Dynasty Baseball Rundown – Page 6

Posted on June 6, 2022June 6, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (6/6/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (6/6/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED JUNE 2022 TOP 350 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-UPDATED MAY 2022 TOP 433 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS

Emmanuel Rodriguez MIN, OF, 19.4 – 1 for 2 with a homer, 2 walks and 0 K’s. Baby Bonds has more walks than strikeouts with a 51/54 K/BB in 45 games at Single-A, and his 1.063 OPS is far and away the best OPS in the FSL (the underrated Gabriel Martinez is 2nd at .883). Rodriguez still doesn’t get nearly the respect he deserves, and is already a Top 100 Prospect for me, checking in at #90 on my Top 350 June Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings that hit my Patreon last week.

Jackson Chourio MIL, OF, 18.3 – Chourio has a legitimate shot to be the next big thing. He’s a tooled up 18-year-old who is beating up on older competition in full season ball, muscling out his 4th homer of the year yesterday. He’s slashing .371/.417/.595 with 4 homers, 3 steals, and a 26.0%/7.9% K%/BB% in 27 games at Single-A.

Logan O’Hoppe PHI, C, 22.3 – O’Hoppe homered for the 3rd time in 4 games at Double-A. He now has 11 homers with a .997 OPS and 15.6%/11.8% K%/BB% in 44 games. The hype has really started to percolate on him. Here’s what I wrote about O’Hoppe in my off-season, February 10th Hitters to Target (Patreon) writeup, “Easily the most underrated catcher in the minors. He’s a lock to stick behind the plate with plus raw power and plus contact rates.” Let the record show that the aforementioned Chourio was also included in that off-season Target Series.

DL Hall BAL, LHP, 23.8 – 5 IP, 2 hits, 2 ER, 9/2 K/BB at Triple-A. Isn’t Grayson just the perfect child with his pristine walk rates, diverse pitch mix, and trendy first name, but now he’s out until September with a lat injury, and it’s time for the wild child to take centerstage. Yea, Hall’s control isn’t that great, and yea, he’s not 6’5” 220 pounds, but he’s ready to shine for all of the kids out there who grew up in their sibling’s shadow. And no, I’m definitely not projecting at all! 😉

Cole Henry WASH, RHP, 22.11 – Henry made his Triple-A debut and went 5 IP with 3 hits, 0 ER, and a 3/1 K/BB. He’s 6’4”, 215 pounds with some legitimately filthy stuff. He made Gabriel Moreno and his plus hit tool look silly on a first inning K.

Ezequiel Duran TEX, 2B/SS, 23.0 – I ranked Duran 39th overall in last week’s Top 350 June Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings and wrote, “Quickly becoming one of my favorite prospects with 7 homers, 7 steals, and a 17% K% in 41 games at Double-A. He also passes the “eye test” as he’s an explosive player and the ball explodes off his bat. 6.6% BB% shows he’s still a little too aggressive at the plate.” He has since got the call to the bigs and showed that explosiveness, drilling a 402 foot dinger off a 99.5 MPH Andres Munoz fastball. This dude can be a true difference maker.

Alejandro Kirk TOR, C, 23.7 – The inevitable Kirk breakout has finally arrived with him hitting a 416 foot blast for his 4th homer in 5 games. His underlying numbers are straight elite with a 8.6%/12.3% K%/BB% and a .393 xwOBA. Gabriel Moreno keeps getting more and more blocked.

Brendan Rodgers COL, 2B, 25.10 – 3 for 5 with a double and a homer. Rodgers has been red hot since May began, slashing .344/.380/.566 with 6 homers and a 20/6 K/BB in 30 games. The underlying numbers still aren’t all the great on the season with a 3.5 degree launch angle and .313 xwOBA, but if you’ve been holding strong on Rodgers for the last several years, this is your time.

Alex Kirilloff MIN, 1B/OF, 24.4 – 2 for 5 with 2 homers and now has 4 homers in his last 3 games at Triple-A. The wrist must be feeling A-OK as he’s utterly destroying Triple-A with a 1.050 OPS in 26 games. He’s back on track to become one the top young hit/power combo hitters in the game.

Bryson Stott PHI, SS, 24.8 – Stott is heating up, walloping his 2nd MLB homer and now has a 1.122 OPS in his last 5 games. An 84.1 MPH EV is still horrific, but a 24.3% whiff% and 16.7 degree launch angle is forming a nice foundation if he can keep hitting the ball harder.

Shane Baz TBR, RHP, 22.11 – 10/1 K/BB in 4.1 IP at Triple-A. Ummmm … I think it’s safe to say the rust has been shaken off. I can’t imagine it’s that much longer before he gets recalled.

Jakob Junis SFG, RHP, 29.9 – 6 IP, 2 hits, 1 ER, 8/2 K/BB vs. Miami. He has a 2.51 ERA in 43 IP, but I’m not sure I’m really buying in. A 23.9% whiff% overall is mediocre and his slider is only putting up a 26.8% whiff%. The sinker sits 91.1 MPH. I trust the 3.96 xERA more, which is still a step forward from where he’s been in his career prior to this year.

Martin Perez TEX, LHP, 31.2 – 6 IP, 7 hits, 2 ER, 7/2 K/BB vs. Seattle. 20.7% K%, 5.9% BB% and 2.6% barrel% are all career bests. This isn’t exactly an in your face breakout, more of a doing a little bit of everything better breakout. My gut says this will be hard to maintain, and I surely wouldn’t want to pay up big for him in a trade, but if I owned him (I don’t) I would be enjoying the hell out of the ride while it lasts.

Mike Trout LAA, OF, 30.10 – 29.4 ft/sec sprint speed is a 5 year high and nearly a career high, and yet he hasn’t attempted a single steal. Even with him absolutely mashing he’s still ranked only 24th on the Razzball Player Rater. That, plus his age, is why I find it hard to rank him over 14th overall on my Top 433 May Dynasty Baseball Rankings.

Spencer Steer MIN, SS, 24.6 – Steer went nuclear yesterday, cracking 3 homers. He now has 6 homers with an 11/6 K/BB in 13 games since getting the call to Triple-A. I see some Alex Bregman in his game and a little Brian Dozier too. Not saying he’ll be as good as those guys, but I’m buying in.

Colin Barber HOU, OF, 21.4 – Barber has quietly been having an excellent season, but it got a whole lot louder after going deep twice yesterday. He has a 17.4%/12.8% K%/BB% with a .956 OPS in 37 games at High-A. He’s ridiculously underrated.

Ian Lewis MIA, 2B, 19.4 – Lewis got a late start to the season, but it didn’t take him long to prove his skills will translate to full season ball. He drilled his 2nd homer of the year and has a .864 OPS with a 18.3% K% and 2 steals in 20 games at Single-A. His stock is rising.

Sal Frelick MIL, OF, 22.2 – Frelick got ahold of his first homer in 19 games since getting called up to Double-A. It’s just his 3rd homer in 41 games on the season, but it comes with 9 steals and a 14.6%/10.8% K%/BB%. I will say I’m a little concerned with how much his value will be tied to stolen bases. He’s been caught 4 times this year, and we’ve seen guys like Nick Madrigal not run at all. If the steal totals are mediocre on the MLB level, the upside really isn’t there.

Noelvi Marte SEA, SS, 20.7 – 2 for 4 with his 5th homer in 46 games at High-A. People are starting to sour on Marte with a mediocre .732 OPS, but I think it’s mostly due to poor HR/FB luck. 24.9%/10.8% K%/BB% with a 40.7% GB% tells me a homer binge is likely coming down the pike. If you’re a rebuilding team, now could be a good time to buy low if he’s sitting on the roster of a contender.

Angel Martinez CLE, 2B/3B/SS, 20.2 – Martinez went 3 for 5 with a double and 2 homers at High-A (3 homers in 34 games). The power is big to see because the plate approach (19.7%/13.6% K%/BB%) and speed (7 steals) are both there, so developing some legitimate power will take him to the next level.

Andres Gimenez CLE, 2B/SS, 23.9 – The power breakout is holding up with Gimenez smacking a 105.9 MPH dinger for his 3rd homer in his last 5 games in the majors. His 89.9 MPH EV is up 3.6 MPH from last year. He feels like he’s been around forever, but he’s only 23 years old, and he’s lightning fast with a 29.3 ft/sec sprint speed. 2.8% BB% isn’t great, but there is very real upside here in a 5×5 BA league especially.

Cal Mitchell PIT, OF, 23.4 – Mitchell rocked his first MLB homer off Zac Gallen. It’s nice to see the above average K rates transferring to the majors with a 18.4% K%, but there doesn’t seem to be much upside here with a 3.5 degree launch angle and 26.2 ft/sec sprint speed. His groundball rates were high at Triple-A too. He’s getting his shot and can certainly be solid, but not sure he’s going to be a difference maker.

Jack Suwinski PIT, OF, 23.10 – Between Mitchell and Suwinski, I think I prefer Suwinski, but it’s close. He went 3 for 4 with 2 doubles at 108.9 and 107.5 MPH. He’s kept the K% in check in the majors with a 25.6% K%, and he has some speed (28.5 ft/sec sprint speed) and some pop (6 homers in 34 games).

Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC, OF, 20.2 – Pete Crow got the call to High-A last week and it didn’t take long for him to get acclimated, cracking his first homer at the level to the deepest part of the ballpark. He has 8 homers in 43 games overall. He never got enough credit for his power potential, and he’s now leaving no doubt there is legitimate juice in his bat. I predicted the power breakout in my off-season Predicting the 2023 Top 50 Dynasty Baseball Prospects (Patreon), but I also predicted that Luis Matos would go 20/20, so it’s a give and take.

Marcus Semien TEX, SS/2B 31.8 – 2 for 5 with a dinger, and now has 3 homers, 4 steals, and a .822 OPS in his last 10 games. We have a pulse.

Cristian Hernandez CHC, SS, 18.6 – Rookie Ball starts today. Can’t wait to start digging for the next group of breakouts.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on May 23, 2022May 26, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/23/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/23/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED MAY 2022 TOP 433 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-UPDATED MAY 2022 TOP 316 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS

Josh Naylor CLE, 1B/OF, 24.11 – Naylor crushed a low fastball out to centerfield at 108.1 MPH for his 6th homer in 21 games in the majors. He’s been crushing the ball all year with a 50% HardHit% (top 10% of the league). He never sold out for the flyball revolution, keeping that launch angle low (7.8 degrees), and it’s finally paying off with MLB going back to the dead ball which rewards line drive hitters. It’s a good life lesson. You don’t always have to adjust to the trends, just keep doing what you’re doing and let the trends come to you. He checked in at #308 on the Top 433 May 2022 Dynasty Baseball Rankings that hit my Patreon last week.

Nolan Gorman STL, 3B/2B, 22.1 – 3 for 5 with a 108.1 MPH double and is now 5 for 10 with a 1/2 K/BB in his 3 game Quad-A debut vs Pitt. The double came off Bryce Wilson and his 7.53 ERA. Gorman hits for power in his sleep with a 93 MPH EV and 19.4 degree launch angle. He also hasn’t been swinging and missing like a madman with a 22.7% whiff%. Of course, all of this damage came against Pitt, so the difficulty level might have actually been easier than his competition at Triple-A. Can’t wait for him to make his real MLB debut.

