts and pulls, and he runs. This is an explosive fantasy prospect who deservers near elite prospect love

24) (41) (FYPD-1) (NA) (NA) Eli Willits – WSH, SS, 17.8 – With Holliday out as my #1 player in First Year Player Drafts, that leaves an opening at the top, and I just don’t think I can place a pitcher there. Remember when Roki was the unanimous #1 last year? How did that work out? I just can’t do it. And Willit’s debut has been impressive enough to land him in my top spot. He’s slashing .371/.450/.400 with 0 homers, 2 steals, and a 17.5/10.0 K%/BB% in 10 games. And a big reason I have him ranked here is the 37% GB% and 50% Pull%. Once that power comes naturally, we could be looking at a true beast here with hit, plate skills, speed, and defense already there. He’s still just 17 years old. Washington picked him first for a reason, and he’s showing off that reason. He’s my new top dog.

25) (52) (63) (52) (72) Jarlin SusanaWASH, RHP, 21.5 – The Hunter Greene starter pack has officially been fully put together since returning from a UCL sprain with a 2.95 ERA and 47.7/14.0 K%/BB% in 21.1 IP at Double-A in August. The fastball sits 100 MPH. The slider is double plus. And the lesser used changeup flashes nasty. If you wanted to put him as the top dog, I wouldn’t argue with you for a second. Will his UCL explode in a blaze of fireworks soon? Probably … and then after writing this blurb I saw he left his last start with triceps soreness. This guy feels like a ticking time bomb, but the upside is so insane I can’t just write him off. If he didn’t get hurt, he would have been 15th overall. Ranking injured pitchers is the toughest demographic of player to rank

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OFF-SEASON CONTENT: Dynasty Team Reports (Top 10 Prospects/Interesting MLB guys/Strategy of the Day), Deep Positional Rankings, Top 1,000 Dynasty Rankings, Top 500 Prospects Rankings, Top 100 FYPD Ranks + much more

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

Top 302 June 2025 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings (Patreon)

This list is for non debuted prospects only. I want all fresh faces, and I want everyone being evaluated on an even playing field with no MLB sample tainting the analysis. As usual, I go over 300 deep with blurbs for every player. Top 25 free here on the Brick Wall. Previous Rankings (Off-season and May) are in parenthesis. Here is the Top 302 June 2025 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings:

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1) (21) (35) Konnor Griffin – PIT, OF, 19.1 – Roman Anthony finally got the call, and how fun is it to finally crown a new #1 non debuted prospect in baseball. And there is no funner (yes, I know that isn’t a word) prospect than Konnor Griffin. There is also no prospect with higher upside than Griffin. I was high on Griffin this off-season, but the Baseball Gods were telling me I wasn’t even high enough, writing in his FYPD Tier One Target blurb, “If one player in this group kinda pings my gut and heart every time I pass his name in the rankings, it’s Griffin. It’s like I’m getting a signal that he is the guy to truly go after. All of the college bats are good, but not great, and Griffin has the potential to be great. If you have the guts that I didn’t have in these rankings, maybe it’s Griffin that is the true top pick after Sasaki. Especially in a shallow league, it could be fun to roll the dice on him.” … and that dice roll is coming up 7’s if you took him first (I was able to nab him 11th overall in my 18 teamer). He conquered Single-A with 9 homers, 26 steals and a 156 wRC+ in 50 games, and his only weakness, plate skills, was improving massively by the end of his stint there with a 12.5/12.5 K%/BB% in his last 16 games. It earned him the challenge of High-A, and it’s gonna be fun seeing what he can do. He’s my #1 non debuted prospect in baseball.

2) (4) (15) Sebastian Walcott – TEX, SS, 19.3 – The game power is coming with 8 homers in 53 games at Double-A, and the plate skills are actually improving at the tougher level with a 21.2/12.4 K%/BB%. He’s not dominating, but he’s doing everything you wanted to see him do this year. I wouldn’t argue with you if you wanted to put Walcott first.

