Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/28/25)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season here on the Brick Wall. The rest of the week you can catch my Rundowns on the Patreon. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/28/25):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
APRIL 2025 TOP 437 DYNASTY RANKS
UPDATED TOP 300+ PROSPECTS RANKS COMING SOON
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE TOP 50 2026 PROSPECTS RANKS
SPREADSHEETS
TOP 10 2026 FYPD RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: APRIL MAILBAG! 

Hunter Barco PIT, LHP, 24.4 – I gotta seriously consider using my psychic abilities for something other than baseball prospects. After listening to 10 hours of “Awaken Your Psychic Abilities” YouTube music and tones video this off-season, I predicted that Hunter Barco would be the 32nd overall ranked prospect in baseball by next off-season in my Predicting the 2026 Top 50 Prospects Ranks, and I think I even undersold him. He could be the top pitching prospect breakout in the minors this year, and his dominance continued yesterday, going 3 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER and a 8/0 K/BB at Double-A. He now has a 0.00 ERA with a 40.0/5.3 K%/BB% in 20.2 IP. The velocity has ticked up into the mid 90’s, he has two bat missing secondaries in his slider and splitter, the control is solid, he’s 6’4”, 235 pounds and he has that funky lefty delivery that I just love. I mean, that is checking all of the boxes. I already jumped him up to 195th overall on the Updated Top 437 Dynasty Baseball Rankings that just dropped on the Patreon last week. If he can truly keep this up at Triple-A, and we’ve seen more than a few top pitching prospects struggle with that jump (Brandon Sproat and Quinn Mathews), we could be looking at a truly elite pitching prospect.

Arjun Nimmala – TOR, SS, 19.6 – Sticking with guys on that Predicting the 2026 Top Prospects list, Nimmala checked in at #39, and he’s right on track to end up in that area after homering in his 3rd straight game at High-A. This one was out to dead center. With Single-A now becoming a sort of glorified rookie ball, High-A can be considered the first real test for these youngsters, and Nimmala is passing it with flying colors, slashing .289/.349/.539 with 5 homers, 1 steal, and a 21.7/8.4 K%/BB% in 18 games. Seeing the K rate all the way down in the low 20’s is huge. He’s blowing up.

Bryce Rainer – DET, SS, 19.9 – Rainer didn’t crack that Predicting the 2026 Prospects list, but he clearly should have as his pro debut has been damn impressive. He went the opposite way for his 2nd homer in 10 games at Single-A, and he’s now slashing .226/.381/.484 with 2 homers, 2 steals, and a 11.9/19.0 K%/BB%. He’s crushing the ball with a 93.7 MPH EV, the plate skills are elite, and he’s running. He also most certainly looks the part at a powerful 6’3” with a smooth and quick lefty swing. This looks like an elite prospect waiting to happen.

Jacob Misiorowski MIL, RHP, 23.0 – 5 IP, 3 hits, 0 ER, 9/0 K/BB at Triple-A. Is Misiorowski finally starting to take that step forward with his control? He didn’t walk a single batter in this one, and in the start before, he only walked one guy. His 11.5% BB% in 29.2 IP is actually starting to resemble a semi-reasonable walk rate, and it comes with a 1.82 ERA and 33.6% K%. It also comes with some of the best stuff in the minors. The fastball sat 97.4 MPH in this one and notched a 29% whiff%. The slider, curve and change were all whiff machines too, leading to a 38% whiff% overall. This is the type of stuff that can thrive with a 10+ BB%, and it looks like we might be finally entering that range. We need to see it over a larger sample as the walk rate sat 14%+ last year, but another start or two with solid control and Mis will be among the very best pitching prospects in the game.

Jonah Tong – NYM, RHP, 21.9 – Speaking of 14%+ walk rates, Tong currently has a 14.9% BB% in 17.1 IP at Double-A, but when it comes with a 40.5% K%, I think we can partly overlook that. He had his best outing of the season yesterday, going 4 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 10/1 K/BB. Here are the highlights of the absolute filth. The curveball is just silly, the changeup was making lefties look foolish, the slider in the dirt induced terrible swings, and the mid 90’s fastball was blowing guys away. He’s obviously having some issues controlling his truly filthy stuff, but he was able to harness it in this one, and if he’s able to build on this, his stock is set to sour. I was a big fan this off-season, and that love continues to grow.

Dylan Crews WAS, OF, 23.1 – I preached patience with Crews’ early season struggles, as we saw both Chourio and Langford struggle in 2024 before their epic breakouts, and now Crews looks to be headed on that same path. He crushed a 104.8 MPH homer with a 78.7 MPH swing off Tylor Megill, and he’s now slashing .364/.391/.705 with 4 homers and 3 steals in his last 12 games. The underlying numbers looked good even when he was slumping, and he’s now rocking a 14.9% Barrel%, a 90.2 MPH EV, a 29.4 ft/sec sprint, a 73.1 MPH swing, and a .344 xwOBA. He’s coming.