Roansy Contreras PIT, RHP, 22.7 – Speaking of that better competition at Triple-A, Pitt is finally deciding to field something that might resemble a real MLB team by calling up Contreras. Contreras was a guy who used to sit in the low 90’s and got by on the art of pitching, and then he showed up in 2021 pumping upper 90’s heat. He lost some control in that transformation, but that’s a tradeoff you gotta take. He’s a must add in all formats. Now we’re just waiting on Oneil Cruz control.

Oneil Cruz PIT, SS, 23.8 – Enter Mr. Cruz stage left, as Cruz destroyed his 4th homer in 35 games off what looked like a pro whiffle ball pitcher. He’s coming on after an understandably slow start (because of the ridiculousness of not cracking the MLB squad out of camp) with 3 homers, 2 steals, a .879 OPS and 11/11 K/BB in his last 14 games.

Trevor Story BOS, SS, 29.6 – The post Coors adjustment period seems to be over as Story has been out of his mind over his last 7 games with 6 homers, a 1.572 OPS and a 4/5 K/BB. His 14.7% Barrel% is actually a career high. He’s back, baby.

Tony Gonsolin LAD, RHP, 28.1 – 6 IP, 3 hits, 1 ER, 7/1 K/BB vs. Philly. Gonsolin was one of my top pitcher targets this off-season, and he’s paying dividends with a 1.61 ERA (2.48 xERA) on the back of an excellent 86.9 MPH EV against. 23.5% HardHit% against is in the top 2% of the league. His fastball hasn’t been great, but all 3 of his secondaries have been dominating. He was a no brainer target for me considering his price, and this start really cemented his status as an impact fantasy starter.

Michael Kopech CHW, RHP, 26.1 – 7 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 6/2 K/BB vs. NYY. The only pitcher I was targeting more than Gonsolin was Kopech, and he’s also been on point with a 1.29 ERA (2.64 xERA) in 42 IP. He hasn’t gone full breakout like I hoped he would with a solid but unspectacular 26% whiff%, but he’s inducing weak contact with a well above average 4.9% Barrel% against.

Adley Rutschman BAL, C, 24.2 – The slow trickle of Baltimore’s top prospects getting the call has begun with Adley fittingly leading the charge. He’s 2 for 8 with a 1/1 K/BB in 2 games, so the plus plate approach looks good so far.

Grayson Rodriguez BAL, RHP, 22.6 – Grayson can’t be far behind, going 6 IP with 4 hits, 2 ER, and 9/1 K/BB at Triple-A. There is nothing left for him to prove in the minors with a 38.6%/8.2% K%/BB% in 43.1 IP. Baltimore’s time is coming.

Kyle Stowers BAL, OF, 24.5 – Stowers doesn’t always get included in that upcoming Baltimore youth movement, but he’s doing his best to stay noticed after cranking 3 homers yesterday to give him 9 on the season. More important than the power, which was never in doubt, is the excellent 22.8%/11.7% K%/BB% in 34 games at Triple-A.

Graham Ashcraft CIN, RHP, 24.5 – Ashcraft made his MLB debut and went 4.1 IP with 4 hits, 2 ER, and a 3/2 K/BB vs. Toronto. He’s not a huge strikeout guy, but his big stuff (97.4 MPH cutter and 97.2 MPH sinker) induces weak contact (84.1 MPH EV against) and keeps the ball on the ground (negative 5.4 degree launch angle). This isn’t a pitching style comp, but numbers wise maybe he can end up something like Framber Valdez.

MacKenzie Gore SDP, LHP, 23.3 – 6 IP, 3 hits, 1 ER, 6/2 K/BB vs. SFG. The fastball sat 96.4 MPH and he put up a 28% whiff% overall. With Clevinger hitting the IL with a triceps strain, Gore has a chance to really lock down that rotation spot. He’s just another example of pitching prospect development being all over the place.

Christopher Morel CHC, OF, 22.11 – Morel didn’t play yesterday, but he’s been too good not to mention. He’s has always had big talent, and he’s starting to refine that talent this year. He got the call straight from Double-A (147 wRC+), and hasn’t missed a beat in the majors with a 95.2 MPH EV, 23.5%/11.8% K%/BB%, and 27.7 ft/sec sprint speed. It’s resulted in 2 homers, 1 steal, and a 1.145 OPS in 15 AB. There is still hit tool risk, but he seems to be coming into his own. He’s worth a shot in any league, and he cracked my Updated Dynasty Rankings at #424.

Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC, OF, 20.0 – Here’s what I predicted about Armstrong in my Predicting the 2023 Top 50 Dynasty Prospects Rankings this off-season, “Armstrong will not only pick up where he left off before he underwent shoulder surgery, he will show power potential many people doubt he has. He’ll profile as a less hyped version of Robert Hassell.” … Armstrong smashed his 6th homer yesterday and his profile looks exactly like a less hyped version of Robert Hassell, slashing .372/.463/.584 with 6 homers, 10 steals, and a 18.%/12.5% K%/BB% in 33 games at Single-A.

Anthony Volpe NYY, SS, 21.1 – Volpe ripped his 5th homer and stole his 18th bag in 34 games at Double-A. He only has a 94 wRC+, but it’s mostly due to a .227 BABIP. 24.5%/13.5% K%/BB% and the power/speed numbers all look good. Don’t sell low based on the .197 BA.

Zac Veen COL, OF, 20.6 – 2 for 4 with a 0/1 K/BB and his 4th homer in 34 games at High-A. After an early season K binge, Veen’s notched a 22.4% K% in his last 23 games which is great to see considering his hit tool is really the only concern. He has a 134 wRC+ with 10 steals and a 13.7% BB%. He has one of the most vicious swings in the minors, and I think he’s going to be a fantasy stud when it’s all said and done.

Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 19.4 – 2 for 4 with 2 K’s and his 4th homer. Dominguez has fully shook off his slow start and is now slashing .298/.372/.548 with 4 homers, 3 steals, and a 30/9 K/BB in his last 21 games. The K’s are still a problem, but a 118 wRC+ in 33 games at Single-A ain’t bad at all. He’s not going full Kevin Maitan on us, thankfully, but he’s not going full Wander Franco either. He’s settling in somewhere in between.

Jairo Pomares SFG, OF, 21.8 – Pomares went deep twice yesterday to bring his season wRC+ up to 121 in 27 games at High-A. His walk rate is up to a career high 9.7%, but the K% remains high too at 31.1%. He’s got a whip quick swing and just looks like a player in the box. He’s not exactly dominating with a .768 OPS, but I’m still in on him.

Vinnie Pasquantino KCR, 1B, 24.6 – Vinnie with the Skinny just keeps on crushing, going 3 for 4 with a homer and 0 K’s. He has 10 homers with a 14.6%/13.5% K%/BB% in 40 games at Triple-A. This man has been as consistent as they come with a 152 wRC+ at Rookie Ball in 2019, a 154 wRC+ at High-A in 2021, a 153 wRC+ at Double-A in 2021, and now a 152 wRC+ at Triple-A this year.

Miguel Vargas LAD, 3B, 22.4 – Vargas is right on Pasquantino’s tail for the plate approach/power combo crown, going 2 for 4 with his 7th homer yesterday. He now has a 15.1%/14.6% K%/BB% with a 137 wRC+ in 41 games at Triple-A

Vaughn Grissom ATL, SS, 21.5 – 3 for 4 with a double, homer, steal, and 0/1 K/BB. Grissom’s plate approach has been silly elite with a 12.6%/11.3% K%/BB% in 34 games at High-A, and while that’s his calling card, don’t underestimate his very solid power (4 homers) and speed (6 steals).

Ken Waldichuk NYY, LHP, 24.5 – Waldichuk made his Triple-A debut and showed out, going 5.1 IP with 3 hits, 1 ER, and a 9/2 K/BB. He’s been an absolute strikeout machine his entire pro career with 267 strikeouts in 173.1 IP. He doesn’t have huge stuff but the guy knows how to pitch and the results don’t lie.

Matt Canterino MIN, RHP, 24.5 – 4 IP, 0 hits, 0 ER, 6/1 K/BB at Double-A. Canterino does have the huge stuff, but injuries have derailed his hype train. He’s been nothing but filthy when on the mound and now has a 1.53 ERA and 116/26 K/BB in 76.1 career IP. Now is mostly certainly the time to pounce if he’s still out there in your league.

Antoine Kelly MIL, LHP, 22.5 – 5.2 IP, 3 hits, 3 ER, 13/1 K/BB at High-A. Kelly is bouncing back from a terrible 2021 due to shaking the rust off from thoracic outlet surgery (9.78 ERA), and now has a 2.58 ERA with a 33.8%/12.1% K%/BB% in 39.1 IP this year. The fastball sits mid 90’s from a three quarters arm slot and the slider looks good too. Still risk, but big K upside.

Gabriel Martinez TOR, OF, 19.10 – Martinez is putting himself on the map, going 4 for 7 with a dinger yesterday. He’s showing off an above average hit/power combo as a 19 year old at Single-A, slashing .278/..342/.474 with 6 homers and a 17.1%/8.2% K%/BB% in 36 games. He’s a nice grab in a deeper league.

Bo Naylor CLE, C, 22.3 – Naylor was on the map, and then off the map after a tough 2021, and now he’s putting himself back on the map with a strong season at Double-A. He homered yesterday and now has a very respectable triple-slash of .281/.423/.479 with 3 homers, 7 steals, and a 21.1%/18.7% K%/BB% in 30 games. A catcher who can chip in with steals and maintain a solid average isn’t too bad at all.

Joe Mack MIA, C, 19.3 – Mack made his season debut on May 17th and it didn’t take long for him to get going as he’s 4 for 6 with a double and a homer in his last 2 games. He has a cool 200 wRC+ in 4 games and has the potential to be one of the top catcher prospects in baseball in the not too distant future.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on May 9, 2022May 17, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/9/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/9/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED APRIL 2022 TOP 414 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-UPDATED MAY 2022 TOP 316 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS

George Kirby SEA, RHP, 24.2 – Kirby made his MLB debut and went 6 IP with 4 hits, 0 ER and a 7/0 K/BB vs. Tampa. The 4-seamer dominated, sitting 95.8 MPH with a 48% whiff% on the pitch. He had just climbed to #8 overall on my Updated Top 316 Prospects Rankings over on my Patreon, writing, “He could take Brash’s spot in the rotation shortly.” Granted, you didn’t have to be Prospectdamus to see that one coming.

Royce Lewis MIN, SS, 22.10 – Lewis followed in Kirby’s footsteps, rising to #7 on the Updated Prospects List and then getting the call shortly after that. He’s 3 for 10 with a double and K in his 3 game debut, and the underlying numbers are impressive with a 91.8 MPH EV, 22.1 degree launch, and an 11.1% whiff%. He might not stay up with Correa’s injury not as bad as originally feared, but Lewis is trending towards being a fantasy star.