3) (7) (18) Josue De Paula – LAD, OF, 20.0 – I’ve been all in on Josue since he was a complete unknown in the DSL, and I’m not slowing down now, especially with the last piece of the puzzle coming together, and that is the game power. He has 8 homers in 56 games at High-A, the plate approach is still elite, and he keeps on racking up steals with 16 in 19 attempts. He is the complete offensive package, and even though he’s bad on defense, this is the type of bat to not care too much about that for fantasy.

4) (41) (252) Luis Pena – MIL, SS/3B/SS, 18.6 – I named Pena a Target this off-season in a DSL tier with Joswa Lugo, Yolfran Castillo, Yairo Padilla, Elvin Garcia and Jhonny Level, writing in his blurb, “Pena was a hit/speed breakout whose swing looks damn dangerous to me, and he’s not super small or anything at 5’11”. This could be the group where we find the next blow up. Take a lotto ticket or two here.” … and we did find the next blowup in this group, and that man’s name is Luis Pena. That explosive swing I couldn’t get out of my head has led to a power explosion with 5 homers in 35 games, and it comes with elite contact (11.5%) and speed (24 steals). He hits the ball hard, he doesn’t have any groundball issues, he pulls it … he’s the total package.

5) (6) (20) Bubba Chandler PIT, RHP, 22.9 – The fact that Chandler hasn’t been called up already is just robbing baseball fans. Slow playing hitters is one thing, but pitchers with upper 90’s gas get hurt all the time. We don’t know how many bullets are in the tank. To let this man rot at Triple-A is baseball malpractice.

6) (10) (23) Chase Burns – CIN, RHP, 22.5 – Double-A was a complete joke for Burns with a 1.29 ERA and 36.4/2.6 K%/BB% in 42 IP, and while Triple-A has been slowing down tons of pitchers these days, I think Burns is ready for the challenge. We could see him in the majors by the 2nd half of the season. Chandler and Burns are in a tier of their own right now.

7) (3) (8) Leodalis De Vries – SDP, SS, 18.8 – He cooled off majorly with a .571 OPS in his last 26 games at High-A, but keep in mind that the Midwest League is a very tough league for hitters. His home park is one of the best places to hit in the league, and he has a .972 OPS there. On the road in tougher parks he has a .613 OPS. I’m not budging off Leo … well, I guess I am budging, but I’m not budging too far

8) (5) (9) Walker Jenkins MIN, OF, 20.3 – Ain’t no way I can let an ankle injury impact Jenkins’ ranking. He just returned from the injury and after looking good in the lower minors, he’s back at Double-A for the last 2 games

9) (8) (32) Jesus Made MIL, SS, 18.1 – I mean, he’s no Luis Pena 😉 … The .280/.389/.423 isn’t exactly a dominating triple-slash, but keep in mind he was still 17 years old for the first month of the season, and everything we loved about him in the DSL is transferring

10) (13) (13) Samuel Basallo – BAL, C/1B, 20.9 – 93.4 MPH EV with a 33.7% whiff% in 39 games at Triple-A really says it all. There is huge power, but don’t completely discount the hit tool risk. Having said that, he’s 20 years old, so I would bet on that improving as he gains more experience

11) (11) (10) Andrew Painter PHI, RHP, 22.2 – I’ve hinted more than a few times that Painter doesn’t really look all the way back to where he was pre-injury, and with what we’ve seen from tons of Tommy John/internal brace returnees, that is really par for the course. The 3.86 ERA with a 26.9/11.8 K%/BB% in 21 IP at Triple-A is just not the bulletproof, basically perfect pitching prospect he was before the injury. The control hasn’t been as crisp and he’s not missing as many bats. I’m betting on him continuing to improve, but there is no guarantee

12) (17) (17) JJ Wetherholt STL, 2B, 22.9 – Everything is transferring to Double-A. He’s exactly who we thought he was

13) (16) (16) Travis Bazzana – CLE, 2B, 22.9 – He’s almost exactly who we thought he was. That 26.2% K% in 33 games at Double-A is a tad higher than hoped. But he’s lifting and pulling and he’s running, so it’s a fantasy friendly profile. He’s currently out with an oblique strain since May 15th that is expected to keep him out for 8-10 weeks

14) (22) (19) Max Clark – DET, OF, 20.5 – The only thing missing from his great start to the season was the power/speed combo, so he added that back in with 3 homers and 7 steals in his last 25 games.