Agustin Ramirez – MIA, C, 23.7 – Ramirez has taken the major leagues by storm after drilling 2 homers at 108.7 MPH and 105.1 MPH last night. He’s been straight unstoppable since getting the call, slashing .474/.524/1.158 with 3 homers, 1 steal, and a 9.5/9.5 K%/BB% in 21 PA. The 17.5% Barrel%, 92.9 MPH EV and .504 xwOBA backs up the surface stats. He wasn’t even this good in at Triple-A before getting the call with a 113 wRC+ in 19 games, so obviously he’s not this good, but at the least, he’s quite clearly proving his big time power bat is no joke. He’s not a good defensive catcher, and Joe Mack is right behind him and crushing the minors, but his bat is clearly going to be good enough to even DH if it will have to. How can you not be buying after this debut?

Anthony Volpe – NYY, SS, 23.11 – 2 for 3 with a 105.3 MPH double and 103.6 MPH homer. Volpe is doing his best to marry his extreme lift and pull profile from his rookie year, with his more all around hitter approach of 2024, and so far, it’s working with 5 homers, 3 steals, and a 123 wRC+ in 28 games. Or maybe he’s just getting stronger and swinging harder with a career high 71.9 MPH swing and 90.7 MPH EV. The underlying numbers back up the surface stats with a 13% Barrel% and .337 xwOBA. I pushed Volpe up my Updated Top 437 Dynasty Rankings to #71 overall despite his low BA, because for fantasy, it’s all about that power/speed combo, and he’s back to gunning for homers.

Ceddanne Rafaela – BOS, SS/OF, 24.7 – 2 for 4 with a 108.4 MPH homer and 100.5 MPH double. Rafaela’s .644 OPS is almost exactly the same as last year’s 664 OPS, which is discouraging on the surface, but when you look under the hood, you are seeing improvements everywhere you wanted to see them. The Barrel% is up to 11.3%, the EV is up to 89.6 MPH, the whiffs are down to 25.7% and the BB% is up to 6.3%. The .332 xwOBA vs. the .273 xwOBA from 2024 tells the story much better than the surface stats. Rafaela is leveling up.

Nolan Jones CLE, OF, 26.11 – Here’s what I wrote about Jones in the Updated Dynasty Rankings, “He’s been terrible, but he has a 95.2 MPH EV with a .329 xwOBA, 27.2% whiff%, 22.9% Chase% and an 11.8 degree launch. He’s also stolen 2 bags. I mean, this should really be working. I don’t want to give up yet” … and then he went out yesterday and jacked a 109 MPH dinger. He already has a big MLB season under his belt, and this man now has a 96.2 MPH EV on the season! Don’t give up on him yet.

Hunter Brown – HOU, RHP, 26.8 – 6 IP, 7 hits, 1 ER, 9/1 K/BB at KC. Brown shot up to 60th overall on the Updated Dynasty Rankings, and he just keeps on proving he’s a young ace with a 1.22 ERA and 29.9/5.2 K%/BB% in 37 IP. The fastball sat 96.7 MPH with a 27% whiff%, while the changeup notched a 42% whiff%. The only thing keeping him from ranking even higher is that the 26.9% whiff% on the season is more in above average range than truly plus, and even this outing with 9 K’s, it came with a 26% whiff%. It’s just nitpicking, but I think it’s worth mentioning. Either way, he induces weak contact, the control is taking a step forward into plus territory, and the stuff is huge. It’s just a continuation from what he did in the 2nd half of last off-season. He’s a beast.

Nick LodoloCIN, LHP, 27.3 – 7 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, 9/1 K/BB vs. COL. The only thing missing from Lodolo’s excellent start to the season were the strikeouts, and they showed up in a big way in this one with a 29% whiff% led by the curve which put up a 50% whiff%. He now has a 2.25 ERA with a 18.9/3.5 K%/BB% in 36 IP, and those strikeout are on the way up. As long as he stays healthy, this could finally be the blow up year we’ve been waiting for.

Tylor Megill NYM, RHP, 29.8 – 6.1 IP, 3 hits, 3 ER, 9/1 K/BB at WSH. We’ve all been waiting for this Megill breakout for years now, and while we’ve been faked out before, I so want to buy this. The fastball sat 95.8 MPH and put up a 26% whiff%, while the slider notched a 55% whiff%, leading the way for a 28% whiff% overall. He now has a 1.74 ERA with a 29.8/9.2 K%/BB% in 31 IP. I couldn’t help but fly him up my Updated Top 437 Dynasty Rankings last week to #251 overall, and while that maybe wasn’t even high enough, I did want to have some restraint due to the fact he has faked us out year after year in the past. Regardless, there is always so much to love about Megill, and he might be putting it together.

Kaelen Culpepper – MIN, SS, 22.3 – An injury has limited Culpepper to only 9 games at High-A, but he’s been sneakily really strong in those games, and it got less sneaky yesterday with him blasting a no doubt dinger with an athletic and powerful righty swing. He’s now slashing .344/.432/.563 with 1 homer, 0 steals, and a 13.5/13.5 K%/BB% in 9 games at High-A. The groundball rate is high and he’s not running yet, but I thought he was a sneaky good pick in last year’s First Year Player Draft, and he just keeps on hitting.