Manuel Margot TBR, OF, 27.6 – I’ve had Margot in the late career breakout bucket for awhile now, seeing a similar career path to Lorenzo Cain, and it might finally be happening as Margot ripped his third homer of the year to bring his season wRC+ up to 170 in 24 games. He has a career high 91.4 MPH EV, 17.3 degree launch angle, and 19.7% whiff%.

Juan Yepez STL, 1B/3B/OF, 24.0 – Yepez smashed his first MLB homer on a 406 foot shot to the deepest part of the ballpark. He is starting his MLB career on a 5 game hit streak, and 4 of those games were multi hit games. He’s not guaranteed a full time job, but as long as he keeps hitting, they will find a way to get his bat in the lineup.

Owen Miller CLE, 1B/2B, 25.6 – Miller stays hot with his 3rd homer in 22 games. He’s handily outperforming his underlying numbers (.445 wOBA vs. .368 xwOBA), so while I think he can be a solid bat long term, I don’t think he is going to maintain anything close to this level. I would consider him a sell high candidate.

Corbin Carroll ARI, OF, 21.7 – Carroll has been going bonkos all season, and he’s now going doubly bonkos with his 2nd straight 2 homer game. That’s 4 homers in his last 2 games for 9 homers on the season. Tack on 8 steals and a .326 BA and he is in the conversation for the top prospect in baseball. He checked in at #5 on my Updated Top 316 Prospects Rankings.

Zack Gelof OAK, 3B, 22.5 – Gelof lifted off twice as well for his 3rd and 4th homers in 25 games at Double-A, and both were hit the opposite way. A fan in a cartoonishly sized cowboy hat had the first homer all lined up but he botched the play. Gelof has a 123 wRC+ at the level, but a 27.6%/6.5% is a little worrisome when trying to project his production out on the MLB level.

Austin Martin MIN, OF, 23.0 – It took long enough but Martin finally got on the board, pulling a breaking ball that never really broke for his 1st homer of the year. 13.7%/12.8% K%/BB% with 14 steals in 25 games at Double-A looks great, but he’s just not doing enough damage on contact with a .337 SLG.

Jordan Lawlar ARI, SS, 19.8 – Lawlar continues to separate himself from the 2021 high school SS class, going 2 for 5 with a double, homer, and 0 K’s. He’s now slashing .301/.443/.542 with 6 homers, 15 steals, and a 25.5%/16% K%/BB% in 23 games at Single-A.

Taj Bradley TBR, RHP, 21.0 – 5 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 5/0 K/BB at Double-A. Plus control of his mid 90’s fastball is his bread and butter, and the secondaries have been more refined this year. He rose to #53 overall on the Updated Prospects Rankings, one spot ahead of one of my favorite prospects, Brayan Bello.

Mick Abel PHI, RHP, 20.7 – 4 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 6/5 K/BB at High-A. Seeing all the walks coming back is not great, but it’s still been much improved overall with a 10.4% BB% in 18 IP. The stuff is filthy and he’s been a K machine with a 37.7% K%. After the top arms in the upper levels graduate, Abel should rise into elite pitching prospect territory.

Edward Cabrera MIA, RHP, 23.11 – Max Meyer is making everyone forget about Cabrera, but he did his best to make as all remember yesterday, going 5 IP with 3 hits, 0 ER, and a 6/1 K/BB. He’s still struggling with his control on the season though with a 15/8 K/BB in 13 IP. Meyer should be the next man up in Miami, but it’s not out the realm they go back to Cabrera first.

Edwin Arroyo SEA, SS, 18.7 – 2 for 5 with his 5th homer in 24 games at Single-A. He now has a 149 wRC+ with 6 steals and a 18.6%/10.6% K%/BB%. Arroyo has been out of his mind recently and is one of the top breakouts in the first month of the season. He climbed to #167 on the Updated Top 316 Prospects Rankings, and even that might not be enough.

Carson Williams TBR, SS, 18.9 – Williams is another 18 year old breaking out in full season ball, jacking his 3rd homer in 21 games and is now slashing .301/.372/.578 with 3 homers, and 7 steals. The 37.2% K% is quite high, but he’s only 18, and his swing is so damn explosive at 6’2”, 180 pounds it’s hard not to get excited.

Roberto Campos DET, OF, 18.10 – Campos crushed his first homer of the year in 25 games at Single-A, but he’s been hitting the ball really hard all year and his power isn’t in question. More importantly, the K rate has been strong with a 22.4%/7.1% K%/BB% and has been solid all year with a 108 wRC+. Now is probably the time to buy in if he’s still out there.

Jackson Chourio MIL, OF, 18.1 – The 18 year old Chourio made his season debut at Single-A last week and he’s done nothing but hit since then. He cranked his first homer yesterday and is now slashing .480/.519/.800 with 1 homer, 2 steals, and a 14.8%/7.4% K%/BB% in 6 games. I’ve ranked Chourio pretty aggressively, and the hype is about to blow up if he keeps this up. Elite prospect potential.

Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 22.2 – Make it #6 for Casas at Triple-A. I imagine that when Bobbly Dalbec looks in the mirror to brush to his teeth in the morning, he sees Casas right behind him like it’s a hacky horror movie.

Nick Yorke BOS, 2B, 20.0 – Yorke’s been finding his power stroke of late, drilling his first 2 homers of the year in his last 5 games. This one was a no doubter out to deep centerfield, showing he definitely has some raw juice in the tank. He has a 21.3% K% with a .238 BA, so the hit tool hasn’t exactly been as elite as hoped.

Justin Foscue TEX, 2B/3B, 23.1 – Foscue has been quietly putting in work at Double-A, going 2 for 3 with a homer and 2 walks. He has a 15.9%/14.5% K%/BB% with a 145 wRC+ in 16 games at Double-A. He’s joining Josh Jung as two rock solid college bats who should produce in Texas for years to come.

Brendon Davis LAA, 3B/OF, 24.8 – 2 for 5 with his 5th homer. The surface stats haven’t been great with an 88 wRC+, but the underlying numbers look excellent with a 17.9%/12.2% K%/BB% and a 37.6% GB% in 28 games at Triple-A. He has big power at 6’4”, 185 pounds, and seeing the K rate being kept in check is big.

Blaze Alexander ARI, SS, 22.11 – Alexander is bouncing back from a down 2021, walloping 2 homers yesterday and is now slashing .322/.403/.644 with 4 homers and 3 steals in 15 games. 31.3% K% is still too high, but he’s putting himself back on the map.

Ken Waldichuk NYY, LHP, 24.3 – Waldichuk had the best start of the day, going 5 hitless innings with a 12/3 K/BB. He’s a 24 year old “crafty lefty” dominating younger competition at Double-A with a 1.14 ERA and 40/9 K/BB in 23.2 IP. I wouldn’t go crazy for him, but the guy obviously knows how to pitch.

Hayden Wesneski NYY, RHP, 24.4 – Wesneski is the 24 year old Yankees pitching prospect I prefer, and he pitched damn well himself, going 5 IP with 4 hits, 2 ER, and a 6/1 K/BB at Triple-A. He does have the big stuff and is now sitting on a 2.48 ERA with a 32/6/ K/BB in 29 IP.

Michael Burrows PIT, RHP, 22.5 – One of the most underrated pitchers in the minors continued his dominance, going 4 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 6/1 K/BB. The stuff is straight filthy and he’s rocking a 34%/6.8% K%/BB% in 26.2 IP at Double-A. He’s a must pick up in every league.

Jacob Amaya LAD, SS, 23.8 – The Amaya breakout continues, going 3 for 5 with a triple, homer, and a 1/3 K/BB in a doubleheader. Simply calling it a breakout might be an understatement because the the numbers are straight elite, slashing .351/.473/.797 with 7 homers (27.9% GB%), 2 steals, and a 13.2%/18.7% K%/BB% in 22 games at Double-A. He cracked the Updated Prospects Rankings at #200, and he just keeps on rising.

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By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
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Posted on May 2, 2022May 2, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/2/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/2/22):

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Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 21.4 – The umpires have been screwing Julio all season, and he took out his frustration on poor Sandy Alcantara yesterday, absolutely drilling a 110.4 MPH, 450 foot bomb for his first of many MLB homers. He’s been hot over his last nine games, slashing .364/.432/.546 with an 8/3 K/BB. He leads all of baseball with 9 steals, and his 29.9 ft/sec sprint speed is in the top 1% of the league. Pitchers better hope the umps keep expanding the strike zone on him, because it’s about to get ugly.

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 22.9 – Speaking of getting ugly, Kelenic went 0 for 3 with 2 K’s and now has a .508 OPS with an 85.2 MPH EV and 38.4% whiff% on the year. There are no silver linings. He dropped to 68th overall on my the Updated Dynasty Rankings over on my Patreon a few weeks ago, and he’ll drop even further on the next update.

J.P. Crawford SEA, SS, 27.4 – Crawford has been molten hot, going 2 for 3 with a homer, double and walk. He now has 4 homers with a 1.091 OPS and 9.7%/11/8% K%/BB% in 22 games. I’m struggling to buy into the breakout because of an 85.1 MPH EV and 20.8% whiff%. I would sell high if you can.

Andrew Painter PHI, RHP, 19.0 – Painter’s dominance continued, going 4 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER, and a 6/2 K/BB at Single-A. His fastball sat 96.5 MPH and put up a 38% whiff%. He now leads all minor league pitchers with more than 2 IP with a negative 0.68 xFIP. I joked on Twitter last week that he’s been so dominant the advanced stats just said fuck it, they should really start taking runs away from the other team. He’ll be pushing Top 50 prospect status when my Updated Top 300 Prospects Rankings hit Patreon tomorrow.

Jackson Jobe DET, RHP, 19.8 – Jobe is trying his best to keep up with Painter to hold his crown as the top rated high school pitcher from the 2021 draft class, going 3 IP with 3 hits, 2 ER, and a 3/1 K/BB. The fastball sat 95.8 MPH and his slider continues to spin enough to make a guy dizzy with a 3084 spin rate. It’s still close, but I think I prefer Painter right now.

Michael Harris ATL, OF, 21.2 – The game power has arrived in all it’s glory as Harris lifted off twice yesterday for his 3rd and 4th homers of the year at Double-A. He walloped a 432 foot shot to leadoff the game and then dug one almost out of the dirt off a sidewinder righty for his 2nd. The plate approach (18.8%/8.3% K%/BB%) and speed (9 steals in 21 games) are working too. He’s dotting his i’s, crossing his t’s, and semi circling his p’s.

Matt McLain CIN, SS, 22.8 – McLain’s been minding his P’s and Q’s at Double-A as well, matching Harris with a 2 homer game. He took both homers out to deep centerfield. How much power he would get to was a question coming out of the draft, but he’s had no issues with 5 homers and a 35% GB% in 20 games.

Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 22.2 – I’m all out of expressions involving the alphabet, but the only letter Casas needs to focus on is K. Bobby Dalbec’s K’s that is. Casas is coming for the starting 1B job with his 5th homer in 23 games at Triple-A while Dalbec is sitting on a 29 wRC+ with a 30.7% K% in the majors.