15) (40) (54) Kevin McGonigle – DET, SS/2B, 20.9 – Here is what I wrote about McGonigle in the latest Dynasty Rundown and my thoughts remain the same now, “I’ve underestimated McGonigle his entire career, and I’m ashamed of myself. Hit tool first high school prospects are not my favorite bucket to shop in FYPD’s, so he wasn’t an FYPD target for me, and that was a mistake. He doesn’t jump off the screen at 5’10”, 187 pounds, and that led me to underrated him after his excellent pro performance too. The little man discount took me out, and I pride myself on the little man discount. But all the underrating from me stops now, as he cracked a true power hitter’s bomb into the parking lot for his 2nd homer in 11 games at High-A. The plate skills are silly elite with a 7.7/21.2 K%/BB%, he hits the ball hard, he can lift and pull, and while he’s yet to steal a base this year, we know he has that too with 22 steals in 24 attempts in 74 games in 2024. He’s awesome and I’ve never given him the respect he deserves.”

16) (20) (43) Zyhir Hope – LAD, OF, 20.4 – He’s 1 for 3 on the bases in his last 50 games. That is just 1 steal since April 10th. That could be a bit of an upside capper for fantasy, especially with some hit tool risk here too

17) (23) (104) Bryce Rainer – DET, SS, 19.11 – I’ve been talking about it for most of the season, but shoulder surgery doesn’t seem to be that big of a deal for hitters anymore. Neto, Ohtani and Varsho all returned this season ripping dingers, arguably stronger than they’ve ever looked before. So I’m not fading Rainer at all due to the shoulder surgery. I closed out Rainer’s Top 1,000 blurb by writing, “Riley Greene might actually be the perfect comp here, and Detroit has done a great job developing Greene. Detroit got their SS version of Greene” … and he basically performed right to that comp. He’s a buy low off the surgery if you can

18) (49) (31) Aidan Miller PHI, SS, 21.0 – The hit tool is getting a bit exposed at Double-A with a 27.2% K% and .234 BA, but he just turned 21, and he’s been better of late with a .264 BA in his last 28 games. The 6 homers and 22 steals are also damn exciting for fantasy

19) (107) (103) Eduardo Quintero – LAD, OF, 19.9 – Utterly obliterating Single-A with true across the board destruction, and the only nitpick from early in the year, the high K%, has been coming down of late too with a 19.6% K% in his last 21 games. He has zero groundball issues. Kid is a stud

20) (66) (181) Caleb Bonemer CHW, SS, 19.8 – The high school talent in the 2025 FYPD class is popping all over the place, and Bonemer is leading the 2nd round charge, slashing .278/.419/.473 with 5 homers, 17 steals, and a 22.5/18.5 K%/BB% in 49 games at Single-A. He has the talent and power/speed combo to back up the numbers, He’s lifting and pulling. I’m all in on Bonemer

21) (135) (106) Theo Gillen – TBR, SS, 19.9 – Dominating Single-A, slashing .283/.438/.453 with 4 homers, 17 steals, and a 23.7/19.4 K%/BB% in 31 games. He was one of my favorite targets after the consensus top tier was off the board, so he most certainly has the talent to back up the numbers. There still might be a buy window here before his value explodes

22) (50) (71) Josue Briceno DET, C/1B, 20.8 – Going bonkos at High-A with 8 homers in his last 14 games. That gives him 13 homers with a 173 wRC+ and 19.0/7.9 K%/BB% in 40 games on the season. This is the elite, middle of the order blowup that I warned you about this off-season when I named him a major target. And I’ve been naming him a target from before he got even a whisper of hype. I love this dude.