Jared Thomas – COL, OF/1B, 21.9 – Speaking of underrated college bats that I liked a lot in last year’s FYPD class, Thomas was another one of those guys, and he’s exploding on another level. He went the opposite way for his 4th homer of the season, and he’s now slashing .366/.480/.561 with 4 homers, 4 steals, and a 21.0/15.0 K%/BB% in 21 games at High-A. He’s done nothing but rake in pro ball with a 148 wRC+ in his pro debut last year. He looks the part at an athletic 6’2”, 190 pounds with a strong across the board profile. Will Colorado ever give him a real shot? Who knows. They are a total wild card, but Thomas looks legitimately exciting.

Wilfred Veras CHW, OF, 22.4 – If you’re looking for a fun upside proximity play with almost no hype, Veras is your man. Just watch him jack out this homer yesterday. He’s 6’1”, 240 with that vicious righty swing and he loves to run. He now has 4 homers, 7 steals, a 125 wRC+ and a 31.5/13.5 K%/BB% in 20 games. Plate approach was a major issue for him coming into this year, so it’s great to see the high walk rate, although the 31.5% K% is obviously too high. The risk is most certainly high, but Chicago is eventually going to give a guy with this much talent a shot, and the fantasy upside is worth taking a chance on him.

Noelvi Marte – CIN, 3B, 23.6 – Marte must have taken my advice and gotten back on the juice ;), because he’s been a man possessed this season, and it continued yesterday with a 3 for 5 day. He hit a 103.8 MPH double, a 103.2 MPH single and a 99.6 MPH single. His sprint speed is back up to 29.3 ft/sec, which is a career high, and the bat speed is back up too with a 74.2 MPH swing. That is double plus range. He’s definitely been on the lucky side with a .353 xwOBA vs. .458 wOBA, and a 12.8% K% vs. a 25% whiff%, but it’s clear whatever mental and physical issues caused Marte’s horrific 2024 is behind him. He’s back on track to being an exciting all category young dynasty asset.

Andy Pages LAD, OF, 24.5 – The Dodgers stayed patient with Pages through his slow start, and what a smart move that was, because he’s been on fire of late, culminating with a 4 for 5 day yesterday, punctuated by a 105.1 MPH homer. He now has 5 homers with a .861 OPS, and while the .303 xwOBA isn’t as impressive, the dude is a launch machine with a very respectable 22.4% whiff% and 8.3% Barrel%. The .277 BA might be coming down, but he’s going to rip dingers.

Geraldo Perdomo – ARI, SS, 25.4 – I had absolutely zero faith that Perdomo was going to be an impact major leaguer, even when Arizona showed all signs of loving him, and Arizona was clearly correct. They put their money where their mouth was this off-season, and he’s delivered. He went 1 for 4 with a 102.6 MPH homer yesterday, continuing to lock in the power gains with a career best 89.4 MPH. Combine that with a 15.4 degree launch, 9.4/16.5 K%/BB% and base stealing ability, and you get a really solid across the board fantasy contributor (4 homers, 6 steals, and a .361 xwOBA in 28 games).

Payton Tolle – BOS, LHP, 22.5 – 4 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 9/1 K/BB at High-A. The 50th overall pick in the draft got blown up in his first outing of the season, which is bringing his season line down, but this was his 2nd excellent outing in a row. This is a big boy at 6’6”, 250 pounds with a three quarter arm lefty delivery, the fastball has continued to tick up into the mid 90’s now, and he has multiple bat missing secondaries (change, slider, curve). He currently has a 6.52 ERA with a 37.8/11.1 K%/BB% in 9.2 IP at High-A, but like I said, it was really just one bad outing. He’s got high K mid-rotation starter upside.

Gunnar Hoglund – OAK, RHP, 25.4 – After undergoing Tommy John surgery in May of 2021, Hoglund is just now starting to look like his old self. He was on track to be an easy Top 10 pick in the 2021 MLB Draft until he went down with the injury, and teams thought so highly of him that he was still selected 19th overall. But Tommy John recovery is not always super smooth, and while it’s been a bumpy road, he’s slowing starting to look like his prime self. He went 5 IP with 3 hits, 0 ER, and a 5/1 K/BB at Triple-A. The fastball is back up to 94 MPH, which is great to see, and the curve notched a 38% whiff%. He throws a legit 5 pitching mix (4-seamer, curve, change, sinker, slider) with plus control, and it’s resulted in a 2.43 ERA with a 26.1/6.1 K%/BB% in 29.2 IP. He’s not missing quite enough bats to really fly him up the rankings, the stuff is good but not great, and he has a terrible ballpark waiting for him, but Hoglund is definitely taking a big step forward this year and is firmly putting himself back on the fantasy radar.

Logan Evans – SEA, RHP, 23.10 – Evans made his MLB debut and it was pretty unimpressive, going 5 IP with 2 hits, 2 ER, and a 3/3 K/BB vs MIA. The sinker and 4-seamer only sat 92.9 MPH and he put up a lowly 10% whiff%. The stuff and whiffs weren’t that impressive at Triple-A either before getting the call. He has gotten some hype these past 2 off-seasons, but I’m not sure it’s warranted at the moment. He just doesn’t look that special right now.