Ryan Helsley STL, Closer Committee, 27.9 – Picked up his first save, going 2 perfect innings with 4 K’s. Helsley’s been silly good all year with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 16/0 K/BB in 8.1 IP. His fastball is up to 98.7 MPH and his cutter and curve are putting up a 55.6% and 50% whiff%, respectively. He’s likely in a closer committee right now, but he has the chance to pull away with the role.

Triston McKenzie CLE, RHP, 24.9 – McKenzie lost his control for the first time in his career in 2021, and it’s back this year, going 6.1 IP with 4 hits, 0 ER, and a 7/1 K/BB vs. Oakland. He has an above average 7.4% BB% on the year. His whiff% is only sitting at 22.7%, but as long as the control is there, he should be solid.

Josh Winder MIN, RHP, 25.6 – Winder got his first MLB start and impressed, going 6 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER and 7/1 K/BB vs. Tampa. The fastball sat 94.9 MPH, the slider had a 76 MPH EV against, and the curve and change handled the whiffs, leading to a 27% whiff% overall. He has good stuff with a starter’s repertoire. It all seems to add up to a rock solid mid rotation starter.

George Kirby SEA, RHP, 24.2 – 5 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 7/0 K/BB at Triple-A. His fastball sat 95.7 MPH and the slider induced weak contact with a 83 MPH EV against. The K/BB numbers have been pristine all year with a 34.4%/5.4% K%/BB% in 24.2 IP. It might not be long before he takes Brash’s spot in the rotation.

Nick Pratto KCR, 1B, 23.7 – Pratto went deep yesterday and has now homered in back to back games for his 4th and 5th homers in 21 games at Triple-A. He’s still striking out too much with a 33.3% K%, but after striking out 15 times in his first 8 games, he’s brought it down to a more reasonable 16 times over his last 13 games.

Vinnie Pasquantino KCR, 1B, 24.6 – The competition is on for Kansas City’s first baseman of the future job. Pasquantino ripped his 4th homer in 22 games at Triple-A, and his comes with a sparkling 10.9%/16.3% K%/BB%. He’s not as good of a defender, which could still give the edge to Pratto.

Anthony Volpe NYY, SS, 21.0 – It didn’t take long for Volpe to shake off his slow start at Double-A, homering for his 3rd time yesterday. More importantly, he didn’t strikeout once and now has a 6/10 K/BB in his last 9 games to bring his season K%/BB% up to a very good 25.3%/16.1%.

Pedro Leon HOU, OF/SS, 23.10 – The ball has been exploding off Leon’s bat this year, and he crushed his 3rd homer on a 110.4 MPH rocket. The strikeouts remain a problem with a 32.3% K%, but at least we know he’s going to do damage when he does make contact.

Tyler Soderstrom OAK, C, 20.5 – Soderstrom got ahold of his 3rd homer in 19 games at High-A, but it’s been a struggle otherwise with a 31.5%/8.2% K%/BB%, 50% GB% and 72 wRC+.

Aeverson Arteaga SFG, SS, 19.2 – Arteaga’s been hitting the ball very hard all year, and he tacked on his 3rd homer on a screaming liner. He has a 104 wRC+ in 18 games at Single-A, but he’s had strikeout problems with a 35.4% K%.

Alex Ramirez NYM, OF, 19.2 – Ramirez cranked a 103.9 MPH, 382 foot shot for his first homer of the year in 18 games at Single-A. He’s been much improved his 2nd time around at the level with a 159 wRC+ and 19.5%/4.9% K%/BB%.

Seth Johnson TB, RHP, 23.7 – 3.2 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 7/2 K/BB at High-A. Johnson has been a strikeout and walk machine all year with a 40.4%/15.4% K%/BB% in 12.1 IP. He features a plus fastball/slider combo and is trending toward some kind of multi inning role. Upside is high though if he can improve his control.

Andrew Abbott CIN, LHP, 22.10 – 6 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, 10/1 K/BB at High-A. This is his 3rd straight start with over 10 K’s and now has a 42.7%/8.5% K%/BB% in 21 IP. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff with a low 90’s fastball, and while his control has been solid he’s not a pinpoint control guy, so I’m not going bonkos over the hot start. Regardless, his stock is definitely up in the early going.

Royber Salinas ATL, RHP, 21.1 – 5 IP, 1 hit, 1 ER, 9/1 K/BB at Single-A. The control was much improved in this one and the fastball/breaking ball combo was still racking up whiffs. I would like to see him start picking on people his own size (and age), but the stuff is undeniably electric.

Luis Rodriguez LAD, OF, 19.8 – Rodriguez got on the board with his first homer of the year at Single-A. His 30.9% K% in rookie ball last year was a little concerning, but it’s improved a bit in full season ball with a 27.3% K%, and he’s walking like crazy with a 22.7% BB%. He’s sitting on a 151 wRC+ in 19 games.

Michael Massey KCR, 2B, 24.1 – Checking in at #840 on my offseason Top 1,000 Dynasty Rankings, Massey is off to a strong start at Double-A, hitting his 5th homer and nabbing his 3rd bag in 20 games. The plus contact rates have transferred with a 19.4% K%, but so has the below average walk rates (5.4% BB%). He might end up a Quad-A type, but he has fantasy friendly upside if he can find playing time.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on April 25, 2022April 26, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/25/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/25/22):

Jesus Luzardo MIA, LHP, 24.6 – 5 IP, 2 hits, 1 ER, 8/4 K/BB vs. Atlanta. Why improve your control when you can just make your stuff even nastier? Luzardo’s BB% is still sitting at 11.5%, but the fastball is up to 97.1 MPH and his whiff% is up 10.1 percentage points to 39.5%. It’s a good life lesson. If you can’t improve your weaknesses, just make your strengths even stronger.

Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 28.3 – 6 for 9 with 3 homers in his last 3 games. He now has a 97.8 MPH EV and a 1.361 OPS on the season. I ranked Buxton 32nd overall on my off-season Top 1,000 because I thought the injury risk was deflating his league winning upside too much. I’ll take a quick victory lap for Buxton while he’s still healthy, and also because if Buxton took the victory lap, he’d probably pull a hammy and be out for the year.

Connor Joe COL, 1B/OF, 29.7 – Continues to put in Yeoman’s work, going 1 for 4 with a double and a 0/1 K/BB. Joe has just been quietly performing like a near elite hitter with a career .370 xwOBA in 264 AB. He has a .406 xwOBA this year with a career best 17.3% whiff%, which backs up his excellent 18.6%/11.9% K%/BB%. He jumped all the way up to #183 on my Updated April 2022 Top 414 Dynasty Baseball Rankings over on Patreon. Don’t sleep on him. He looks like the next legit late career breakout.

Cody Bellinger LAD, OF/1B, 26.9 – I kept the faith on Bellinger, ranking him 63rd overall this off-season, and he has rewarded that faith, dropping two bombs yesterday to bring his season OPS up to .915. I would still be a tad cautious to consider him back to being elite because of a 33.3% K%, but it seems pretty safe to say he didn’t all of a sudden turn into a horrible ballplayer. It was just a rough couple years because of poor luck and injury.

Ty France SEA, 1B/2B, 27.9 – 3 for 5 with his 5th homer, and now has a 1.116 OPS on the year. He has a career best 10.5% K% and 89.6 MPH EV. Always gotta balance out all the back patting with one I got wrong, and while it’s not like I was super low on France, ranking him 163rd overall this off-season, I’ve been generally low on France his entire career. It was a mistake.

Corbin Carroll ARI, OF, 21.7 – Carroll’s ascent to truly elite prospect status was basically a foregone conclusion, and he’s fulfilling that promise with his 3rd homer on an electric swing down in the zone. He has a 192 wRC+ with 5 steals in 13 games at Double-A. I don’t care if you are in win now mode, do not trade this man unless you are getting back a near elite hitter back in return.

Michael Harris ATL, OF, 21.1 – Absolutely destroyed his first homer of the year at Double-A. and while he hasn’t hit many homers in his career, watching that one shows the kind of potential he has. All of the skills have basically transferred to Double-A with a .317 BA and 6 steals. Unlocking more of his plus raw power is the last step.

Masyn Winn STL, SS/RHP, 20.0 – St. Louis dropped the pitching thing and decided to have Winn focus solely on hitting. So far, so good as Winn unloaded for his first homer of the year to bring his season wRC+ up to 210 in 10 games at High-A on the back of a 15.6%/11.1% K%/BB%. He has 4 steals with a 38.7% GB% and plus raw power. Now could be the time to buy in before his value explodes.

Zack Collins TOR, C, 27.2 – Collins is stealing Alejandro Kirk’s presumed breakout, going 2 for 5 with his 3rd homer. He now has a .960 OPS on the season with a 94.9 MPH EV. but a 32.4%/2.9% K%/BB% and long term playing time concerns still makes me hesitant to buy in.

Jeremy Pena HOU, SS, 24.5 – Ripped a 425 foot walk off dinger off Jordan Romano for his 3rd of the year. He’s smashing the ball with a 90.6 MPH EV and has respectable contact rates with a 25.7% whiff%. He jumped to #158 on the Updated Dynasty Rankings.

Shane McClanahan TBR, LHP, 24.11 – 7 IP, 6 hits, 2 ER, 7/0 K/BB vs. Boston. Fastball sat 96.6 MPH and put up a 40% whiff% overall. His curve, slider, and changeup now have a 45.9%, 47.4%, and 57.1% whiff% on the season. He’s quickly cementing himself as an ace.

Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 24.2 – 5.2 IP, 5 hits, 1 ER, and a 7/0 K/BB vs. St. Louis. All of his skills are translating to the MLB level with a strong 86.1 MPH EV against, 7 degree launch angle, and a 27.5%/7.2% K%/BB%. If you can buy low off the 5.52 ERA, I would do so.

Randal Grichuk COL, OF, 30.8 – Grichuk got off the schneid with his first homer on a 414 foot, 108.7 MPH bomb. He went 3 for 4 on the day which brings his BA up to .404 on the back of a 14.3% K%. The power has been lacking to this point with an 86.9 MPH EV and negative 2.1 degree launch angle, but those numbers are so out of character for his career that they will almost certainly regress closer to career averages.

Austin Riley ATL, 3B, 25.0 – 3 for 5 with 2 doubles and a homer. Riley is backing up the 2021 breakout with a 93.4 MPH EV and .452 xwOBA. Don’t trade him unless you are getting an elite piece back.

Jo Adell LAA, OF, 23.0 – Cracked an opposite field grand slam for his 3rd of the year, and more importantly, didn’t strikeout once, which is the first game this season he hasn’t recorded a strikeout. He has a 21.4% Barrel% and 40.7% whiff% on the season.

Tylor Megill NYM, RHP, 26.8 – 6.2 IP, 5 hits, 2 ER, 7/1 K/BB vs. Arizona. He hasn’t been able to fully maintain his early season velocity uptick, but settling in at 95+ MPH, which is where he’s at now would be perfect. His slider has been silly untouchable with a .135 xwOBA and 50% whiff%. I’m fully buying in, ranking him 97th overall on the Updated Dynasty Rankings.