23) (32) (93) Arjun Nimmala – TOR, SS, 19.8 – One of the most visually dangerous righty swings in the game, and he’s backing it up with 9 homers and a 19.9/11.0 K%/BB% in 51 games at High-A. Age to level production, power, athleticism … there is nothing not to like

24) (43) (70) Jacob Misiorowski – MIL, RHP, 23.2 – We aren’t quite out of the woods yet with his control problems with 11 walks in his last 11 IP, which is definitely a bit scary, but a 12.3% BB% is still a career best, and I just can’t bring myself to fade his monster stuff with elite bat missing ability. Plus he’s in a great organization

25) (37) (24) Bryce Eldridge – SFG, 1B, 20.7 – 8 homers with a 27.2/10.5 K%/BB% in 39 games in the upper minors. We know who Eldridge is, and while the power is good enough to conquer San Francisco, I do think it shaves some upside off the top

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By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

Top 146 2025 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings (Patreon)

I’m pumped to be getting into the true meat of the off-season, and we kick things off with the Top 146 2025 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings! The top 12 are free down below on the Brick Wall. Full analysis, Prime Projections, and ETA’s for every player. The FYPD Target and Strategy Guide is coming tomorrow on the Patreon, and then I will close out the week with another installment of the Sneak Peek of the Top 1,000 Dynasty Rankings Series. And we are just getting started with sooooooo much more coming. But first, here is the Top 146 2025 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings:

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Dynasty Team Reports on Patreon (free ones listed in parenthesis)

Atlanta BravesBaltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox (free)Cincinnati RedsChicago Cubs (free)Chicago White SoxCleveland GuardiansDetroit TigersKansas City RoyalsLos Angeles AngelsMiami MarlinsMilwaukee Brewers (free)Minnesota TwinsNew York Mets (free)New York Yankees (free)Oakland AthleticsPhiladelphia PhilliesPittsburgh PiratesSan Diego PadresTampa Bay RaysTexas RangersToronto Blue JaysWashington Nationals (free)

1) Roki Sasaki FRA, RHP, 23.5 – Sasaki and his people pulled whatever back room deals that needed to be pulled and got him coming stateside this season, which is insanely exciting, because there is little doubt that he will be a true ace right from the get go, and possibly the best pitcher in all the land. He’s better than Yamamoto, and you saw Yamamoto’s seamless transition, other than the shoulder injury. Sasaki’s fastball sits in the upper 90’s and regularly hits over 100 MPH. The splitter is truly elite and the slider is plus. He has prototypical size at a projectable and athletic 6’2”, 187 pounds, and he has plus control/command of his stuff. He’s been so insanely dominant in Japan that he has basically already hit legend status with so many crazy feats, and he’s only 23 years old. He put up a 2.35 ERA with a 28.7/7.1 K%/BB% in 111 IP this year. He was even better in 2023 with a 1.78 ERA and 39.1%/4.9% K%/BB% in 91 IP. As you can see, the biggest and only red flag is injuries, as he has a career high of 129.1 IP. He battled an oblique injury in 2023 and right arm discomfort in 2024. The right arm discomfort is particularly concerning because his stuff was actually down a tick or two this year. It was still beastly, but would any of us be surprised if Tommy John/internal brace surgery was right around the corner? You can’t be too scared off by that, because even if he needs it, he should still return as an ace. He’s so easily the top pick in First Year Player Drafts, and he has a very real argument to be the top dynasty pitcher in the game. – 2025 Projection: 12/3.06/1.04/175 in 150 IP Prime Projection: 16/2.72/0.92/240 in 185 IP