Matt Shaw – CHC, 3B/2B/SS, 23.4 – Triple-A Matt Shaw homers just don’t hit the same after his struggles in the majors, but he got ahold of his first dinger at Triple-A with a frozen rope out to left field. The crazy batting stance and leg kick has been sorta toned down, but honestly, not really as he still has the pointed in batting stance with the extreme leg kick. Again, it’s not as crazy as it was earlier in the year, but it’s still a weird batting stance. Even though I’m not a fan of the stance, I’ll trust that he knows what he’s doing, and I don’t want to move off him because of it. Plenty of great players struggle in their first taste of the bigs, and I’m staying patient.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
APRIL 2025 TOP 437 DYNASTY RANKS
UPDATED TOP 300+ PROSPECTS RANKS COMING SOON
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE TOP 50 2026 PROSPECTS RANKS
SPREADSHEETS
TOP 10 2026 FYPD RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: APRIL MAILBAG! 

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

Updated April 2025 Top 437 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon)

*PSA — I have been doing these monthly updates for a long time now, and April is always the month that I look back on and regret the most. I lean more towards being aggressive and reactive in fantasy, so I want my rankings to reflect my strategy, but inevitably, I look back on the April Rankings and there are always a few rankings that look way out of place where guys don’t maintain the breakout. Did I learn from my mistakes? No. Hah, but I’m also not sure it is a mistake. Being aggressive and owning the next young breakouts are where you make your bones in dynasty, so I think it’s worth taking the extra risk. Either way, please use these rankings responsibly, and understand you may want to be a bit more conservative with your strategy. The Top 27 is free here on the Brick Wall. Blurbs for everyone. Here is the Updated Top 437 2025 Dynasty Baseball Rankings:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
APRIL 2025 TOP 400+ DYNASTY RANKS
UPDATED TOP 300+ PROSPECTS RANKS COMING SOON
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE TOP 50 2026 PROSPECTS RANKS
SPREADSHEETS
TOP 10 2026 FYPD RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: APRIL MAILBAG! 

1) (1) Shohei Ohtani LAD, RHP/DH, 30.11 – Did you think shoulder surgery was going to slow this man down? Remember when at the least he wasn’t supposed to run as much? He’s got 6 homers, 5 steals and a 150 wRC+. And he’s going to get back on the mound at some point mid-season. Do you really want to bet against him there either?

2) (2) Bobby Witt Jr. – KCR, SS, 24.11 – Locking in the 2024 leveling up with an almost identical .402 xwOBA

3) (3) Elly De La Cruz – CIN, SS, 23.4 – The whiff rates and chase rates both continue to trend in the right direction, which is what we needed to see to feel comfortable that the swing and miss isn’t going to come back to bite him

4) (4) Gunnar Henderson – BAL, SS, 23.10 – Just starting to shake the rust off from his delayed start to the season. I think the 97.6 MPH EV says he’ll be fine

5) (6) Corbin Carroll – ARI, OF, 24.7 – Carroll vs. Gunnar has been a debate since they were ranked either #1 or #2 by just about every prospect outlet in 2023. And since then they have been swapping places every year. Will it happen again this year with Carroll blowing up to start the season with his bat speed up to elite ranges (75 MPH) and the EV up with it to 93.1 MPH? The whiffs (30% whiff%) and Chase (36.6%) are way up too, so I want to see a bit more before jumping him back over Gunnar. But it could be coming, and maybe not just over Gunnar.

6) (9) Fernando Tatis Jr. – SDP, OF, 26.4 – I’ve been unwilling to fade Tatis even when so many started to get lukewarm on him, and he’s showing why with an insane start to the season backed up by the underlying numbers. And the best part is he’s running like wild with 7 steals in 21 games (11 steals in 102 games in 2024)

Shadow6) (5) Shohei Ohtani LAD, DH only/Weekly Leagues, 30.11 – This is where I would rank Ohtani in weekly lineup leagues or as a hitter only

7) (24) Oneil CruzPIT, OF/SS, 26.7 – Welcome to true elite dynasty asset territory Oneil Cruz!!! Cruz has been a target for me for a few years now, and I named him a buy high Target this off-season. He’s going full blow up in 2025. He’s on pace to go like 40/80 right now. hah … insane. And he’s actually been unlucky with a .393 xwOBA vs. .356 wOBA. Even the plate skills are improving with a 26.8/15.9 K%/BB%, and we know about the beastly power (19.6% Barrel%, 93.5 MPH EV, 78.1 MPH swing). This dude is in rarified air.