Eric Lauer MIL, LHP, 26.10 – 6 IP, 5 hits, 0 ER, 13/1 K/BB. Lauer is going full breakout with his fastball up 1.2 MPH to 93.8 MPH. He has a 34.6% K% on the year, although with a 26.5% whiff%, he’s unlikely to be able to come close to keeping that up. He was a favorite of mine in his First Year Player Draft class, and of course I no longer own him anywhere. I do own Kyle Wright in a couple leagues, who I didn’t like in his draft year. Just the nature of the pitching prospect beast.

Nolan Gorman STL, 3B/2B, 21.11/Elly De La Cruz CIN, SS/3B, 20.3 – It’s the strikeout and power hour of the dynasty rundown, as Gorman and Cruz both ripped another homer with 2 more K’s. That makes it 8 homers with a 32.3%/6.5% K%/BB% in 15 games at Triple-A for Gorman, and 3 homers with a 37.5%/6.3% K%/BB% in 12 games at High-A for Cruz. Gorman’s 2021 strikeout improvement has completely disappeared, and Cruz’ strikeout issues have gotten worse this year too.

Shea Langeliers OAK, C, 24.5 – Backing up his 2021 power breakout with his 5th homer in 15 games at Triple-A, and he’s doing it with a much improved 19% K%. He’s blocked by Sean Murphy, but there were rumors Murphy could be traded over the off-season, so he could be dealt before the deadline which would open up the full time job for Langeliers.

Jhonkensy Noel CLE, 1B/3B, 20.9 – Noel tore apart High-A last year with 8 homers in 26 games, and he’s back at it this year after going deep twice yesterday for his 3rd and 4th of the year. More important than the power, he has an excellent 23.4%/14.9% K%/BB% in 12 games.

Marco Luciano SFG, SS, 20.6 – Bouncing back from last year’s horrible showing at High-A with his 3rd homer in 12 games to bring his season OPS up to .981. The plate approach isn’t great with a 24.5%/8.2% K%/BB%, but it’s much better than last year’s 37.2%/6.9% mark.

Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 20.4 – Martinez’ plate approach, or lack thereof, is getting exposed at Double-A with a 33.9%/1.8% K%/BB%, but nothing can stop his power as he jacked his 6th homer of the year yesterday.

Brady House WAS, SS, 18.10 – Housed his 2nd homer of the year to bring his season wRC+ up to 171 in 15 games at Single-A. The plate approach has been strong at 22.1%/9.1%, but the GB% is a bit high at 50%. Keep in mind this dude is still just 18 years old.

Oneil Cruz PIT, SS, 23.6 – Smoked his first homer of the year, and when I say smoked, I really mean smoked. He’s struggled a bit to start the year with a 74 wRC+ and 31.1% K% at Triple-A, but all that really means is that Pittsburgh can continue to manipulate his service time without getting major blowback.

Andy Pages LAD, OF, 21.4/Michael Busch LAD, 2B, 24.4 – LA’s power and patience duo got back to work yesterday at Double-A. Pages hit his 2nd homer, and it comes with an excellent 20.3%/13% K%/BB% in 15 games. Busch got ahold of his 7th homer, and his comes with a 23.9%/21.1% K%/BB% in 15 games. Finding playing time in LA’s stacked lineup could be their biggest issue.

Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 19.2 – Dominguez went 2 for 4 with his 1st homer of the year, but he needs to do a lot more than that to dig himself out of the hole he’s in. He has a 37.3%/1.7% K%/BB% with a 67 wRC+ in 13 games at Single-A. He doesn’t really have the young for the level excuse anymore. His stock is dropping hard.

Max Meyer MIA, RHP, 22.11/Roansy Contreras PIT, RHP, 22.5 – Meyer – 5 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 7/2 K/BB. Contreras – 3.1 IP, 3 hits, 1 ER, 5/1 K/BB. Both are pushing hard for a rotation spot and could immediately be impact MLB starters when they do get the chance. I have them in a tier of elite pitching prospects with Daniel Espino and Jack Leiter.

Cade Cavalli WAS, RHP, 23.8 – 4 IP, 3 hits, 4 ER, 2/1 K/BB at Triple-A. I got slightly worried about Cavalli after MLB hitters ripped him apart in Spring, and he’s carried over those struggles into Triple-A with a 9.00 ERA and 12/4 K/BB in 12 IP. He also struggled hard at Triple-A last year. I’m far from panicking, but if I was in win now mode, I might be willing to use him as a centerpiece of a trade after he strings a few good starts together.

Moises Gomez STL, OF, 23.8 – 2 for 5 with his 9th homer. Gomez is ranked 2nd among all of the qualified minor league hitters with a 269 wRC+ at Double-A. He’s always had big power with low groundball rates, and it’s not like he is a completely out of nowhere prospect as he ranked 237th on my 2019 Top 472 Prospects Rankings. If he can keep his strikeouts in check (22.4% in 2022 vs. 38.2% in 2021), and considering St. Louis is an expert in developing these kind of hitters, he could really put himself back on the map.

Connor Scott PIT, OF, 22.6 – 2 for 3 with 2 steals. Ranked #407 on my 2022 Top 500 Prospects Rankings, Scott is off to a strong start at Double-A, slashing .400/.489/.600 with 1 homer, 3 steals, and a 17%/12.8% K%/BB% in 11 games. He’s a former 13th overall pick in the draft and has the athleticism to back that up at 6’3”, 200 pounds. He always had a solid plate approach throughout his MiLB career. He hasn’t had that wow year yet, but he’s just steadily climbing the ladder with a nice combo of safety and upside.

Adael Amador COL, SS, 19.2 – 1 for 3 with a steal. The plus plate approach is transferring to full season ball with a 12.3%/18.5% K%/BB%. It’s led to a 151 wRC+ in 14 games at Single-A. He also has 2 homers and 3 steals, but with a 56.8% GB% and 13 for 20 success rate on the bases in his career, not sure there is a big power/speed combo at the moment.

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By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on April 11, 2022April 11, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/11/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/11/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR A TON MORE OF THESE DYNASTY RUNDOWNS ALL SEASON, PLUS MONTHLY DYNASTY AND PROSPECTS RANKINGS UPDATES

Heliot Ramos SFG, OF, 22.6 – Ramos made his MLB debut and immediately put up some grown man exit velocities on a 2 for 3 day. He ripped 2 singles at 107.4 MPH and 100.1 MPH. I don’t know if he can carve out a full time role or stick in the majors long term, but if he keeps hitting he’ll give them no choice but to play him.

Francisco Lindor NYM, SS, 28.4 – The Francisco Lindor comeback tour is coming to a town near you as Lindor stole a bag and homered for his first of the year. He now has a 1.054 OPS in his first 4 games. I was about to crack a joke about the homer being against Erick Fedde, but Fedde actually pitched pretty well otherwise (5 IP, 5 hits, 2 ER, 5/2 K/BB).

Hunter Greene CIN, RHP, 22.8 – Greene made his MLB debut and went 5 IP with 4 hits, 3 ER, and a 7/2 K/BB vs a very tough Atlanta lineup. His fastball averaged 99.7 MPH with a 32% whiff%, his slider put up a 45% whiff%, and he used his changeup as a legitimate third pitch with a 14% usage rate. This start only gets me more excited.

Wander Franco TBR, SS, 21.1 – Franco collected 3 more hits in 4 AB and is now 6 for 11 on the season, but more importantly, he snagged his first bag. He was already elite without projecting a ton of steals, so if he starts really running, hang on to your hats.

Andrew Vaughn CHW, 1B, 24.0 – Vaughn is cooking with his 2nd dinger of the year and he tacked on a 98.6 MPH single. I think some people were forgetting about how good this guy is.

Maddux Bruns LAD, LHP, 19.10 – 2 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 4/0 K/BB at Single-A. LA took the high risk, high reward Bruns in the late 1st round with the thought they could fix his control problems, and while it’s only 2 innings, looking good so far. He has a mid 90’s fastball and looked like he was throwing both a big loopy curve and a harder slider. Everything was working. If you are in a league where you have to jump on guys really fast, this is a high upside prospect who could fly up lists if the control gains hold.

Bryan Ramos CHW, 3B/2B, 20.1 – Well lookie lookie here, Ramos did it again, this time with an absolute tank out to left center for his 2nd of the year at High-A. He was one of my players to target in my Hitter Targets Part 1 article in February on Patreon. Get in now if you still can.

Seiya Suzuki CHC, OF, 27.7 – I’ve done more than my fair share of patting myself on the back during week 1, but this is one I wish I could have back. I wasn’t low on Suzuki, but I wasn’t high either, and that is looking like a mistake in the early going. He got ahold of his first dinger, and it was no cheapie either, decimating it at 110.9 MPH. He has a 1.288 OPS on the year.

Rowdy Tellez MIL, 1B, 27.0 – Rowdy Rowdy Tellez is starting to bud that breakout that the underlying numbers easily predicted would happen. He drilled a 107.7 MPH, 424 foot homer for his first of the year. He has a 1.357 OPS in the early going.

Michael Kopech CHW, RHP, 25.11 – 4 IP, 2 hits, 1 ER, 3/2 K/BB. His fastball sat 95.3 MPH, and while this would be a fine place to sit as a starter, there could be more in the tank as he rounds into mid season form. His secondaries lost some spin and MPH too, but they were relatively effective. Kopech didn’t wow, but considering his delayed start to spring and quick ramp up, this wasn’t too bad.

Julio Urias LAD, LHP, 25.8 – 2 IP, 6 hits, 6 ER, 0/2 K/BB. It was a total disaster for Urias with his velocity down 2.7 MPH to 91.4 MPH. All of his pitches got hit up, resulting in a 95.6 MPH EV against. Let’s hope his stuff comes back with time, but there is no getting around it, this was bad.

Art Warren CIN, Closer (for now), 29.1 – Warren nailed down his first save of the year with his 97.6 MPH fastball and plus slider. Lucas Sims should be back soon, and while I was targeting Sims all off-season, it could get hairy if Warren keeps pitching well. They very well might continue to ride the hot hand here.

Jeremy Pena HOU, SS, 24.5 – Pena keeps rolling with a 3 for 5 day, highlighted by a 98.9 MPH double. He’s struck out a bit with 5 K’s in 16 AB, but seeing him hit the ball this hard is more encouraging.

Joshua Mears SDP, OF, 21.1 – Mears went 4 for 8 with 2 homers and 4 K’s in a doubleheader. Homers and strikeouts are Mears’ bread and butter. My bread and butter … are bread and butter.

Aeverson Arteaga SFG, SS, 19.1 – Arteaga has struggled in his full season debut with 8 K’s in 11 AB, but he got off the schneid yesterday with his first homer of the year. Considering the high strikeout rate from last year, all the K’s aren’t great.

Kahlil Watson MIA, SS, 18.11 – Make it two straight for Watson, and he completely obliterated this one for his 2nd of the year. He was then pulled from the game after 2 AB for slamming his bat on the ground after grounding out. How dare you show any emotion. If you don’t play the game like an emotionless robot, you sit. It’s 1950’s rules in baseball.