2) Travis Bazzana – CLE, 2B, 22.7 – Selected 1st overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, Bazzana looks like a tightly wound ball of kinetic energy that is just ready to explode in the box (I think ball of “Potential” energy is actually the correct scientific term, but I felt like “Kinetic” just hit harder 🙂 … There is toe tapping and bat wiggling before he absolutely uncoils on the baseball, jacking 28 homers in 60 games in the Pac 12 this year, and also smoking 6 homers with a 1.037 OPS in the wood bat cape cod league in 2023. He’s “only” 6 feet tall, but there is easy plus power in here at the least. He combines the plus power with a near elite plate approach/hit tool (12.5%/25.7% K%/BB%), and speed (16 steals). He didn’t standout in his pro debut, but he did enough to feel confident about him fulfilling his upside with 3 homers, 5 steals, a 126 wRC+ and 25.4/13.9 K%/BB% in 27 games at High-A. He’s the total offensive package, and there is a reason he got taken #1 overall by a very smart franchise despite limited defensive value. The only thing that can stop him seems to be his parents. His parents almost ended his career before it started when celebrating. His dad tried to rip his arm out of his socket, and then his mom put him in some kind of neck hold into a tripping maneuver. Travis almost looked like he was about to square up with his mom for a second there. I guess they do things differently Down Under in Australia. – 2025 Projection: 31/7/31/.247/.319/.420/8 Prime Projection: 91/24/79/.271/.349/.455/25

3) JJ Wetherholt STL, 2B, 22.7 – Selected 7th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, Wetherholt might not have quite the ceiling of Bazzana, but even that is highly debatable, and he’s establishing that he most probably has the floor edge with a 11.9% K% at Single-A vs. Bazzana’s 25.4% K% at High-A. Different levels, but that is a pretty stark difference. He hit the ball on the ground a lot more than Bazzana, which is where some of that upside edge comes in, but he did it with a 91.9 MPH EV, so don’t cap his power upside too much. He’s two inches smaller than Bazzana at 5’10”, but he rocks that little man leg kick that I’ve always loved, and always seems to get the most out of smaller guys raw power. He slid in the draft a bit after getting a lot of #1 overall buzz, likely due to missing about half of the season with a hamstring injury and still not being fully healthy when he returned. It was his 2nd major hamstring injury within the year. His 16 homer pace was also not that impressive when everyone else was hitting like 30+. What he does better than maybe anyone else in the draft though is hit. He put up a 10.4%/18.3% K%/BB% in 2024 and had a 8.2% K% in 2023. He’s a complete hitter who uses the entire field with a quick and simple lefty swing. Tack on plus speed (57 steals in 145 career games), and you have a damn enticing fantasy player even if his power upside doesn’t quite match some of the other bats in the class. I have Bazzana ranked over him, but I don’t think it’s some no brainer decision. JJ is right there. – 2025 Projection: 18/3/16/.259/.321/.401/5 Prime Projection: 96/19/73/.287/.353/.438/23

4) Chase Burns – CIN, RHP, 22.3 – Selected 2nd overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, dynasty managers owe a huge debt of gratitude to Cincinnati for going Burns over Condon. It would have made me legitimately sad to see Burns going to the Rockies. I know Cincinnati is no cake walk for pitchers themselves, but they just have a small ballpark, they don’t have different air. And we’ve seen plenty of pitchers have excellent seasons in Cincy (Castillo, Gray, Greene, Lodolo), so I wouldn’t let this landing spot move you off Burns at all. He has legit ace upside at a strong 6’3”, 210 pounds with a double plus fastball that sits in the upper 90’s and a double plus slider that put up elite whiff rates. It led to a 2.70 ERA with a ridiculous 48.8%/7.7% K%/BB% in 100 IP in the ACC. He’s inevitably going to get compared to Skenes, and Skenes put up a 1.69 ERA with a 45.2%/4.3% K%/BB% in 122.2 IP in the SEC. Skenes was in the tougher conference (although Burns pitched well in the SEC in 2022-23 before transferring to the ACC) with a better ERA, better walk rate and more IP. Burns isn’t as good as Skenes, but not many pitchers are better than Skenes, so that isn’t much of a knock. Burns also throws a curve and changeup to give him a legit starters pitch mix, and how well he can develop those pitches could dictate whether he becomes a true ace or a high K, #2/3 type. If your dynasty team is stacked with hitting, I don’t think taking Burns #1 overall should be ruled out. The teams that took Skenes over Langford and Crews in 2024 aren’t complaining too much right now, and while I already noted that Burns isn’t Skenes, the college hitting class also aren’t Langford/Crews. – 2025 Projection: 4/3.73/1.20/87 in 75 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.23/1.08/237 in 190 IP