8) (7) Kyle Tucker – CHC, OF, 28.4 – The Quiet Killer has a 176 wRC+ with 6 homers and 4 steals in 24 games … shhhhhhhh

9) (5) Juan Soto – NYM, OF, 26.6 – Soto got paid and now he’s just chillin, content with a 6.2% Barrel%, rather than the 19.7% he put up in his contract year … nah, I’m just playing. He’s never had a wRC+ under 143 in his career. He’ll be fine. He just doesn’t run as much as the guys ranked ahead of him

10) (8) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 33.0 – .499 xwOBA leads all of baseball amongst qualified hitters, and while I thought he would be far and away ahead of the pack, there are actually a few guys pretty close (Alonso, Tatis, Aranda!, Rice!). He’s already 33 years old, so that has to ding him in a general dynasty ranking

11) (10) Ronald Acuna Jr. – ATL, OF, 27.4 – Everything seems to be going well in his rehab and he’s expected return at some point in May

12) (11) Julio Rodriguez – SEA, OF, 24.4 – Of course he’s off to a slow start again with a .188 BA. Cleary hold. We know the drill. But honestly, it’s almost not even worth the aggravation. He has to be the most annoying elite dynasty asset to own ever.

13) (12) James WoodWAS, OF, 22.8 – I’ve been the high guy on Wood since he was born, and I didn’t blink this off-season ranking him 12th overall. He’s fully backing up his elite dynasty asset status with an elite 75.4 MPH swing, 19.3% Barrel%, .398 xwOBA and a 26.3/12.8 K%/BB%. The launch has been coming up of late too. The only quibble is that he hasn’t been a great base stealer (3 for 5 this year), which keeps him out of truly exploding into the Top 10

14) (14) Wyatt Langford – TEX, OF, 23.6 – Carrying over the big 2nd half of the season right into 2025 with a 11.1% Barrel%, .376 xwOBA and 17.3/11.5 K%/BB% in 13 games. He’s firmly establishing his elite status

15) (13) Jackson ChourioMIL, OF, 21.2 – Not having the next level blow up quite yet, but I’m getting the sense he’s really more of a 2nd half player anyway. He got off to a slow start in 2024 and even in 2023 in the minors too. And even his “slow start” is damn good with a 12.3% Barrel%

16) (15) Jackson MerrillSDP, OF, 22.0 – He was locking in his elite dynasty asset status before the hamstring injury with a 22.6% Barrel% and .497 xwOBA in 10 games

17) (25) CJ AbramsWAS, SS, 24.7 – I knew not to buy into that late season suspension as anything other than a blip on the radar. He came into 2025 with added muscle and was in the midst of a power explosion (4 homers with a 16.1% Barrel% and 92.8 MPH EV) before going down with a hip injury. He’s got more than a few 30/30 seasons in his future

18) (19) Paul SkenesPIT, RHP, 22.11 – His whiff rates really aren’t in that wild crazy elite ace range with a 25.5% whiff% (28.7% in 2024), but that is definitely nitpicking with a 2.87 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and 25.4/3.4 K%/BB% in 31.1 IP. Without the crazy whiff and K rates though, it’s really not such a no brainer to have him as the top dynasty pitcher in the game. There are other really, really good candidates

19) (18) Jose Ramirez – CLE, 3B, 32.7 – He’s not on pace to go 40/40 again, but that is an unreasonable expectation. He more or less looks like himself. No signs of decline yet

20) (20) Bryce Harper PHI, 1B, 32.6 – Still elite with a .910 OPS and .409 xwOBA. And he’s running a ton with 5 steals in 22 games

21) (22) Francisco Lindor – NYM, SS, 31.5 – Blasted 2 homers yesterday and is having his normal excellent season

22) (16) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 27.10 – .280 wOBA vs. .376 xwOBA. He has a 94.1 MPH EV. He’ll be fine

23) (17) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – TOR, 1B, 25.7 – Not gonna lie, I wish he hit more homers with only 1 homer in 23 games, but the .422 xwOBA is elite. Considering he doesn’t steal many bases, the 30-ish homers he’s hit the past 3 seasons feels a tad light. Just nitpicking, I know

24) (28) Tarik SkubalDET, LHP, 28.5 – Skenes, Skubal, Crochet, Gilbert and Yamamoto are in the top tier of dynasty aces right now, and they are quite hard to separate. There are good arguments for all 5 of them. I’ll keep Skenes in the top spot for age, but honestly, I could pick the order of these 5 out of a hat and be fine with it

25) (32) Logan Gilbert SEA, RHP, 27.10 – He had the ace breakout in 2024, and now he’s somehow leveling up even more with a 2.63 ERA and 38/5.6 K%/BB% in 27.1 IP. The 38.1% whiff% backs up the K rate. I don’t think he’s going to keep this up obviously, but if there were any doubts about him being a true ace, there aren’t anymore

26) (29) Garrett Crochet – BOS, LHP, 25.10 – Locking in the 2024 breakout with a 1.13 ERA and 28.5/8.1 K%/BB% in 32 IP. The reason he stays in 4th behind Skenes, Gilbert, and Skubal is that the walk rate is up a tad, and the fastball velocity is down 1.5 MPH to 95.7 MPH

27) (37) Yoshinobu Yamamoto – LAD, RHP, 26.9 – Yoshi is taking it up a notch in year 2 with a 0.93 ERA and 35.2/6.5 K%/BB% in 29 IP. He’s firmly in the conversation for top dynasty pitcher in the game

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
APRIL 2025 TOP 400+ DYNASTY RANKS
UPDATED TOP 300+ PROSPECTS RANKS COMING SOON
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE TOP 50 2026 PROSPECTS RANKS
SPREADSHEETS
TOP 10 2026 FYPD RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: APRIL MAILBAG! 