Ryne Nelson ARI, RHP, 24.2 – 5 IP, 4 hits, 1 ER, 7/0 K/BB. The velocity is still way down at 91.9 MPH, but he continues to be effective in spite of that. Even with the great results, I’m not sure I can just ignore the stuff being down. I’m definitely getting a bit concerned.

Steven Kwan CLE, OF, 24.7 – 5 for 5 and is now 8 for 10 on the year with a 0/3 K/BB in the majors. He doesn’t have big power, and he’s not super fast either with a 27.4 ft/sec sprint speed, so while I don’t think he is going to be a fantasy monster, the contact skills are most certainly translating to the majors.

Hudson Haskin BAL, OF, 23.3 – Once, twice, three times a dinger as Haskin pulled the hat trick and went deep 3 times at Double-A. He’s now 7 for 12 on the year. After hitting only 5 homers in 83 games last year, the power surge is great to see.

Nolan Gorman STL, 3B/2B, 21.11 – Gorman came up one short of the hat trick at Triple-A, knocking two homers out, one vs. a lefty and one vs. a righty. He’s struck out 8 times in 17 AB, which has been a problem for him in the past, so hopefully that number comes down.

Jordan Walker STL, 3B, 19.10 – St. Louis pushed Walker to Double-A, and he’s responded by drilling his first homer of the year on a 109 MPH bullet. Almost more importantly, he has a 1/3 K/BB in 11 AB. Arrow continues to point way up.

Elehuris Montero COL, 1B/OF, 23.7 – Montero tore up Triple-A last year, and he’s back at it this year, crushing his 2nd homer in 22 AB. Can’t wait for Colorado to give him full time at bats when he’s 29 years old.

Robert Hassell SDP, OF, 20.7 – Hassell went the opposite way for his first homer of the year at High-A. He’s now 5 for 11 with 2 steals and a 2/2 K/BB. He can be a top 5 prospect by this time next year.

MJ Melendez KCR, C, 23.4/Shea Langeliers ATL, C, 24.5 – Both of these blocked power hitting catchers hit bombs. It was Langeliers’ 3rd and Melendez’ 1st. They’ll crack the majors at some point, but it might not be in a full time role.

Cole Henry WASH, RHP, 22.9 – 3 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, 5/1 K/BB at Double-A. The fastball sat in the mid 90’s, his control was strong, and the secondaries were getting whiffs. He’s an exciting pitching prospect who doesn’t get the hype he deserves.

Ty Madden DET, RHP, 22.1 – Madden didn’t want to be outdone by his fellow 2021 1st round pitchers who had strong starts on Saturday, so he went out on Sunday and went 4 IP with 1 hit, 1 ER, and a 6/1 K/BB at High-A. His fastball reached 99 MPH. This year’s entire rookie class has been dominating on every level.

Alex Binelas BOS, 3B, 21.10 – Speaking of the 2021 rookie class, Binelas cracked a monster opposite field homer as he continued his assault on High-A pitching. He’s 5 for 11 with 2 steals and a 3/2 K/BB in 3 games. The power isn’t in question, so the plate approach is what to watch.

Jhailyn Ortiz PHI, OF, 23.5/Rece Hinds CIN, 3B, 21.7 – Two large humans did what large humans tend to do on a baseball field, and that is hit for power as both Ortiz and Hinds hit their first homer of the year. Ortiz’ homer came at Double-A, and Hinds’ came at High-A.

Cody Bellinger LAD, OF/1B, 26.9 – 2 for 3 with a 1/1 K/BB. We have a pulse.

Jo Adell LAA, OF, 23.0 – 0 for 9 with 7/0 K/BB on the season. No pulse.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR A TON MORE OF THESE DYNASTY RUNDOWNS ALL SEASON, PLUS MONTHLY DYNASTY AND PROSPECTS RANKINGS UPDATES

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on April 4, 2022April 5, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/4/22)

The regular season is right around the corner, but there are still jobs to be won and last minute fantasy drafts to prepare for. I’ll be running down the action all spring and all season long on my Patreon (free posts on my site are usually on Monday’s). Here is the Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/4/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT, INCLUDING:
-OBP TOP 600 2022 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-POINTS/6+ CATS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 600 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-ALL-IN-ONE SPREADSHEET WITH ALL THE RANKINGS
-POSITION BY POSITION TARGET ARTICLES
–TOP 100 2022 REDRAFT PROSPECTS RANKINGS
–PREDICTING THE 2023 TOP 50 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS
–STRATEGY/TARGET ARTICLES FOR SHALLOW AND DEEP LEAGUES
–ANALYZING MY 18 TEAM FYPD W/ GENERAL STRATEGY THOUGHTS
-DYNASTY RUNDOWNS AND UPDATED RANKINGS ALL SEASON LONG

Spencer Torkelson DET, 3B/1B, 22.7 – The baseball gods work in mysterious ways, as they tooketh Riley Greene from us for the next 2 months with a broken foot, but they gaveth us Spencer Torkelson as it was announced he will crack the Opening Day roster. Tork celebrated by taking Aaron Nola deep off a well placed pitch on the inside corner. It was the only hit Nola gave up in 5.1 IP. This guy can rake off anybody.

Jeremy Pena HOU, SS, 24.5 – Who needs Carlos Correa when you have Jeremy motherloving Pena?!?! Pena went deep twice yesterday off Josiah Gray for his first 2 homers of the spring, and now has a 1.199 OPS with a 4/1 K/BB in 19 PA. I ranked him 250th overall in my Top 1,000 Dynasty Rankings, and while I’m not expecting him to light the world on fire in his rookie year, he can be a solid across the board contributor.

Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 28.3 – Buxton’s hot spring continued as he went 2 for 3 with 2 doubles, and now has a 1.485 OPS in 33 PA. The doubles were ripped at 114.2 MPH and 109.2 MPH. The power gains he’s made over the past few seasons are very real, so now we just gotta hold our breath for good health … or on second thought, breathing is quite important for health, so maybe we should be focusing on our breath for good health.

Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 21.3 – Rodriguez refuses to let Seattle send him down without making them look like cheap idiots, going 3 for 4 with this screaming liner of a dinger to right centerfield. He’s now slashing .419/.471/.839 with 3 homers, 3 steals, and a 9/3 K/BB in 34 PA. Please don’t rob baseball fans of seeing this man play on the highest level.

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 22.8 – Kelenic is so yesterday’s news, collecting dust in the corner while everyone plays with the new shiny toy, but he did his best to not be forgotten by ripping a homer off a lefty to deep centerfield. He’s struggled this spring with a .648 OPS, but I still think the breakout is coming this season.

Akil Baddoo DET, OF, 23.7 – Baddoo done did it again, taking a lefty deep to the opposite field. He was just getting started in 2021.

Noah Syndergaard LAA, RHP, 29.7 – On the surface it looks like Thor might have gotten his hammer back, going 5 IP with 2 hits, 1 ER, and a 7/1 K/BB against most of the Dodgers real starting lineup. It’s not as pretty looking at the underlying stats though with his stuff down about 3 MPH on all of his pitches, and his slider and curve didn’t illicit a single swing and miss. It’s nice to see he can be effective with the diminished stuff, and I’m sure it will tick up over time, but I’m hesitant to buy in.

Mitch Keller PIT, RHP, 26.0 – 3.2 IP, 8 hits, 4 ER, 5/2 K/BB. The juiced up stuff was still there with a 96.4 MPH heater, and he put up a respectable 26% whiff% and 88.2 MPH EV against, so the underlying numbers look better than the surface stats. I definitely gave Keller a bump after seeing his stuff tick up, but I’m still not exactly going out of my way to get him.

Drew Rasmussen TBR, RHP, 26.8 – Rasmussen doesn’t get the respect he deserves, but that might not last long if his final spring start is any indication, going 3.1 IP with 5 hits, 1 ER, and a 6/0 K/BB. His fastball sat 97.1 MPH and he put up a 30% whiff% overall. He’s not likely to go deep into games, so ding him a bit in QS leagues, but in wins leagues I would be all over him.

Wander Franco TBR, SS, 21.1 – 3 for 3 with 3 doubles. Nice to see him rounding into form with Opening Day around the corner.

Keibert Ruiz WAS, C, 23.8 – Ruiz did what he does best, which is get the bat on the ball, going 4 for 5 with 0 K’s, including his first spring homer. He’s not going to be a huge power threat early in his career, but a catcher that can actually help you in batting average ain’t too shabby.

Josiah Gray WAS, RHP, 24.3 – 4.2 IP, 7 hits, 5 ER, 6/1 K/BB. The K/BB numbers have been strong all spring with a 13/1 K/BB, but he’s getting hit up when guys do make contact with a 9.31 ERA in 9.2 IP. He’s going to need to improve his command to take the next step.

Sonny Gray MIN, RHP, 32.5 – Gray made his spring debut and went 4 perfect innings with 6 K’s. His velocity was down about 2 MPH on his 4 most used pitches, but at this point you have to assume he is easing himself into things, and considering the 43% whiff%, this start was certainly more of a positive than a negative.

Casey Mize DET, RHP, 24.11 – Mize wasn’t able to keep up the whiff gains he’s shown earlier this spring, going 4.1 IP with 7 hits, 3 ER, and a 1/0 K/BB. It’s only one start, but it would have been nice to see him head into the season on a high note.

Clarke Schmidt NYY, RHP, 26.1 – Schmidt went against Toronto’s vaunted real starting lineup and pitched pretty damn well again, going 4.1 IP with 2 hits, 2 ER, and a 5/1 K/BB. His sinker sat 94.3 MPH and he put up a 38% whiff% overall. He’s becoming one of the more interesting 6th starters if you are looking for pitching in deeper leagues.

Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 24.2 – 4 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 3/1 K/BB. Whiff machine Nick Lodolo just keeps missing bats, racking up whiffs with a 31% whiff%. He’s fighting for the last rotation spot, and I’m not sure this start really moved the needle in either direction.

Sean Murphy OAK, C, 27.6 – Murphy has been red hot this spring, and he absolutely decimated a Dinelson Lamet fastball that legitimately landed in the parking lot. He’s now slashing .520/.567/1.000 with 2 homers and a 3/4 K/BB in 30 PA. I loved him as a breakout in 2021, and while I cooled on him a bit this year after it didn’t happen, I’m still relatively high on him.

Ezequiel Duran TEX, 2B/SS, 22.10 – Watching Duran’s swing just gets me excited every time, and he used that explosive swing to jack out his 2nd spring homer. He now has a 1.345 OPS in 14 PA. If he can keep his strikeouts in check, he’s going to explode this year in the upper levels of the minors.

Alexander Canario CHC, OF, 21.11 – The 21 year old Canario already looks the part, smashing his 2nd spring homer out to left center. I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say his listed weight of 165 pounds is a tad light.