5) Christian Moore – LAA, 2B, 22.5 – Selected 8th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, the Angels don’t fuck around when it comes to promoting advanced college hitters to the majors, so you know Moore is going to be a contributor on your fantasy team real quick, possibly as soon as Opening Day. Shit, he almost made his MLB debut in 2024 with his absolute destruction of pro ball, slashing .322/.378/.533 with 5 homers, 2 steals, and a 29.6/8.2 K%/BB% in 23 games at Double-A. A knee injury (meniscus) is likely the only thing that stopped that from happening, but he returned to Double-A before the season ended and went 3 for 4 with a double and 4 RBI, so I wouldn’t be worried about the knee. I fell in love with his personality during his Draft Day interview. It was the perfect mix of confident, cocky, thoughtful, playful and mature. That just seems like the type of infectious attitude I want on my team. He wasn’t kidding when he said he had Champion in his blood. And of course, he was an absolute beast in the SEC, smashing 34 homers with a 1.248 OPS and 14.5%/11.3% K%/BB% in 72 games. He has a very strong righty swing at 6’1”, 210 pounds, producing at least plus power with average speed on the bases. In his freshman year in 2022, he put up a 1.062 OPS with 10 homers in 149 PA to give you an idea of the type of natural talent this is. As you saw with his K rate at Double-A, there are definitely some hit tool issues, which I’m not ignoring, but I’m also not letting it scare me off. I was high on Moore before his pro debut, and now I am over the moon for him. 2025 Projection: 70/23/77/.242/.310/.437/8 Prime Projection: 83/28/91/.260/.331/.472/11

6) Nick Kurtz OAK, 1B, 22.1 – Selected 4th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, Kurtz had one of the best pro debuts in his draft class with 4 homers in 7 games at Single-A, and a 129 wRC+ with a 20.0/13.3 K%/BB% in 5 games at Double-A. It was a just a continuation of the 3 years of dominance in the ACC. He’s a large man at 6’5”, 240 pounds in the mold of a Jim Thome, country strong type. But he’s not just brute strength, he has electric bat speed that led to 61 homers in 164 career games in college. He combines the at least plus power with an extremely patient plate approach and good feel to hit (16.2%/30% K%/BB%). He also has some sneaky athleticism, evidenced by a perfect 11 for 11 on the bases in his college career. The ceiling here is your classic complete hitting first baseman with power and patience. And it looks like the Athletics intend to fly him through the minors, so it might not even be crazy to see him break camp with the team, even if I wouldn’t bet on that. The biggest downside is that his season ended on August 24th with a hamstring injury, and injuries have plagued him throughout his career, so I think it’s something that has to be taken into account unfortunately. He returned in time to decimate the AFL with a 1.058 OPS in 13 games, so I don’t think you should overrate the injury risk too much, but it’s worth noting. – 2025 Projection: 48/16/57/.247/.323/.439/4 Prime Projection: 89/28/93/.266/.351/.488/6

7) Konnor Griffin – PIT, OF, 18.11 – Selected 9th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, Griffin has the highest pure upside in this entire class, and that includes Roki Sasaki. He’s 6’4”, 215 pounds and has the look of a #1 overall pick in the NFL Draft as a QB. He has the neck of a football player too. He also has the athleticism of a football player with legit potential to put up 30/30 seasons with a plus to double plus power/speed combo. He’s shown a good feel to hit with a good plate approach in his high school career, but like I mentioned back in February 2024 when I did a very early Top 10 FYPD Ranking, the swing isn’t necessarily the smoothest thing in the world, although it actually looks much better to me now than it did then. Plus you can tack on electric bat speed and bank on continued refinement considering how young he is for the class. Pitt obviously wasn’t worried enough about the hit tool to let him slip by them at #9, and for fantasy especially, I wouldn’t let it scare you off him either. This is legit elite dynasty asset potential, and there is chance you are kicking yourself 1-2 years from now for taking a good but not great college bat, over this potentially elite dynasty player. – ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 89/25/92/.261/.337/.470/33