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

Welcome to the First Dynasty Baseball Rankings Week of the 2025 Season!

The first Updated Dynasty Baseball Rankings Week is always the toughest because we are still working with small samples, but the wheeling and dealing, and decision making, never stops in dynasty, so we gotta make decisions based on something. I’m going over 400 deep with quick blurbs for every player. Full Rankings will be on the Patreon with about a Top 20-ish free here on the Brick Wall. First post drops tomorrow. Catch you then …

-Halp

The Underachievers Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/7/25)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season here on the Brick Wall. The rest of the week you can catch my Rundowns on the Patreon. Here is the The Underachievers Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/7/25)

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-DYNASTY RUNDOWNS AND MONTHLY DYNASTY & PROSPECTS RANKINGS UPDATES ALL SEASON
-TOP 1,000 2025 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-TOP 500 2025 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECT RANKS
-TOP 146 2025 FYPD RANKS
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Festival of Targets – It’s legitimately wild how many of my named Targets in my Position by Position Dynasty Targets articles (Patreon) are going off right now: Tyler Soderstrom, Jesus Luzardo, Heliot Ramos, Ben Rice, Ivan Herrera, Spencer Torkelson, Michael Conforto, Kris Bubic (who dominated again yesterday), Pavin Smith, Otto Lopez, Jose Soriano, CJ Abrams/Oneil Cruz/Hunter Greene (high end targets), Trey Sweeney, Drew Rasmussen, Jordan Walker and more. Honestly, so many of my guys are going off, it’s not even fun anymore 😉 I’ve been on a week and a half celebration bender, and I need to sober up and come up for some air. So let’s turn our attention to some of the underachievers, and see if there are signs of a breakout still coming, or if I missed the mark completely on them. I’ll also go into underachievers I didn’t name as targets. Let’s kick it off with Target Jo Adell …

 Jo Adell – LAA, OF, 26.0 – Adell went 0 for 4 yesterday and now has a 67 wRC+ in 7 games. With his history, it would be so easy to finally write him off and say this is the final nail in the coffin, but when you look under the hood, it’s actually encouraging. The whiff% is down to a career best 26.3%, which is almost in the average range. That is an absolutely wild transformation from his days putting up mid to upper 30’s whiff rates. And it continues a downward trend from 2024 where he put up a 29.8% whiff%, so there is hope there is real improvement here. He’s also doing it while still ripping the ball with a 91.5 MPH EV, and while being more selective with a career best, and above average 25.5% Chase%. Other than the surface stats, I’m damn pumped about this start. Stay the course, as all signs point towards the breakout season finally coming.

Tyler Fitzgerald – SFG, SS/2B, 27.7 – Fitz wasn’t a named Target, but I was definitely excited by the power/speed and also scared off by the plate approach, and after putting up his 3rd straight 0-fer yesterday to give him a 29 wRC+ in 7 games, it looks like the hit tool just might tank him. But his whiff% is actually down 3.1 percentage points to 28.1%, and his K% is down 5.8 percentage points to 25.9%. His exit velocity is also up almost 1 MPH to 88.5 MPH. He’s never going to be a high BA guy with a 20.4 degree launch hitting in Oracle Park, and his current xBA is .180, so I’m not saying it’s all roses, I’m just saying the surface stats aren’t nearly as bad as it really is. Stay the course with Fitz.

Pete Crow-Armstrong – CHC, OF, 23.0 – The Crow went 0 for 4 yesterday and now has a 47 wRC+ in 12 games. If PCA doesn’t work out, that one will seriously hurt me as he’s been my guy since before he was drafted. But before I get too sad, let’s see what’s happening. Just like with Fitz and Adell, the whiff rates are actually down, and his is down to an above average 24%. That is down 5.9 percentage points from 2024. And amazingly enough, he’s done it while upping his bat speed 2 MPH to an above average 72.6 MPH. When you try to swing faster, you are supposed to miss the ball more, not less. He’s still chasing too much, but at least there is some improvement with it down 3.5 percentage points to 37.9%. And even with a .255 OBP, he still has 3 steals in 12 games. I wish the surface stats looked better too, but he has majorly improved whiffs, majorly improved bat speed, slight chase improvement, and he’s running. I’m encouraged.

Dylan Crews – WAS, OF, 23.1 – I thought it would never happen. Crews finally had a decent game, going 2 for 4 with stolen base. That gives him a whopping negative 35 wRC+ in 8 games. I’m not gonna lie, it doesn’t look good under the hood either with a 38% whiff% and 36.4% Chase% which are much worse than his 2024 debut. But you have to remember that Crews got off to a slow start last year as well. There was blood in the streets with him struggling at Double-A, but he eventually found his rhythm, and I’m betting on the same thing happening in 2025. He might just be a slow starter.