MacKenzie Gore SDP, LHP, 23.1/Sean Manaea SDP, LHP, 29.2 – The Manaea trade takes Gore out of the running for the opening day roster, although it was already a long shot that he was going to make anyway. Manaea was solid in his debut, going 3.2 IP with 6 hits, 1 ER, and a 4/1 K/BB. Gore closed out the game, going 3 IP with 4 hits, 4 ER, and a 5/2 K/BB. He’s better off at Triple-A anyway as he isn’t a finished product yet.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on March 19, 2022March 19, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown (3/19/22)

Damn it feels good to have pro ball back. I’ll be running down the action all spring and all season on my Patreon (free posts on my site are usually on Monday’s). Here is the Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown (3/19/22):

Akil Baddoo DET, OF, 23.7 – Baddoo is gonna Doo Bad things to MLB pitching this year, and he got off to a strong start this spring by smashing a 405 foot, 107.5 MPH dinger off Cam Bedrosian. I named him one of my Hitters to Target (Patreon) because I thought the power was going to tick up. So far, so good.

Riley Greene DET, OF, 21.6 – Greene crushed the hardest hit ball of the game with a 109.8 MPH moonshot that was launched 47 degrees in the air. Detroit’s manager claims they aren’t going to play team control games with Greene and Tork, so if they perform well this spring, we’ll see if he was just blowing smoke or not.

Nick Pratto KCR, 1B, 23.6 – Pratto went to deep to centerfield off Jack Leiter for his first spring homer, and finished the day 2 for 2 with a walk and 0 K”s. If he can improve his strikeout rate, watch out, because the power is so sincere. I ranked Pratto 9th on my Top 100 Redraft Prospects Rankings (Patreon), and think he is one of the best values in redraft leagues.

Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 21.3 – Rodriguez hit the shot heard round the world, decimating a 117 MPH pull side homer. If you didn’t know yet, he is going be prettttty, prettty, pretttty good. I don’t care if you are a win now team, don’t trade this man.

Jack Leiter TEX, RHP, 21.11 – Speaking of Leiter, he got lit up, pitching 1.2 IP with 2 hits, 3 ER and a 4/2 K/BB. His fastball was up into the upper 90’s and the K numbers looked good, so I obviously wouldn’t panic.

Bobby Witt Jr. KC, SS, 21.9 – Witt went 2 for 2 with a double and no strikeouts. We already know he can dominate spring pitching, but it’s still important he does it in order to force KC’s hand to start him on Opening Day.

Justin Verlander HOU, RHP, 39.1 – Verlander has been one of the best targets for win now teams this off-season, and that value could disappear after proving the stuff was back yesterday. His fastball averaged 95.9 MPH and the spin on his curve and slider were back to normal. He went 2 IP with 0 hits, 0 earned and a 2/1 K/BB.

Matthew Liberatore STL, LHP, 22.5 – Liberatore knows how to pitch, but his strikeout numbers didn’t pop in 2021 and he didn’t have overpowering stuff. His first appearance in 2022 shows there could be improvement coming, averaging 94.5 MPH with his fastball and putting up a 44% whiff%. He went 2 IP with 2 hits, 1 ER, and a 3/0 K/BB. Arrow is pointing up early.

Bobby Dalbec BOS, 1B, 26.9 – For the 2nd game in a row, Dalbec ripped a homer and struck out once in 2 AB. He needs to improve his K% if he wants to lock down that starting job long term. Although if he keeps hitting homers every game I guess it’s easy to overlook that.

Drew Waters ATL, OF, 23.3 – Waters will try to regain his value this year after a rough 2021, and he got on the board early with an absolute shot to left center that hit that perfect sweet spot on the bat which results in one of my favorite sounds in the world.

Bryce Elder ATL, RHP, 22.10 – Elder clocked in at #899 on my Top 1,000 Rankings (updated rankings will be released for free sometime next week) because of his ability to be a solid, if unspectacular starter. He showed those skills yesterday, going 3 IP with 0 hits, 0 ER, and a 2/0 K/BB.

Hayden Wesneski NYY, RHP, 24.4 – Wesneski looked absolutely filthy in his spring debut with a 95.6 MPH fastball that put up a 38% whiff%. His curve (best secondary) put up a 40% whiff%, his change put up a 50% whiff%, and he threw one slider which had twitter’s head exploding. He went 3 IP with 2 hits, 1 ER, and a 4/1 K/BB.

Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 24.2 – Lodolo was straight filthy, going 2 perfect innings with 4 K’s. He’s going to be a strikeout machine no matter what level he pitches at.

Brandon Williamson CIN, LHP, 24.0 – The newest Red made his debut, going 1.2 IP with 3 hits, 1 ER and a 2/2 K/BB. I have him more as a mid to back end guy, especially in Cincy’s hitter’s park.

Jorge Alfaro SDP, C, 28.10 – There is a catcher competition in San Diego which likely will last into the season, and Alfaro put himself on the map first with a walk off 3 run homer. Nola and Campusano both went 0 for 2.

MacKenzie Gore SDP, LHP, 23.1 – There were already reports that Gore was consistently hitting the upper 90’s, but his control was the biggest thing in need of improvement. He proved the velocity gains were legit yesterday, and the control was on point too, going 2 perfect innings with 2 strikeouts. He clocked in at 86th overall on my Top 500 Prospects Rankings and the arrow continues to point back up.

Jo Adell LAA, OF, 23.0 – In 2020, Adell hit the ball really hard, but struck out a ton. In 2021, he brought his K% way down, but his EV plummeted. This is the year to put it all together, and so far, so good as Adell blasted a dinger off Brent Honeywell on a 2 for 3 day with 0 K’s. This could be the beginning of the breakout. Don’t give up on him.

Brent Honeywell OAK, RHP, 27.0 – We all want the Honeywell resurrection, but that hope isn’t off to a great start as he went 2.1 IP with 7 hits, 3 ER, and a 1/0 K/BB. Oakland has plenty of rotation spots up for grabs, but this doesn’t help his case to win one out of camp.

Ryne Nelson ARI, RHP, 24.2 – 4 IP, 3 hits, 1 ER, 2/0 K/BB. Nelson is known for is at least plus, mid 90’s fastball but it was non existent yesterday as the pitch averaged a measly 92.4 MPH. He put up an underwhelming 22% whiff% overall on the day. I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt that he is slowing ramping up, and he pitched well despite the velocity, but it’s something to watch at least.

Sandy Alcantara MIA, RHP, 26.7 – There is a split in the fantasy baseball world on Alcantara’s strikeout potential this year, and score one for the pessimists as he went 3 perfect innings with only 1 K. He’s going to be an excellent pitcher no matter what, but the question is just how good. Long way to go before drawing any conclusions.

Jazz Chisholm MIA, SS, 24.2 – Chisholm went 1 for 3 with a homer that he needed to bend down to almost dig it out of the dirt. He’s about to ascend to star status this year.

Clint Frazier CHC, OF, 27.7 – 1 for 1 with 2 walks and 0 K’s. Great to see Frazier shake off his concussion plagued 2021 to get off to a great start this spring. He’s going to need a strong showing to lock down the DH job, and my money is on him winning it.

Paul DeJong STL, SS, 28.8/Lars Nootbaar STL, OF, 24.7 – DeJong got the start at SS and Nootbaar got the start at DH. They are certainly in competition for these jobs, but this could indicate they are the favorites.

Keston Hiura MIL, 1B, 25.8 – 0 for 2 with a K. New swing, same results (so far)

Marco Luciano SFG, SS, 20.6 – 0 for 2 with a K. Here we go again

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT, INCLUDING:
-OBP TOP 600 2022 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-POINTS/6+ CATS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 600 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP 1,000 2022 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS (5×5 AVG-these will be the only dynasty rankings released for free)
-ALL-IN-ONE SPREADSHEET WITH ALL THE RANKINGS
-POSITION BY POSITION TARGET ARTICLES
–TOP 100 2022 REDRAFT PROSPECTS RANKINGS
–PREDICTING THE 2023 TOP 50 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS
–STRATEGY/TARGET ARTICLES FOR SHALLOW AND DEEP LEAGUES
–ANALYZING MY 18 TEAM FYPD W/ GENERAL STRATEGY THOUGHTS

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on September 27, 2021March 15, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (9/27/21)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (9/27/21):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF CONTENT THE REST OF THE SEASON AND ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-Top 466 September 2021 Dynasty Baseball Rankings
-Top 322 September 2021 Dynasty Prospects Rankings
-2021/22 Top 50 First Year Player Draft Dynasty Baseball Rankings
-Tons of Dynasty Rundowns
-Off-season content: Team Prospect Lists, Positional Dynasty Rankings, and early access to the Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings

Paul Goldschmidt STL, 1B, 34.0 – On July 1st, I named Goldy one of my 10 Dynasty Baseball Players to Target on my Patreon, concluding the blurb by writing, “There is potential for him to have an absolutely monster 2nd half, and considering his age, he should come at a very reasonable price.” I can now humbly say, I fucking nailed that one. Goldy homered again yesterday, and is now slashing .338/.412/.624 with 20 homers, 7 steals, and a 62/37 K/BB in 74 games since making that recommendation. I know many of my Patrons took me up on that advice, and I couldn’t be more pumped for them.

Shane Baz TB, RHP, 22.3 – Baz rose to 8th overall on my End of Season Top 322 Dynasty Prospects Rankings, and he then went out and obliterated Miami, going 5.2 IP with 3 hits, 0 earned, and a 9/1 K/BB. His fastball sat 96.2 MPH and all 4 of his pitches were getting whiffs with a 39% whiff% overall. He’s a budding ace.

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 22.1 – 2 for 4 with a 104.5 MPH homer off Shohei Ohtani. Kelenic has 6 homers, 2 steals, and a .926 OPS over his last 19 games. I’m keeping the faith, ranking him 40th on my September Dynasty Rankings. His .303 xwOBA is not that far off from the MLB average, which ain’t too shabby for a 21/22 year old getting his first taste of the bigs.

MJ Melendez KC, C, 22.11 – Melendez is running through the finish line as he blasted 2 more dingers yesterday for his 40th and 41st of the season. They must be feeding the catchers in KC something different because Salvador Perez broke the record for most home runs by a catcher with 46. Melendez is certainly a target this off-season because I’m still not sure the hype matches his potential production. Perez I’m staying away from because buying a 31 year old catcher coming off a record breaking career year seems foolish.

Spencer Torkelson DET, 3B/1B, 22.1 – After Witt and Julio, the battle for the #3 overall dynasty prospect is up for a grabs, and I have Tork leading the way of that 2nd tier. He drilled his 10th homer in 35 games at Triple-A, and his K% has actually been slightly better than it was at Double-A with a 21.3% K%.

Oneil Cruz PIT, SS, 22.10 – Cruz has been a man possessed in his 4 game Triple-A cup of coffee, going 6 for 14 with 3 homers, 1 steal, and a 5/5 K/BB. It is just a continuation of what he was doing at Double-A as he has a 1.181 OPS over his last 15 games. At 6’7”, there might always be some strikeouts to his game, but the power/speed combo has the potential to be scary.

Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 27.9 – Buxton smashed a 100.8 MPH dinger off Alek Manoah as he has officially shook the rust off since returning from a fractured hand, slashing .273/.341/.584 with 6 homers, 2 steals, and a 21/6 K/BB in his last 20 games. I can’t quit Buxton, ranking him 55th overall in my September Top 466 Dynasty Baseball Rankings, and while I know the injury risk is off the charts, I have faith the injury gods will smile down on him one of these years, and it will be glorious.