8) Cam Smith – HOU, 3B, 22.1 – Selected 14th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, the 6’3”, 224 pound Smith generates a tremendous amount of power with very little movement in his swing. It is quick, powerful and short to the ball. It is straight up one of the quietest swings from one of the biggest men I’ve ever seen. The swing is geared more for a line drive, all fields approach rather than pull and lift, which is why he didn’t put up the gaudy homer totals as some of his other college hitting brethren with only 16 homers in 66 games in the ACC. But he has the raw power to make that profile work, and the upside is that it can come with a high BA. We saw what this profile can look like at it’s best in his dominant pro debut, slashing .313/.396/.609 with 7 homers, 2 steals, and a 17.9/11.2 K%/BB% in 32 games split between Single-A, High-A, and Double-A. He put up a 122 wRC+ in 5 games at Double-A, so the profile was transferring to the upper minors, and he clearly had no problems ripping dingers to all fields with the wood bat. He very well might have the top hit/power combo in the FYPD class, and it’s why Houston targeted him in the Kyle Tucker trade. The trade doesn’t really change his value at all, but he will definitely get a nice ballpark upgrade even if he doesn’t have the type of profile that necessarily needs it. – 2025 Projection: 12/4/17/.247/.308/.412/1 Prime Projection: 84/24/89/.273/.340/.466/4

9) Hagen Smith – CHW, LHP, 21.7 – Selected 6th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, the White Sox know a thing or two about developing vicious lefty starters with funky deliveries and some control risk. They’ve done just fine with Chris Sale, Garrett Crochet, and Noah Schultz. The 6’3”, 225 pound Hagen Smith is next on that list with a three quarter arm slot delivery that he uses to fire a double plus mid 90’s fastball and double plus slider. Both pitches are whiff machines, leading to a 2.04 ERA with a 48.6%/10.3% K%/BB% in 84 IP in the SEC. He also mixes in a splitter, and while he doesn’t throw it that often, it’s a good pitch when he goes to it. The walk rate is on the high side, and it was worse in his freshman and sophomore seasons with a 13.4% BB% in 148.3 IP. Improving his control/command and turning his splitter into a higher usage 3rd weapon can turn Smith into a true ace. If he can’t improve in those areas, a high K, mid-rotation starter is within the range of outcomes (and I guess the bullpen is too, but you don’t take a guy 6th overall to use him in the bullpen long term). I’m surprised that Smith was allowed to debut in 2024, but Chicago marches to the beat of their own drum. He more than held his own at High-A with a 3.52 ERA and 21.2/6.1 K%/BB% in 7.2 IP over 3 outings. The filthy stuff was as advertised, and while the K numbers weren’t off the charts, it’s nice to see that clean walk rate. Add a star for being young for the class, but take a star away for already undergoing Tommy John when he was 16 years old. – 2025 Projection: 2/3.91/1.28/50 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.48/1.17/203 in 175 IP