Luis Garcia – WAS, 2B, 24.11 – You know I couldn’t go an entire Dynasty Rundown without at least partially victory lapping hah. And that brings us to Luis Garcia, who wasn’t someone I was going after. He’s gone 0-fer in 5 of 7 games this season and now has a 40 wRC+ in 7 games. His plate approach is still terrible and showing no signs of maturing with a 40% Chase% which is worse than 2024. His contact rates remain in that good but not great area with a 19.2% K%, and I’m being generous because the whiff rates are actually all the way up to 28.9% right now (21.3% in 2024). And finally, he continues to not hit the ball that hard with a 87.9 MPH EV. The weird thing about his season is that he has an insane 15% Barrel%, which I’m not buying, but it’s something, and he also has a career high launch at 10 degrees, which is nice to see that continue to go in the right direction. Obviously it’s insanely early, but if I were to buy Garcia, which I wasn’t, these aren’t the signs I want to see for a next level breakout. It looks like more of the same, with some launch/barrell% silver lining.

JJ Bleday – OAK, OF, 27.5 – Bleday was another popular target that I wasn’t buying into. After going 0 for 4 yesterday he now has a 59 wRC+ in 10 games. And he continues to be a below average CF. Here is what I wrote in his Top 1,000 blurb, “Bleday is a low ceiling player with little speed, a below average BA, and above average homer power at best. I also think there is risk too, because he’s a below average outfielder, and Denzel Clark and Colby Thomas are charging hard to compete for those open OF jobs. Kurtz and Soderstrom could push Rooker into more OF duty too.”  … Bleday currently has 0 barrels on the season. The plate approach is really good, which matters, but that is about it. Even his launch is way down to 8.3 degrees, which is down so much I’m wondering if that was a choice. Not a good choice, considering the new hitter’s paradise they play in. Kurtz can’t stop hitting homers at Triple-A (he went deep for his 4th time last night), Soderstrom isn’t going anywhere (he homered for the 4th time in 10 games last night too), and Target Denzel Clarke’s double plus CF glove is sitting at Triple-A with a massively improved hit tool (22.6/16.1 K%/BB% with a .280 BA). I was fading Bleday this off-season, and I’m even more off him now.

Jackson Jobe – DET, RHP, 22.8 – I love Jackson Jobe. I was the first one hyping him as a true elite pitching prospect during his 2nd half 2023 explosion, and I ranked him very high this off-season (21st overall in the Top 500 Prospects Rankings). But because so many places had him Top 10 and in the same tier as Andrew Painter, I got a lot of questions on why I wasn’t higher. And my answer was his 25.6/12.0 K%/BB% last year. And now that mediocre K/BB is back in the majors. He pitched last night against the Quad-A White Sox and went 5 IP with 4 hits, 2 ER, and a 4/3 K/BB. His first start was more of the same at the pitcher’s paradise in Seattle, going 4 IP with 3 hits, 3 ER, and a 3/4 K/BB. The fastball was down to 95.8 MPH in this latest one and didn’t record a single whiff on 14 swings. He has a 20.8% whiff% between the two starts, which isn’t great, and we know he was working on new pitches this off-season because he wasn’t happy with how many bats he was missing. One of those new pitches, the curveball, has yet to get a single whiff this season. I still love Jobe, and how I closed out his Top 1,000 blurb is still how I feel about him: ” Jobe should break camp with the team in 2025, and while I wouldn’t expect an ace season right out of the gate, I’m betting on him getting there eventually.”

Chase Dollander – COL, RHP, 23.5 – Dollander was another elite pitching prospect I wasn’t quite as high on, but in his case, it had nothing to do with his K/BB rates, it had everything to do with him pitching in Coors. And his first MLB start at Coors went basically exactly how you would have thought. Great K/BB. Bad outing. He went 5 IP with 7 hits, 4 ER, and a 6/1 K/BB vs. OAK. The 97.8 MPH fastball put up a respectable 20% whiff%, but it got rocked with a 101 MPH against. The cutter, curve, and changeup all performed well by missing bats and inducing weak contact, leading to a solid 25% whiff% overall. It was a good outing … probably in any other ballpark but Coors. I like Dollander. I still ranked him 57th overall on the Prospects Rankings, but in Coors, I just can’t go higher than that.

Garrett Mitchell – MIL, OF, 26.7 – Mitchell was one of my favorite targets this off-season, and while his start hasn’t been bad with a 102 wRC+, it hasn’t exactly been exciting either with 0 homers and 1 steal. Are we still buying here? Hell yea. The whiff rates are all the way down to 25% (34.8% in 2024), and the launch is all the way up to 9.3 degrees (2.8 degrees in 2024). And not only has he done that while maintaining his elite bat speed, he’s actually taken the bat speed up into even more rarified air with a 76.8 MPH swing (75.7 MPH in 2024). Don’t budge off Mitchell.