Alek Manoah TOR, RHP, 23.7 – Speaking of Manoah, he pitched well yet again, going 5.2 IP with 6 hits, 2 ER, and a 8/2 K/BB. His slider was insanely filthy with a 77% whiff% on the pitch.

Nick Pratto KC, 1B, 23.1 – Pratto closed out his resurrection season by smashing his 34th homer. It seems like everyone in KC’s farm system has gone bonkos this year, setting them up quite nicely for the next 6+ years before they can’t afford to resign any of them.

Oswaldo Cabrera NYY, SS/2B/3B, 22.6 – Cabrera is the forgotten child with Volpe and Peraza overshadowing him, but he dropped a 20/20 season (27 homers and 21 steals) this year in the upper minors. He went out in style with this bomb at Triple-A. The swing looks mighty sweet from the left side, but his righty swing hasn’t been as effective with a .608 OPS vs. lefties at Double-A.

Cody Morris CLE, RHP, 24.10 – 4.2 IP, 2 hits, 1 ER, 7/2 K/BB at Triple-A. Morris has been nothing short of phenomenal this year with a 1.62 ERA and 93/20 K/BB in 61 IP. He’s not young, and shoulder soreness delayed the start of his season until July, so there are some red flags, but Cleveland looks to have made themselves another under the radar gem.

Vidal Brujan TB, 2B, 23.8 – The power may have disappeared after his early season binge, but his bread and butter, speed, kept chugging as Brujan nabbed his 43rd steal yesterday in 49 attempts over 99 games. He’s still right on a schedule for a mid 20’s blow up with plus contact, a plus plate approach, double plus speed and developing power.

Hans Crouse PHI, RHP, 23.0 – Crouse made his MLB debut vs Pitt and went 3 IP with 2 hits, 1 ER and a 1/4 K/BB. His sinker sat 93 MPH and he relied heavily on his slider, throwing it 42% of the time. He induced weak contact with all three of his pitches, notching a 79.7 MPH against. Looking at Pitt’s lineup, I think I could have actually induced some weak contact too with my playground style sidearm delivery.

Tyler O’Neill STL, OF, 25.10 – Here’s what I wrote about O’Neill on my March 15th Monday Morning Dynasty Rundown, “Tyler O’Neill was one of the first players I ever wrote a sleeper post for in February 2016, and when I did, I did not expect for him to still be a sleeper in 2021! But here we are, and he is. O’Neill went 3 for 3 with a double and 0 K’s yesterday and is now hitting .476 with 2 homers and 5 K’s in 21 at-bats. He looks locked into a starting job. I told you he was a sleeper in 2016, and there is still time to buy! 😉” I gave you guys a 5 year cushion to get in on him! He put it all together this year with 32 homers and 14 steals, but his 34.9% whiff% still makes him a major batting average risk going into 2022.

Shohei Ohtani LAA, RHP/DH, 27.2 – 7 IP, 5 hits, 1 ER, 10/0 K/BB and also 1 for 3 with 0 K’s vs. Seattle

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on August 23, 2021August 23, 2021 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (8/23/21)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (8/23/21):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF CONTENT THE REST OF THE SEASON AND ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-Top 422 August 2021 Dynasty Baseball Rankings
-Top 300 July 2021 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings
-2021/22 Top 50 First Year Player Draft Dynasty Baseball Rankings
-Tons of Dynasty Rundowns
-10 Dynasty Baseball Players to Target
-Dynasty Baseball Trade Strategies at the Halfway Point (Contending, Mid Pack, Rebuilding)

Coby Mayo BAL, 3B, 19.7 – After destroying Rookie Ball, Mayo had his coming out party in full season ball by going 2 for 4 with his first homer at the level in 6 games. He has a lightening quick swing and the ball jumps off his bat. I can’t get enough of Mayo as a prospect, but as a condiment, the thought of it globbing out of my sandwich makes me queasy even as I’m writing this. Gotta go light on the mayo. He clocked in at #126 on my July Top 300 Prospects Rankings, and he’ll enter my Top 100 on the Updated August Prospects Rankings that are dropping tomorrow on my Patreon.

Jake Burger CHW, 3B, 25.4 – Burger went 2 for 5 with his 12th dinger in 52 games at Triple-A. The power is certainly legit as he notched a 98 MPH EV in his MLB cup of coffee earlier this year, but the strikeouts will have to come down to get consistent playing time. With Burger slotting in under Mayo, now we just need a prospect named Frankie Buns to complete the happy meal.

Riley Greene DET, OF, 20.11 – Greene had already shot up into elite prospect status by ranking 7th overall on that July update, and he has only taken it up a notch since then, slashing .370/.452/.685 with 7 homers and a 32/15 K/BB in his last 27 games. The last 6 of those games were at Triple-A, and he obliterated an upper deck homer for his first at the level yesterday. It was a lefty on lefty shot off a pretty weak, mislocated breaking ball.

Blaze Jordan BOS, 3B, 18.8 – Jordan already blazed a trail well into my Top 100 prospects on my Updated August Top 422 Dynasty Baseball Rankings on Patreon, and he showed why yesterday as he blasted a grand slam after Nick Yorke was intentionally walked ahead of him. Nothing feels sweeter than getting disrespected and then immediately shoving it in the opposing teams face. It’s his 2nd homer in 3 games in full season ball.

Nick Yorke BOS, 2B, 19.6 – Speaking of Yorke, he got intentionally walked for a reason, and that reason is that he has been molten hot. He went 2 for 4 with 2 walks and is now slashing .413/.500/.800 with 7 homers and a 6/11 K/BB in his last 19 games. Boston obviously knew what they were doing when they drafted him 17th overall in 2020.

Robert Hassell SD, OF, 20.0 – Power is really the only thing Hassell hasn’t answered yet with a 52.7% GB%, but the power stroke looked good yesterday as he went deep to left centerfield on a high fastball. It was only his 6th on the year in 88 games, but his 17.2%/13.6% K%/BB%, 28 doubles, and 30 stolen bases have picked up the slack. It will likely take a swing adjustment to unlock more power, but even as is he is looking like he will be an impact fantasy player.

Cal Quantrill CLE, RHP, 26.7 – 7 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, 9/2 K/BB. His sinker averaged 94.2 MPH and he put up a 29% whiff% overall. He has induced weak contact his entire career with an above average 87.3 MPH EV against, and now his K’s are picking up with 39 strikeouts in his last 37 IP. He has the bloodlines and Cleveland knows a thing or two about pitching development. He’s shaping up to be an interesting target in next year’s draft. This is the type of guy you need to get on the cheap and hit on if you build with offense first in dynasty.

Carlos Hernandez KC, RHP, 24.5 – 7 IP, 4 hits, 1 ER, 8/3 K/BB. His sinker averaged 97.5 MPH and his slider put up a 43% whiff%. Hernandez has big stuff with some control issues (11.3% BB%), and while he hasn’t put up big K numbers in his career, yesterday was definitely a step in the right direction. He’s another intriguing option who will likely be available in 2022 drafts in many leagues.

Nick Gonzales PIT, 2B/SS, 22.3 – 4 for 5 with a double and dinger. Gonzales has been red hot at High-A, slashing .375/.441/.602 with 5 homers, 2 steals, and a 35/12 K/BB in his last 31 games. He’s still striking out too much, but the guy definitely has some legit juice in his bat.

Nick Pratto KC, 1B, 23.0 – Pratto’s comeback tour continued yesterday as he ripped his 10th homer in 29 games at Triple-A. He’s homered in 4 straight games and is now putting up a higher wRC+ at Triple-A than he did at Double-A (164 vs. 156). Not too bad for a guy who was left for dead 2 years ago.

Ezequiel Tovar COL, SS, 20.2 – Tovar’s breakout season slowed down a bit at High-A, but he picked it up big time yesterday, going 5 for 8 with a double and a homer in a doubleheader. He’s maintained his elite contact percentage with a 10.9% K% in 14 games, so while his GB% and BB% have tanked, he hasn’t been too overmatched.

Jhonkensy Noel CLE, 1B/3B, 20.3 – Noel slammed his first homer in 5 games at High-A to left center. He’s had some swing and miss issues at the level with a 8/0 K/BB which he didn’t show at Single-A (16.7% K%), so that will be something to watch. The power is unquestioned though as he now has 12 homers in 49 games on the year.

Matthew Fraizer PIT, OF, 23.8 – Fraizer annihilated High-A with a 158 wRC+, but he was a bit old for the level to start getting excited. Now he’s performing even better at Double-A as he cracked his 2nd homer to go along with 6 doubles and 3 triples. He has a 1.112 OPS in 16 games. He’s still not a spring chicken at 23 years old, but I think it’s time to start getting excited.

Drey Jameson ARI, RHP, 24.0 – 7 IP, 3 hits, 1 ER, 10/2 K/BB at Double-A. Since giving up 8 earned in 3.1 IP on June 19th, Jameson has been lights out with a 1.81 ERA and 79/13 K/BB in 59.2 IP. 27.1 of those innings have come at Double-A where he’s dominated hitters with mid 90’s heat and a 4 pitch mix. After putting up a 4.2 BB/9 in college, he now has that down to 2.9 in pro ball.

Ryan Murphy SF, RHP, 21.10 – 5 IP, 1 hit, 1 ER, 7/1 K/BB at High-A on Friday. A Patreon member, Tate, who has a close eye on San Francisco prospects asked me why Ryan Murphy hasn’t been getting any hype. I’ll let him take it away: “I’ve been watching his starts every time they come up. I thought it was FB/SL but I’ve come away feeling (and if my numbers are correct) that the knuckle curve he throws is his best pitch. Most swinging strikes. Changeup is not good. Really stiff. I’m going to say something controversial: I think I prefer him to Kyle Harrison at this time.” If Murphy wasn’t on your radar before, he should be.

Kyren Paris LAA, SS, 19.10 – Paris got ahold of his 2nd homer in 28 games at Single-A. He has double plus speed (16 steals) and is a walk machine (20.5% K%), but either the K% is going to have to come down (28%) or the power is going to have to seriously tick up for him to take the next step.

Michael Busch LAD, 2B, 23.10 – Busch launched his 16th homer in 88 games at Double-A. He hasn’t been as extreme of a flyball hitter as the year has gone on with a 40% GB%, but he is still walking a ton with a 15.1% BB%

Connor Norby BAL, 2B, 21.2 – The 41st pick in the draft, Norby is known as a good all around hitter who uses the whole field, and he showed just that he cracked his first pro homer at Single-A to the opposite field. He put up some eye popping numbers this year in the AAC, and is starting to get hot in pro ball with a 1.020 OPS in 5 games at Single-A.

Jake McCarthy ARI, OF, 24.1 – 3 for 4 with a triple and a homer at Triple-A. McCarthy has been quietly putting together a very fantasy friendly season in the upper minors this year with 13 homers and 29 steals in 82 games. He brought his K% down to 22.9% in 47 games at Triple-A (29.5% at Double-A). He still hits the ball on the ground too much and will have to fight for playing time when he does eventually get his shot in the majors, but I have a sneaky suspicion he will be fantasy relevant in the near future.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)