10) Charlie Condon – COL, 3B/1B/OF, 21.11 – Let me just start by saying that I’ve been valuing pro debuts extremely high from the second I started writing back in 2015/16, and it has served me extremely well in both directions (moving guys both up and down). It was back before any other outlet would even consider changing their evaluation or ranking of a player based on their pro debut. When asked, they would just hand wave it away and say something like “small sample,” even though the sample was often actually bigger in pro ball than it was in their Junior year of college (back when the draft was in early June). It made no sense to me why the pro debut with wood bats and more advanced pitching wouldn’t be weighed more heavily. And now, you see basically every outlet change their ranking at least somewhat based on the pro debuts, which is the right move. That brings us to Charlie Condon, who just had the type of pro debut you have nightmares over. Despite all of his pre draft hype, he did have some hit tool questions at 6’6” with relatively high K rates throughout his college career. And the hit tool immediately didn’t transfer to pro ball with a .180 BA and 31.2/3.7 K%/BB% in 25 games at High-A. That isn’t just bad, that is atrocious. Completely lost. It’s not great that the only question he had coming out of the draft was immediately answered, and not in a good way. This was a 21 year old in the lower minors. You need a high FYPD college bat to dominate in the majors by like 23 years old, let alone High-A. Jacob Berry and Chase Davis were the last two hyped college bats to have poor pro debuts, and neither of their values are anywhere close to where you wanted them to be. Condon is a better prospect than both of those guys, and I’m not dropping him as far down as those guys at all, but I do believe he does deserve a real drop. This draft class was already really tightly packed at the top with a lot of really, really good college talent, but no one true standout. So based on Condon’s poor debut, I don’t see how it doesn’t make complete sense to drop him under those guys. He has a clear carrying tool in his power, and of course I do factor in that the pro debut was at the end of a long season, draft process, new team, new coach, new everything etc …, so he’s still a Top 10 FYPD pick for me. I still like him as a power bat who will get to hit in Coors (but also gets their developmental team, and it looks like he still needs development). I just wouldn’t be able to pull the trigger on him until the other similarly talented college players with better debuts were off the board first. I feel like that’s reasonable. – ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 77/30/88/.241/.322/.472/8

11) Braden MontgomeryCHW, OF, 22.0 – Selected 12th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, there was a lot of talk about Montgomery dropping his righty swing to hit exclusively lefty. That doesn’t really seem like what you want to hear from a highly drafted college bat, but the lefty swing is so smooth and powerful I get why it doesn’t seem like that big of a deal overall. He also had a 20% K% which is substantially higher than the college bats drafted before him. Maybe that is partly why he slipped a bit to 12th overall, and also why Boston was willing to include him in the Crochet trade. The broken ankle which he suffered pre draft on June 8th was also likely a major reason for the drop. So he certainly has some risk with hit tool, platooning and injury, but he also has very major power upside. He’s 6’2”, 220 pounds and he smashed 27 homers with a 1.187 OPS in 61 games in the SEC. He’s been smashing homers his entire career with 62 homers in 187 games split between the Pac 12 and SEC. He absolutely destroys the baseball with huge exit velocities. That gives him a no doubt carrying tool that will make him a fantasy force. As for the trade, it really doesn’t change his value at all. The path to playing time is clearer, but it’s an organization downgrade and a future lineup downgrade. It’s also a ballpark downgrade. If anything, it makes me like him slightly less, but again, this really shouldn’t change his value too much. – ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 81/28/89/.251/.333/.475/6

12) Jac Caglionone – KCR, 1B, 22.2 – Selected 6th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, Caglionone’s pro debut was on the disappointing side, and with how tightly packed the talent is in the FYPD Top 12, he’s sliding down my rankings to the bottom of that Top 12 tier. He had hit tool and chase questions coming out of the draft, and hitting .241 with a 20.6/5.6 K%/BB% in his 29 game pro debut at High-A did nothing to quell those issues. He put up a lowly 94 wRC+ with 2 homers, which isn’t what you want to see from an elite college bat in the lower minors. He then went to the AFL where the pitching was so bad this year, they are actively trying to figure out how to improve the pitchers in that league in future years, and he still couldn’t dominate with a .749 OPS in 21 games. Tons of hitters were putting up just wacky numbers in that extreme offensive environment. He did jack 5 homers, and there is zero doubt about his massive power, so there is no doubt he has a carrying tool even if the hit tool and plate approach take time to adjust to pro pitching. He’s built like an NFL tight end at 6’5”, 250 pounds, and he obliterated the SEC with 75 homers in 165 career games. It took him some time to improve his plate skills in college as well, making big improvements his junior year with a 8.2/18.4 K%/BB% (18.2/5.3 K%/BB% his sophomore year), so the hope is that he can do the same in the majors. KC’s ballpark is death to lefty homers, and while I am factoring that in a bit, he has the type of power to not get too hung up on it. Even though the pro debut does have him sliding down the rankings a bit, it’s almost more because of how much comparable college talent there is at the top of this class to begin with. He’s still a very exciting power bat. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 81/31/92/.248/.329/.479/6

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