Matt Wallner – MIN, OF, 27.3 – Wallner is another target who isn’t having a bad start with a .804 OPS, but the guy has 0 homers, and hitting homers is what he does. Honestly, his start is the wonkiest one to understand. I think I should be over the moon for the 22.9 K%, because that insane 36.4 K% from 2024 needed to come down, but his whiff rates are actually much worse with a 44.2% whiff% (38.4% in 2024). Hard to trust the K rate when the whiff rate is still so bad. But on the flip side, the homers are certainly going to come with a 92 MPH EV, 13.6% Barrel% and 18 degree launch. And it was his career ..252 BA that made me confident enough in the hit tool to call him a target. He again has a good BA with a .267 BA. There is some mixed bag in here, but I’m holding strong.

James Wood – WAS, OF, 22.7 – Wood went 0 for 3 yesterday and now has a 81 wRC+ with a 41.7% K% in 9 games. That K rate is damn scary, but thank goodness he has a 27.4% whiff%, which is actually 2 percentage points better than 2024, because the hit tool is the only thing that can tank him. That whiff% shows to not be scared off by the K rate right now. He’s still crushing the ball with a 16.7% Barrel%. The biggest negative is the negative 2.7 degree launch. He needs to bring that up to really get the true breakout we want to see, but don’t you dare panic on Wood.

Michael Toglia – COL, 1B/OF, 26.8/Triston Casas – BOS, 1B, 25.3 – Now these are two targets where there are reasons to worry. It’s too early to actually worry, but both are having starts you don’t want to see. Casas went 0 for 5 with 2 K yesterday and Toglia went 1 for 5 with a strikeout. The worrisome part is that their hit tools are going in the wrong direction. Toglia is hitting .143 with 44.7% K% and 45.2% whiff%. Casas is hitting .167 with a 34.2% K% and 36% whiff%. Toglia just got back into Coors, and he was a better 2nd half hitter than 1st half last year, so definitely give him some time, but that swing and miss is scary. Casas was supposed to be gradually improving that hit tool as his career went along, and so far, it’s gradually getting worse. Again, way too early to panic on each, but each have red flags that need to start seeing some improvement.

Ben Brown – CHC, RHP, 25.7 – I loved Ben Brown, and I thought if Chicago was smart, they would give him that 5th starter job. They did indeed give him that job, but he’s not making them (or me) look smart. He had his 2nd rough outing last night, going 4 IP with 7 hits, 5 ER, and a 5/4 K/BB vs. SDP. He still can’t find that 3rd pitch, throwing the changeup only 3.7% of the time, and it hasn’t recorded a single whiff. The good news is that the 4-semaer and curve are still whiff machines with a 25% and 40.8% whiff%, respectively, but both pitches are getting hit hard. I love K chasing in fantasy, so Brown’s 33% whiff% on the season is still so damn enticing to me, but so far he hasn’t made the improvements you would really want to see to feel comfortable. In general, I’m still holding.

Kumar Rocker – TEX, RHP, 25.4 – I was buying Rocker’s en fuego finish to 2024, but so far, it hasn’t shown back up in 2025. He got roughed up in his first outing, and his 2nd outing last night was a weird one, going 5 IP with 6 hits, 1 ER, and a 1/0 K/BB vs. TBR. He induced a ton of weak contact with a 84.4 MPH EV against, but he didn’t miss many bats with a 10% whiff%. The famed slider only put up a 27% whiff% and the two 95+ MPH fastballs notched 1 whiff in 28 swings. After getting rocked with poor control in his first outing, it was nice to see him settle down in this one. Remember that he’s only had 64.2 IP in his minor league career due to injuries, so he’s learning on the fly here in the majors. There are going to be bumps, and he needs to find a pitch to get lefties out. I’m holding, but maybe I’m slightly less excited than I was this off-season.

Zac Veen – COL, OF, 23.4 – How can I do an underachieving Target write-up without mention Zac Veen! I couldn’t love Veen more a couple years ago at an uber athletic and projectable 6’3”, 190 pounds with Coors Field waiting for him, but as you know, it’s been a bumpy road to say the least since then. But he’s been drawing us all back in this year, and now he got the call to the bigs to take over for the struggling Jordan Beck. He opened some eyes this spring with 2 homers, 9 steals, and a 113 wRC+ in 28 PA, and then he went to Triple-A and slashed .387/.472/.677 with 1 homer, 1 steal, and a 16.2/10.8 K%/BB% in 8 games. He still doesn’t crush the ball, but he’s been adding muscle and the power has definitely been ticking up. He’s a game changer on the bases with league leading stolen base ability, and while the K rates have been on the high side in the minors, they aren’t in the danger zone and Coors will only help with that. I can’t say I’m still gaga over Veen like I was back in the day, but it’s still so easy to see a monster fantasy player. I’m just excited to see what he can do.

Rafael Devers – BOS, 3B, 28.5 – 5 for 9 with 2 doubles and a homer in a double header. He’s now 10 for 19 in his last 5 games and has a 134 wRC+ on the season. We never doubted you big fella!!! ***I did start to doubt him. Shoulders scare me, but we can all stop holding our breath now …

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By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)